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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

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Economics

CMC Senior Theses

2015

Bayesian Inference

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

The Resource Curse And Economic Freedom: A Bayesian Perspective, Danielle M. Roberts Jan 2015

The Resource Curse And Economic Freedom: A Bayesian Perspective, Danielle M. Roberts

CMC Senior Theses

The literature addressing the resource curse has been extensive. Many studies have put forth theories to explain the curse, but these theories are often refuted by new studies. Recently, there has been a theory that natural resource abundance leads to decreased economic freedom, which causes slower economic growth. Many of these studies have using frequentist testing to arrive at their conclusions. Although frequentist testing is widely used, there are several drawbacks. In particular, there is no way of addressing model uncertainty. Unless a study is able to incorporate every significant explanatory variable, the results will suffer from omitted variable bias. …