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Articles 1 - 30 of 79
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Food Security, Economic Growth And Price Stability Nexus And Conceptual Issues, Park O. Idisi
Food Security, Economic Growth And Price Stability Nexus And Conceptual Issues, Park O. Idisi
Economic and Financial Review
A strong argument that encourages analysing food security and food price stability issues is importance to economic well-being. Nigeria is one of the most food insecure countries and highly affected by all three drivers. For one, the country is vulnerable to price instability and successively hit by environmental disasters, that impact people’s livelihoods. Furthermore, its economy is thriving, but around 48.0 per cent of its population lives below the poverty line (World Bank, 2020; World Poverty Clock, 2020). In addition to that, since 2009 northeastern Nigeria is struck by insurgency. Essentially, sustainability in economic growth is dependent on achievement of …
Non-Tax Incentives And Agricultural Output In Nigeria, Elias A. Udeaja, Elijah O. Akanni, Emomotimi M. Question, Peter F. Offum, Titoluwa P. Eyinla
Non-Tax Incentives And Agricultural Output In Nigeria, Elias A. Udeaja, Elijah O. Akanni, Emomotimi M. Question, Peter F. Offum, Titoluwa P. Eyinla
Economic and Financial Review
This study investigates the impact of non-tax incentives on agricultural sector output in Nigeria from 1981 to 2019, using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model/Bounds test technique. The findings of this study show that non-tax incentives have a significant positive impact on agricultural sector output growth in the long-run; however, the effect was negative and statistically insignificant in the short run. On the other hand, government expenditure on agriculture was negative and significant on agricultural sector output growth in the short-run, while its long-run impact was also negative but not significant. Therefore, the study recommends targeted expansion of non-tax incentives to …
Budget Deficit And Economic Growth In Nigeria, A. D. Umaru, H. M. Aliero, M. Abubakar
Budget Deficit And Economic Growth In Nigeria, A. D. Umaru, H. M. Aliero, M. Abubakar
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examines the relationship between budget deficit and economic growth in Nigeria, from a linear and non-linear perspective, using annual time series data from 1981 to 2019. The linear model, which involves the use of an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach, was compared with a non-linear analysis, using a threshold autoregressive (TAR) model. The ARDL analysis reveals that the growth of national output is positively driven by the persistent budget deficit in Nigeria. This was substantiated by the TAR model which indicates that though budget deficit drives economic growth in Nigeria, the positive relationship holds only if the deficit …
Revisiting The Finance And Industrial Growth Nexus In Nigeria, E. A. Udeaja, E. O. Akanni, P. F. Offum
Revisiting The Finance And Industrial Growth Nexus In Nigeria, E. A. Udeaja, E. O. Akanni, P. F. Offum
Economic and Financial Review
This paper re-examines the relationship between finance and industrial growth in Nigeria by including aggregate credit to the industrial sector and financial development index as additional variables into the industrial growth model. Using data spanning the last four decades, we apply the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to estimate an industrial growth model that accounts for the role of finance-related variables, while also controlling for the impact of electricity consumption and structural breaks. The key findings in the study are threefold. First, our results confirm that finance is a significant driver of industrial growth in Nigeria. Second, the …
Analysis Of The Impact Of Central Bank Of Nigeria's Agricultural Intervention Funds On The Economy, E. T. Adamgbe, M. C. Belonwu, E. R. Ochu, I. I. Okafor
Analysis Of The Impact Of Central Bank Of Nigeria's Agricultural Intervention Funds On The Economy, E. T. Adamgbe, M. C. Belonwu, E. R. Ochu, I. I. Okafor
Economic and Financial Review
This paper set out to investigate the impact of Central Bank of Nigeria's interventions on the agricultural sector within an economy-wide framework of general equilibrium modelling. The paper adopted a dynamic (recursive), two-sector general equilibrium model of the Nigerian economy with some modifications on the standard model developed by the Centre for Econometric and Applied Research (CEAR) and incorporated the contributions of the CBN's agricultural based interventions as increases in the stock of agricultural capital to have a more robust size of interventions into the agricultural sector. The SAM used for the CGE model analysis was derived from the updated …
Macroeconomic Instability Index And Threshold For The Nigerian Economy, B. A. G. Amoo, J. K. Achua, N. P. Audu, B. Hamma
Macroeconomic Instability Index And Threshold For The Nigerian Economy, B. A. G. Amoo, J. K. Achua, N. P. Audu, B. Hamma
Economic and Financial Review
The paper employed statistical algorithms, factor analysis and threshold autoregressive models to address the gaps in management of macroeconomic instability in Nigeria. Using data spanning 2010q1 to 2017q2, the findings showed that the values of macroeconomic instability index (MII) fluctuated between 0.316 and 0.609, with a threshold of 0.461. This showed an inverse relationship between macroeconomic instability and economic growth. This framework could serve as a mechanism to gauge early warning signal of instability in Nigeria.
