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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Three Essays On Macroeconomics And Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Three Essays On Macroeconomics And Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Doctoral Dissertations
This dissertation is a collection of essays that relate, in different forms, macroeconomic policies to economic development. Essay 1 provides evidence that austerity shocks have longrun negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the important gap in the growing fiscal research regarding the short time horizon of the estimations, the paper analyzes two other important assumptions made in the literature regarding the (i) symmetry of episodes of fiscal expansion and contraction and (ii) uniformity of fiscal multipliers for different sizes of shocks. We use narrative fiscal shocks and propensity score reweighting in a local projections setup to account for the potential …
Capital Nationality And Economic Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Capital Nationality And Economic Development, Guilherme Klein Martins
Economics Department Working Paper Series
This paper reviews different literature strands and performs an empirical test to evaluate how capital ownership, particularly its nationality, might affect long-run economic develop- ment. Our results indicate that low and middle-income countries with larger foreign capital stock in 1980 had lower economic growth over the next 39 years. The estimations also indi- cate that these economies developed a less specialized export basket, which became relatively more concentrated in low-tech goods. The results are inverted to high-income economies, for which the effects are positive on GDP growth and export specialization and complexi- fication. The results are in line with the …
Jobless Growth In The Central And Eastern European Countries, Özlem Onaran
Jobless Growth In The Central And Eastern European Countries, Özlem Onaran
PERI Working Papers
This paper estimates a labor demand equation based on the panel data of manufacturing industry in the Central and Eastern European Countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, and Romania) in order to test the effect of domestic factors (wages and output) and international factors (exports, imports, and FDI) on employment during the era of post-transition recovery. The findings indicate that employment does not respond to wages in more than half of the cases. The output elasticity of labor demand is mostly positive, but low, with a number of cases where employment is completely de-linked from output. …
The Linkages Between Fdi And Domestic Investment: Unravelling The Developmental Impact Of Foreign Investment In Sub-Saharan Africa, Léonce Ndikumana, Sher Verick
The Linkages Between Fdi And Domestic Investment: Unravelling The Developmental Impact Of Foreign Investment In Sub-Saharan Africa, Léonce Ndikumana, Sher Verick
Léonce Ndikumana
While the recent increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) to African countries is a welcome development, the question remains as to the impact of these resource inflows on economic development. This study posits that a key channel of the impact of FDI on development is through its effects on domestic factor markets, especially domestic investment and employment. In this context, this study analyses the two-way linkages between FDI and domestic investment in Sub-Saharan Africa. The results suggest that firstly, FDI crowds in domestic investment, and secondly, countries will gain much from measures aimed at improving the domestic investment climate. Moreover, …
Wage Share, Globalization, And Crisis: The Case Of The Manufacturing Industry In Korea, Mexico, And Turkey, Özlem Onaran
Wage Share, Globalization, And Crisis: The Case Of The Manufacturing Industry In Korea, Mexico, And Turkey, Özlem Onaran
PERI Working Papers
The aim of this paper is to analyze the changes in the wage share in manufacturing industry in Mexico, Turkey, and Korea in the era of globalization. The focus is on the one hand over the effects of globalization on the wage share , which are measured by the effects of international trade and FDI intensity of the economy. On the other hand, the process of opening up has been accompanied by major currency crises in most developing countries in the last decade, which has affected the wage share through exchange rate depreciation and economic recession. The paper develops a …