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Articles 1 - 30 of 154
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Latino Voter Participation In The 2018 And 2022 Midterm Elections, Laird W. Bergad
Latino Voter Participation In The 2018 And 2022 Midterm Elections, Laird W. Bergad
Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino Studies
Introduction
This study analyzes Latino voting participation, comparing the US midterm elections of the years 2018 and 2022.
Method
The study is a descriptive and comparative analysis using data from the 2022 Voting and Registration Data from the US Census Bureau.
Discussion
The study found that nationally, only 37.9% of eligible Latino voters took part in the 2022 midterms, compared to 40.4% in the 2018 midterms. Despite this decline in the percentage of registered voters casting ballots in 2022, the percentage of Latinos registered to vote rose from 53.7% in 2018 to 57.8% in 2022.
Vive La Différence?: Is There A Gender Gap In Campaign Strategy And Spending, And Does It Matter?, Paul S. Herrnson, Charles Hunt, Jaclyn J. Kettler
Vive La Différence?: Is There A Gender Gap In Campaign Strategy And Spending, And Does It Matter?, Paul S. Herrnson, Charles Hunt, Jaclyn J. Kettler
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
Record numbers of women were elected into office in the US in recent years, and campaign financing may have contributed to their successes. This raises two questions: Is there a gender gap in campaign strategy and spending? And if there is, does it have an impact on election outcomes? Using a new dataset that includes itemized campaign expenditures for the almost 3,500 candidates who contested a House election between 2012 and 2020, we report little evidence of a gender gap in candidates’ campaign spending, but we find some differences in the effects of communications spending on women’s and men’s electoral …
Demographic Structure And Voting Behaviour During Democratization: Evidence From Malaysia's 2022 Election, Sebastian Carl Dettman, Thomas B. Pepinsky
Demographic Structure And Voting Behaviour During Democratization: Evidence From Malaysia's 2022 Election, Sebastian Carl Dettman, Thomas B. Pepinsky
Research Collection School of Social Sciences
Malaysia’s fifteenth general election (GE15) was a milestone in the country’s democratization process, with new parties and political movements competing with established political coalitions. In this paper, we investigate how Malaysia’s cleavage structure—a central feature of Malaysia’s prior authoritarian regime—shapes electoral competition in a newly competitive political environment. We find that the “race paradigm” (Milner, Embong, and Tham 2014) remains central to explaining party strategy and coalition behavior in GE15, but that more democratic competition has increased the salience of regional differences—both between peninsular Malaysia and East Malaysia, and within peninsular Malaysia itself. Our analysis reveals the structural foundations of …
Issue Salience And Ownership In The 2019 And 2021 Canadian Federal Elections, Maxime St-Jean
Issue Salience And Ownership In The 2019 And 2021 Canadian Federal Elections, Maxime St-Jean
Reports
This report uses the 2019 and 2021 Canadian Election Study (CES) to explore how political issues and social cleavages are perceived by the electorate in the 2019 and 2021 federal elections. We focus more specifically on three dimensions: first, what issues were most important in electors’ minds (which we refer to as issue salience); second, which parties were seen as best able to handle various issues (which we refer to as issue ownership by parties); and finally, the social bases of party perceptions.
Direct Election, Bureaucratic Appointment, And Local Government Responsiveness In Taiwan, Sara A. Newland
Direct Election, Bureaucratic Appointment, And Local Government Responsiveness In Taiwan, Sara A. Newland
Government: Faculty Publications
Does local democracy induce better service to citizens? While elected officials can be punished at the ballot box if they fail to address citizens’ needs, appointed bureaucrats may have policy knowledge that enables them to better serve citizens. Employing a multimethod design, this paper uses variation in local political institutions in Taiwan to assess the relative merits of direct election and bureaucratic appointment for local government responsiveness. While democratic institutions are often thought to induce responsiveness, I find that in Taiwan, with its historically strong bureaucracy and relatively new democratic institutions, the picture is somewhat more complicated. Elected and appointed …
Local Candidate Roots And Electoral Advantages In Us State Legislatures, Charles Russell Hunt, Stella Rouse
Local Candidate Roots And Electoral Advantages In Us State Legislatures, Charles Russell Hunt, Stella Rouse
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
A growing literature has revealed a notable electoral advantage for congressional and gubernatorial candidates with deep local roots in their home districts or states. However, there is a dearth of research on the presence and impact of local roots in state legislative races. In this paper, we close that gap by demonstrating the consistent and significant electoral impacts that state legislators’ local roots have on their reelection efforts. We use data capturing a representative cross-section of state legislative incumbents (N = ~5,000) and calculate a novel index measuring the depth of their local roots modeled after Hunt’s (2022, Home …
New Americans And The New Right: Hispanic Voting Trends In The Trump Era Of Politics, Emmanuel Keppel
New Americans And The New Right: Hispanic Voting Trends In The Trump Era Of Politics, Emmanuel Keppel
Political Science Honors Projects
In 2020, Donald Trump lost re-election to Joe Biden by around 4.5% nationally. Despite losing in his re-election bid, Trump was able to make surprising inroads with Hispanic voters, reaching the highest Republican totals with Hispanic voters in decades. This trend held true across nearly every Hispanic neighborhood in the country. From large Hispanic-majority cities such as Miami to isolated pockets of Hispanic voters in New England, there was a consistent rightward trend. Moreover, this trend largely continued into 2022, with most Republican candidates in the midterm elections matching Trump’s numbers. This paper will take an in depth look at …
C-Dem 2023 Partners' Meeting Agenda May 5, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
C-Dem 2023 Partners' Meeting Agenda May 5, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
Meeting Notes
No abstract provided.