Determinants Of Nigeria's External Sector Competitiveness, O. Duke, M. Yakub, M. Nakorji, B. Gaiya, F. Isma'il, Z. Sani, S. Zimboh, T. Obiezue, O. Asuzu, V. Aliyu
Determinants Of Nigeria's External Sector Competitiveness, O. Duke, M. Yakub, M. Nakorji, B. Gaiya, F. Isma'il, Z. Sani, S. Zimboh, T. Obiezue, O. Asuzu, V. Aliyu
Economic and Financial Review
The study investigated the determinants of Nigeria's external competitiveness, with a view to providing sound policy prescriptions on ways to improve competitiveness. The study employed an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, using monthly data spanning 2008 to 2016 to determine the short- and long-run relationships among some selected macroeconomic variables. These included real effective exchange rate, exports, productivity, crude oil price, capital flow and consumer price index. The results from the short-run analysis revealed that productivity, proxied by government expenditure, and crude oil price were found to be the major determinants of external sector competitiveness in Nigeria, while CPI was …
Economic Growth, Poverty And Income Inequality Matrix In Nigeria: A Further Investigation, H. O. Okafor
Economic Growth, Poverty And Income Inequality Matrix In Nigeria: A Further Investigation, H. O. Okafor
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examined the existing relationship among economic growth, poverty and income inequality in Nigeria. Using the Vector Auto-regressive (VAR) model and the Engle-Granger technique to test for the causality existing among the variables, the results revealed that economic growth had no impact on poverty reduction and income distribution in Nigeria due its non-inclusive nature. There was, however, evidence of a unidirectional causality, running from income inequality to increased poverty. This implied that inequality would lead to increase in poverty in Nigeria. Therefore, the paper recommended that government should develop stronger economic institutions that are capable of reorganising the productive …
The Impact Of Lending Rate On The Manufacturing Sector In Nigeria, D. B. Akpan, D. J. Yilkudi, D. C. Opiah
The Impact Of Lending Rate On The Manufacturing Sector In Nigeria, D. B. Akpan, D. J. Yilkudi, D. C. Opiah
Economic and Financial Review
The study investigates the impact of lending rate on output of the manufacturing subsector using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and annual data from 1981- 2014. The empirical results indicated that high lending rate had negative impact on manufacturing output in the long-run. This suggests that increase in lending rate undermines manufacturing output, thus retarding growth in the real sector. Specifically, the estimates revealed that a 1.0 per cent increase in lending rate reduces manufacturing output by 0.03 per cent. The study, therefore, recommends the implementation of investment friendly policies that narrows the lending rate by the deposit money …
Economic Growth, Poverty And Income Inequality Matrix In Nigeria: A Further Investigation, H.O. Okafor
Economic Growth, Poverty And Income Inequality Matrix In Nigeria: A Further Investigation, H.O. Okafor
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examined the existing relationship among economic growth, poverty and income inequality in Nigeria. Using the Vector Auto-regressive (VAR) model and the Engle-Granger technique to test for the causality existing among the variables, the results revealed that economic growth had no impact on poverty reduction and income distribution in Nigeria due its non-inclusive nature. There was, however, evidence of a unidirectional causality, running from income inequality to increased poverty. This implied that inequality would lead to increase in poverty in Nigeria. Therefore, the paper recommended that govemment should develop stronger economic institutions that ore capable of reorganising the productive …
Keynote Address On Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn -The Role Of Central Bank Of Nigeria? Delivered At The 2016 Central Bank Of Nigeria Executive Seminar, G.I. Emefiele
Economic and Financial Review
This is a keynote address delivered by the Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria at the 2016 executive seminar with the theme "financing government programmes in economic downturn - the role of central bank of Nigeria
Special Remarks: Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn -The Role Of Central Bank Of Nigeria? Delivered At The 2016 Annual Executive Seminar, S.O. Alade
Economic and Financial Review
This is the special remarks delivered by the Deputy Governor (Economic Policy) during the 2016 executive seminar, "financing government programmes in economic downturn- the role of central bank of Nigeria.
