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Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)
Economic forecast, economic situation analysis, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), policy suggestions
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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Forecast Of China’S Economic Growth Rate For 2022 And Policy Suggestions, Xikang Chen, Cuihong Yang, Kunfu Zhu, Huijuan Wang, Xinru Li, Qingyan Juang
Forecast Of China’S Economic Growth Rate For 2022 And Policy Suggestions, Xikang Chen, Cuihong Yang, Kunfu Zhu, Huijuan Wang, Xinru Li, Qingyan Juang
Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)
Faced with the complex domestic and international environment, the Chinese government took various measures to coordinate epidemic control with economic and social development, earning recovered growth of the economy in 2021. In 2022, China's economic development will be facing greater uncertainty. This study systematically analyzes and forecasts the development trend and regularity of China's medium and long-term economic growth rate. It is expected that the medium and long-term economic growth rate of China will show a downward trend in a wave shape. Based on input-output technology, econometrics, prosperity analysis, expert analysis, and scenario analysis, a systematic integrated factor prediction approach …