C-Dem 2023 Partners' Meeting Notes, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
C-Dem 2023 Partners' Meeting Notes, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
Meeting Notes
No abstract provided.
Does Electoral Proximity Influence Commitment To International Human Rights Law?, Nolan Ragland
Does Electoral Proximity Influence Commitment To International Human Rights Law?, Nolan Ragland
Baker Scholar Projects
The core international human rights treaties from the United Nations have been signed and ratified by varying groups of states, and much of previous research has been dominated by a desire to explain ratification of international human rights law (IHRL) through the democratic lock-in effect and states’ economic and political ties to one another. In this paper, I seek to understand when states are ratifying IHRL, testing whether the presence of elections influences commitment to three of the nine core international human rights treaties: the International Convention on the Protection of the Rights of All Migrant Workers and Members of …
Categorizing Written Responses With A Dictionary Approach, Maxime St-Jean
Categorizing Written Responses With A Dictionary Approach, Maxime St-Jean
Reports
No abstract provided.
Ideology And The Incumbency Advantage, Gabe Degraeve
Ideology And The Incumbency Advantage, Gabe Degraeve
Belmont University Research Symposium (BURS)
Incumbents win reelection at a staggering rate (upwards of 75%) the causes of this are well understood and examined. The numerous material benefits (access to a larger staff, fundraising ability, name recognition, etc.) paired with the psychological benefits (scare-off effect, lack of high-quality candidate, etc.) make it very hard for a potential challenger to win in an election against an incumbent. There however has been a decrease in the incumbency advantage over the past several election cycles. Since both the material and psychological benefits are still present, another factor is likely contributing to this decrease. Ideology has become …
Political Participation Among Canadians: Are Young People Disengaging? Public Report (8) 2023-03-30, Maxime St-Jean
Political Participation Among Canadians: Are Young People Disengaging? Public Report (8) 2023-03-30, Maxime St-Jean
Reports
No abstract provided.
C-Dem Advisory Council Meeting February 15, 2023, C-Dem Research Project
C-Dem Advisory Council Meeting February 15, 2023, C-Dem Research Project
Meeting Notes
No abstract provided.
La Liberté D'Expression Et Les Propos Haineux: Les Attitudes Des Canadiennes Et Canadiens, Antoine Thériault
La Liberté D'Expression Et Les Propos Haineux: Les Attitudes Des Canadiennes Et Canadiens, Antoine Thériault
Reports
No abstract provided.
C-Dem 2023 Annual Report, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
C-Dem 2023 Annual Report, Consortium On Electoral Democracy
Annual Reports
No abstract provided.
Elections And Post Traumatic Stress: Evidence From The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, Timothy Fraser, Costas Panagopoulos, Kevin Smith
Elections And Post Traumatic Stress: Evidence From The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, Timothy Fraser, Costas Panagopoulos, Kevin Smith
Department of Political Science: Faculty Publications
The 2020 U.S. presidential election saw rising political tensions among ordinary voters and political elites, with fears of election violence culminating in the January 6th riot. We hypothesized that the 2020 election might have been traumatic for some voters, producing measurable symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). We also hypothesized that negative sentiment towards the opposing party correlates with PTSD. We measured PTSD with a modified PCL-5, a validated PTSD screener, for 573 individuals from a nationally representative YouGov sample. We modeled the association between affective polarization and PTSD, controlling for political, demographic, and psychological traits. We estimate that 12.5% …
Agenda - Survey Design Under Constraints: Best Practices, Laura Stephenson
Agenda - Survey Design Under Constraints: Best Practices, Laura Stephenson
Workshop: Survey Design Under Constraints
No abstract provided.
Agenda - Survey Design Under Constraints: Best Practices, Laura Stephenson
Agenda - Survey Design Under Constraints: Best Practices, Laura Stephenson
Workshop: Survey Design Under Constraints
No abstract provided.
C-Dem 2022 Annual Forum Program, Laura Stephenson, Allison Harell
C-Dem 2022 Annual Forum Program, Laura Stephenson, Allison Harell
C-Dem Forum 2022
No abstract provided.