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: Theoretical Issues And Perspectives, A. H. Ekpo
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: Theoretical Issues And Perspectives, A. H. Ekpo
Economic and Financial Review
The purpose of this paper is to articulate the theoretical issues and perspectives which underscore the need for caution in financing government programmes whether in the recurrent outlay or capital programmes as individual financing modes have built in costs and risks that could inhibit the realisation of government objectives.
Financing Government Deficit During Economic Downturn: Options For Consideration, O. Ajakaiye
Financing Government Deficit During Economic Downturn: Options For Consideration, O. Ajakaiye
Economic and Financial Review
The author examines the efficacy of the conventional approach to financing budget deficit during economic downturn in Nigeria. He also considers other (unconventional) options for financing budget deficits during economic downturn in Nigeria.
The Role Of Central Banks During Economic Downturn: Lessons And Options For Financing Government Programmes In Nigeria, C.N.O. Mordi
The Role Of Central Banks During Economic Downturn: Lessons And Options For Financing Government Programmes In Nigeria, C.N.O. Mordi
Economic and Financial Review
The author examine both the traditional and developmental roles central banks plays in financing government programmes/projects.
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: Policy Options, F.U. Jacobs
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: Policy Options, F.U. Jacobs
Economic and Financial Review
This author examines the various policy options for the manufacturing sector of the economy in an economic downturn.
Financng Government Programmes During Economic Downturn: Policy Options, E.M. Abolo
Financng Government Programmes During Economic Downturn: Policy Options, E.M. Abolo
Economic and Financial Review
The author discussed various policy options that can be adopted to finance government programmes during economic downturn. He explained in details the concept as it affects the economic growth and development.
Governments' Options For Financing The Sustainable Development Goals (Sdgs) In A Period Of Economic Downturn, Robert C. Asogwa
Governments' Options For Financing The Sustainable Development Goals (Sdgs) In A Period Of Economic Downturn, Robert C. Asogwa
Economic and Financial Review
The paper reviews the strategies for strengthening the existing sources of traditional finance in Nigeria and also, introduces new sources of innovative finance that will be suitable for funding government development programmes, as well as, the SDGs Agenda 2030. Furthermore, the possible role of the central bank vis a-vis the government fiscal authorities in the management of some sophisticated financial instruments which is increasingly gaining momentum as part of innovative development finance is discussed.
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: A Comparative Analysis, T. Oshikoya
Financing Government Programmes In Economic Downturn: A Comparative Analysis, T. Oshikoya
Economic and Financial Review
This paper examines the experience of Nigeria and other oil exporting countries in adjusting to lower oil prices and financing government programmes during economic downturn.
Non-Oil Exports, Economic Growth And Macroeconomic Stability, T.A. Oyejide
Non-Oil Exports, Economic Growth And Macroeconomic Stability, T.A. Oyejide
Economic and Financial Review
The author discussed the role of non-oil exports in the structural transformation and sectoral diversification processes which are inherently associated with sustainable growth and development outcomes as well as the focus of the analysis shifts to an examination of the role of non-oil exports in promoting economic growth and development.
Keynote Address At The Executive Seminar On Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management In Nigeria, Godwin I. Emefiele
Keynote Address At The Executive Seminar On Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management In Nigeria, Godwin I. Emefiele
Economic and Financial Review
This is keynote address delivered by the Governor of Central Bank, Godwin I. Emefiele, on the executive seminar on exchange rate policy and economic development- Is there a need for paradigm shift?
Welcome Address At The Executive Seminar On "Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management", C. Mojekwu
Welcome Address At The Executive Seminar On "Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management", C. Mojekwu
Economic and Financial Review
This is a welcome address by the Director of Human Resources Department on the 2015 CBN executive seminar jointly organized by the Research and Human Resources Departments.
Special Remarks At The Executive Seminar On Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management In Nigeria - Is There A Need For Paradigm Shift?, S.O. Alade
Economic and Financial Review
This is a special remark delivered by the Deputy Governor (Economic Policy) during the 23rd edition of the Annual Executive Seminar jointly organized by the Research and Human Resources Departments with the theme: "Exchange rate policy and economic management in Nigeria- Is there need for a paradigm shift?
