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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Estimated Age Effects In Baseball, Ray Fair
Estimated Age Effects In Baseball, Ray Fair
Ray C Fair
Age effects in baseball are estimated in this paper using a nonlinear fixed-effects regression. The sample consists of all players who have played 10 or more ``full-time'' years in the major leagues between 1921 and 2004. Quadratic improvement is assumed up to a peak-performance age, which is estimated, and then quadratic decline after that, where the two quadratics need not be the same. Each player has his own constant term. The results show that aging effects are larger for pitchers than for batters and larger for baseball than for track and field, running, and swimming events and for chess. There …
Estimates Of The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy, Ray C. Fair
Estimates Of The Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy, Ray C. Fair
Ray C Fair
This paper examines various interest rate rules, as well as policies derived by solving optimal control problems, for their ability to dampen economic fluctuations caused by random shocks. A tax rate rule is also considered. A multicountry econometric model is used for the experiments. The results differ sharply from those obtained using recent models in which the coefficient on inflation in the nominal interest rate rule must be greater than one in order for the economy to be stable.