Pursuit Of The Vote: Factors Utilized In Resisting Discrimination In Democratic Elections, Matthew Nicholson
Pursuit Of The Vote: Factors Utilized In Resisting Discrimination In Democratic Elections, Matthew Nicholson
Honors Scholars Collaborative Projects
Suffrage movements make use of various social and political factors to pressure their governments to expand the scope of voting rights. Using McAdam’s political process model, I will analyze how disenfranchised groups’ use of nonviolent demonstration, appeals to international pressure, and appeals to religion, affects their success. This will also highlight patterns that emerge when groups are willing to instigate violence in pursuit of their goals. Most studies examine these variables in the context of the pursuit of independence or revolution, whereas this study focuses on groups wishing to remain within a system given their desired reforms. I will analyze …
Do Question Topic And Placement Shape Breakoff Rates, Luke Plutowski, Elizabeth Zechmeister
Do Question Topic And Placement Shape Breakoff Rates, Luke Plutowski, Elizabeth Zechmeister
Workshop: Survey Design Under Constraints
No abstract provided.
How Worried Should We Be? The Implications Of Fabricated Survey Data For Political Science, Oscar Castorena, Mollie Cohen, Noam Lupu, Elizabeth Zechmeister
How Worried Should We Be? The Implications Of Fabricated Survey Data For Political Science, Oscar Castorena, Mollie Cohen, Noam Lupu, Elizabeth Zechmeister
Workshop: Survey Design Under Constraints
No abstract provided.
C-Dem Annual Report 2022, Allison Harell, Laura Stephenson
C-Dem Annual Report 2022, Allison Harell, Laura Stephenson
Annual Reports
No abstract provided.
Pluralism In Canada: Black Canadian Lives Matter? Attitudes On Racial Inequalities In Canada, Ruth Dassonneville, Nadjim Fréchet
Pluralism In Canada: Black Canadian Lives Matter? Attitudes On Racial Inequalities In Canada, Ruth Dassonneville, Nadjim Fréchet
C-Dem Forum 2022
No abstract provided.
Electoral Democracy In A Post-Pandemic World: Centring The Citizen C-Dem Forum Presentation, Sabreena Delhon
Electoral Democracy In A Post-Pandemic World: Centring The Citizen C-Dem Forum Presentation, Sabreena Delhon
C-Dem Forum 2022
No abstract provided.
The Effect Of Partisan Representation At Different Levels Of Government On Satisfaction With Democracy In The United States, Julie Vandusky-Allen, Stephen M. Utych
The Effect Of Partisan Representation At Different Levels Of Government On Satisfaction With Democracy In The United States, Julie Vandusky-Allen, Stephen M. Utych
Political Science Faculty Publications and Presentations
In this paper, we analyze how variations in partisan representation across different levels of government influence Americans’ satisfaction with the democracy in the United States. We conduct two survey experiments and analyze data from the 2016 American National Election Study postelection survey. We find that Americans are the most satisfied with democracy when their most preferred party controls both the federal and their respective state governments. However, we also find that even if an individual’s least preferred party only controls one level of government, they are still more satisfied with democracy than if their most preferred party controls no levels …
Nevada Campaign Financing: U.S. House Of Representatives, 2020, Kristian Thymianos, Olivia K. Cheche, William E. Brown Jr.
Nevada Campaign Financing: U.S. House Of Representatives, 2020, Kristian Thymianos, Olivia K. Cheche, William E. Brown Jr.
Elections & Governance
In the 2020 election cycle, Nevada’s U.S. House of Representatives delegation fundraised a combined total of $9,994,636. This fact sheet summarizes the campaign donations and expenditures of these representatives. The data are collected from the Open Secrets website.
Corruption, Campaigning, And Novelty: The 2020 Parliamentary Elections And The Evolving Patterns Of Party Politics In Slovakia, Tim Haughton, Marek Rybář, Kevin Deegan-Krause
Corruption, Campaigning, And Novelty: The 2020 Parliamentary Elections And The Evolving Patterns Of Party Politics In Slovakia, Tim Haughton, Marek Rybář, Kevin Deegan-Krause
Honors Scholarly Publications
Party politics across Central and Eastern Europe has become less structured. Many of the divides that anchored political competition have waned in recent years, weakening the attachment of voters to the existing palette of parties and making them more likely to be attracted to new and non-traditional electoral vehicles. But for such parties to succeed at the ballot box, they need to be able to frame elections and campaign effectively. Drawing on data from a specially commissioned survey, we find that the success of Ordinary People and Independent Personalities (OĽaNO) led by Igor Matovič in the 2020 parliamentary elections in …
Inexperienced Or Anti-Establishment? Voter Preferences For Outsider Congressional Candidates, Eric Hansen, Sarah Treul
Inexperienced Or Anti-Establishment? Voter Preferences For Outsider Congressional Candidates, Eric Hansen, Sarah Treul
Political Science: Faculty Publications and Other Works
Do US voters prefer inexperienced candidates? Candidates who have never held elected office before have had greater success in recent presidential and congressional elections. However, it could be that voters prefer the type of anti-establishment rhetoric that such candidates use more than the lack of experience itself. We conduct a 2x2 factorial experiment that manipulates a fictitious congressional candidate’s experience and rhetoric toward the political system. Results from a nationally representative Qualtrics sample and two follow-up studies from Mechanical Turk show that respondents evaluate the candidate more positively when he uses anti-establishment rhetoric instead of pro-establishment rhetoric. Though the findings …