An Overview And Dynamics Of Financial Market Development In Nigeria And Imperatives For Exchange Rate Stability, E.U. Ukeje
Economic and Financial Review
The article discusses the important role money market plays in the economic development of any country which provides the platform for central banks to influence short-term interest rates,
Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management: A Theoretical Nexus, Ayodele Jimoh
Exchange Rate Policy And Economic Management: A Theoretical Nexus, Ayodele Jimoh
Economic and Financial Review
This article focused on exchange rate policy and economic management: a theoretical nexus
An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Ardl) Approach To The Oil Consumption And Growth Nexus: Nigerian Evidence, N. Inuwa, H. M. Usman
An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Ardl) Approach To The Oil Consumption And Growth Nexus: Nigerian Evidence, N. Inuwa, H. M. Usman
Economic and Financial Review
This study attempts to examine the relationship between oil consumption, carbon emission and economic growth in Nigeria covering the period 1980-2011. The study applied Dickey-Fuller Generalised Least Square (DF-GLS) unit root test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test approach to co-integration. The bond test results reveals a long-run equilibrium relationship among oil consumption, carbon emission and economic growth. The result also showed a positive and statistically significant impact of oil consumption on economic growth. The coefficient of error correction term in the ARDL model was statistically significant, indicating that the adjustment process by which long-run equilibrium is restored after …
Government Size And Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Test Of Wagner's Hypothesis, M. Y. Dogo, U. M. Okpanachi, A. A. Muhammad, C. V. Umolu, K. J. Ajayi
Government Size And Economic Growth In Nigeria: A Test Of Wagner's Hypothesis, M. Y. Dogo, U. M. Okpanachi, A. A. Muhammad, C. V. Umolu, K. J. Ajayi
Economic and Financial Review
This paper attempts an empirical validation of Wagner's law in Nigeria using quarterly data for the period 1982 to 2012. The hypothesis that real income does not Granger-cause government expenditure was rejected. Adopting the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) regression techniques, the study found support for the Wagner's hypothesis in Nigeria. The analysis provided empirical evidence to support the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic activity and government expenditure in Nigeria. Overall, the results corroborated the Goffman's version of the Wagner's law in Nigeria. Thus, government needs to create fiscal space to enable deployment of more resources …
Does Gender Inequality Retard Productivity In Nigeria?: A Search For Evidence, P. D. Golit, O. Adesanya
Does Gender Inequality Retard Productivity In Nigeria?: A Search For Evidence, P. D. Golit, O. Adesanya
Economic and Financial Review
The paper adopted the bounds test and autoregressive distributed lag approach to evaluate the impact of gender inequality in education on real productivity in Nigeria using quarterly data from 1985 to 2011. Empirical evidence to establish the rejection of the null hypothesis of no cointegration among the variables was provided . The empirical results suggest that gender inequality in education depresses real productivity, with an output elasticity of -0.1 per cent per quarter. Further empirical evidence indicates that higher school enrolment of males enhances real productivity in Nigeria, while the influence of female school enrolment was not affirmative owing to …
Structural Change And Real Output Growth In Nigeria: A Cointegration Analysis, P. D. Golit
Structural Change And Real Output Growth In Nigeria: A Cointegration Analysis, P. D. Golit
Economic and Financial Review
The study employed the Johansen (1988) and the Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate maximum likelihood method within a Vector Autoregressive framework to explore the impact of structural reforms on the level of real output in Nigeria. We fit the equation separately for two sub-samples, the pre-reform and the market-reform periods, to enable comparisons of the outcomes under alternative policy regimes. We further estimate the model using data that covered the entire sample period to evaluate the total effects and include a dummy variable to capture the impact of the policy shift. The Johansen cointegration test confirms the existence of long-run …
Effect Of Deposit Money Banks' Credit On The Performance Of Micro, Small And Medium Enterprises In Nigeria, G. O. Evbuomwan, V. O. Okoruwa, A. E. Ikpi
Effect Of Deposit Money Banks' Credit On The Performance Of Micro, Small And Medium Enterprises In Nigeria, G. O. Evbuomwan, V. O. Okoruwa, A. E. Ikpi
Economic and Financial Review
This paper set out to empirically evaluate the effect of deposit money banks' credit on the performance of MSMEs in Nigeria, with the aid of a vector autoregression and error correction mechanism (ECM) technique. Results of the empirical investigation confirmed credit had a positive effect on GDP of MSMEs in Nigeria as the coefficient of CAM (credit to MSMEs) was positive (1.0569) and significant at 1.0 per cent level. It was, therefore, recommended that every effort should be made to improve access to credit by MSMEs, so that they could play their potential roles of employment generation and wealth creation …