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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Impact Of Monetary Policy On Inflation Rate In Nigeria: Vector Autoregressive Analysis, Eggon Ahmed Henry, Ajidani Moses Sabo Dec 2020

Impact Of Monetary Policy On Inflation Rate In Nigeria: Vector Autoregressive Analysis, Eggon Ahmed Henry, Ajidani Moses Sabo

Bullion

The Nigerian monetary authorities have implemented several monetary management policies with the aim of achieving price stability and economic growth in the country, but without success. This study was conducted to examine the impact of monetary policy management on inflation in Nigeria during the 1985- 2019. Autoregressive distributed lag analysis was employed on time series data covering the period. It was found that while monetary policy rate and foreign exchange rate impacted negatively on inflation; broad money supply impact positively on it. Therefore, the study recommended that monetary authorities should fix the exchange rate at where the value of Naira …


Impact Of Tax Revenue On Economic Growth In Nigeria (1981-2017), Abubakar Biliksu Aliyu, A. A. Mustapha Dec 2020

Impact Of Tax Revenue On Economic Growth In Nigeria (1981-2017), Abubakar Biliksu Aliyu, A. A. Mustapha

Bullion

The main objective of this research is to assess empirically the impact of tax revenue on economic growth in Nigeria, spanning from 1981 to 2017. It employs, time series data obtained from the CBN statistical bulletins, FIRS annual publications and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) portal. To achieve the objectives of the study, OLS and ARDL techniques were employed to estimate the relationships and the dynamics and longrun effects of independent variables on dependent variable. ARDL bound test revealed that the variables are cointegrated while ARDL long-run estimation indicated that petroleum profit, value added tax and government domestic debt are …


Impact Of Government Expenditure On Economic Growth In Nigeria, 1970-2019, Aluthge Chandana, Jibir Adamu, Abdu Musa Dec 2020

Impact Of Government Expenditure On Economic Growth In Nigeria, 1970-2019, Aluthge Chandana, Jibir Adamu, Abdu Musa

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This study investigates the impact of Nigerian government expenditure (disaggregated into capital and recurrent) on economic growth using time series data for the period 1970-2019. The paper employs Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. To ensure robustness of results, the study accounts for structural breaks in the unit root test and the co-integration analysis. The key findings of the study are that capital expenditure has positive and significant impact on economic growth both in the short run and long run while recurrent expenditure does not have significant impact on economic growth both in the short run and long run. The study …


Renewable-Energy Resources, Economic Growth And Their Causal Link, Yiyang Chen Aug 2020

Renewable-Energy Resources, Economic Growth And Their Causal Link, Yiyang Chen

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This thesis examines the presence and strength of predictive causal relationship between re-newable energy prices and economic growth. We look for evidence by investigating the cases of Norway, New Zealand, and Canada’s two provinces of Alberta and Ontario. The usual vectorautoregressive model (VAR) and its various improved versions still assume constant parametersover time. We devise a Markov-switching VAR (MS-VAR) model in order to accommodate the observed time-dependent causal relation changes. Our proposed modelling approach is induced by the hidden Markov model methodologies in terms of an online parameter estimationthrough recursive filtering. The parameters of the MS-VAR model are governed by …


The Global Production Sharing And Economic Development: The Nexus Of Preferential Trade Agreements And Unilateral Trade, Handunnetti Naveen Mendis Wickremeratne Jul 2020

The Global Production Sharing And Economic Development: The Nexus Of Preferential Trade Agreements And Unilateral Trade, Handunnetti Naveen Mendis Wickremeratne

Theses and Dissertations

This study primarily attempts to investigate the causal relationship between Global Production Sharing and economic growth. Secondarily, the study attempts to identify the impact of Preferential Trade Agreements on Global Production Sharing. The study is based on secondary data for a panel of 12 Asian countries for the time period from 1999 to 2017. The methodology adopted for the study is both quantitative and qualitative. The empirical methodology is based on Cobb-Douglas production function, and panel fixed effects estimator is employed to derive the consistent estimates. The empirical findings of the study suggest that Global Production Sharing has a positive …


Efficiency Gain Argument Of Fiscal Federalism And Economic Growth: Evidence From Five Selected Developing Federal Economies, Hyacinth E. Ichoku, Walter O. Ugwuoke Jun 2020

Efficiency Gain Argument Of Fiscal Federalism And Economic Growth: Evidence From Five Selected Developing Federal Economies, Hyacinth E. Ichoku, Walter O. Ugwuoke

Bullion

This paper investigated efficiency gain argument of fiscal federalism and economic growth with evidence from five selected developing federal economies. The curiosity is to ascertain whether the efficiency gain –the fundamental argument why countries adopt fiscal federalism is justified in these economies. The paper uses stochastic frontier model to achieve this objective. The evidence from the selected developing federal economies revealed diverging results. While in Nigeria, Ethiopia and India there is more expenditure decentralization than revenue decentralization suggesting that efficiency gains from fiscal federalism may remain elusive, in Brazil and South Africa there is more revenue decentralization than expenditure decentralization …


Analysis Of The Causal Link Between Economic Growth And Development In Nigeria (1960-2019), Muhammad Umar Jun 2020

Analysis Of The Causal Link Between Economic Growth And Development In Nigeria (1960-2019), Muhammad Umar

Bullion

Taking cognizant of Nigeria's recent policies toward translating growth to meaningful development, this study aimed at analysing causality amid economic growth and development using annual series from 1960-2019.The study engaged vector autoregressive method by embracing Toda and Yamamoto 1995 model. The results reveals a bidirectional causality between economic growth and dependency ratio; population growth rate and economic growth and also it reveals the evidence of uni-directional causality from dependency ratio to life expectancy and from population growth to life expectancy. But economic growth and life expectancy as well as dependency ratio and life expectancy does not present evidence of causality.


Female Labor Force Participation And Economic Growth: Granger Causality Test, Zulakha Rahman May 2020

Female Labor Force Participation And Economic Growth: Granger Causality Test, Zulakha Rahman

Theses and Dissertations

Does rising female labor force participation precede economic growth, or does the relationship run in the other direction? This paper addresses this question by performing a Granger causality test to examine the relationship between economic growth and female labor force participation worldwide. The economic growth –is measured in two ways: using Growth Domestic Product, Purchasing Power Parity (constant 2011 international dollar) and Growth Domestic Product using local currency units. The test uses a completely balanced panel dataset spanning over 28 years from 1990 to 2018 and using 151 countries for Purchasing Power Parity dataset and 154 countries in GDP in …


Essays On Heterogeneous Large Panel Data Models, Ke Miao May 2020

Essays On Heterogeneous Large Panel Data Models, Ke Miao

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

This dissertation consists of three papers which contribute to the estimation and inference theory of the heterogeneous large panel data models. The first chapter studies a panel threshold model with interactive fixed effects. The least-squares estimators in the shrinking-threshold-effect framework are explored. The inference theory on both slope coefficients and the threshold parameter is derived, and a test for the presence of the threshold effect is proposed. The second chapter considers the least-squares estimation of a panel structure threshold regression (PSTR) model, where parameters may exhibit latent group structures. Under some regularity conditions, the latent group structure can be correctly …


The Effect Of Oil Price On Economic Growth In Lebanon: A Markov-Switching Approach, Işıl Akgül, Kenan Lopcu May 2020

The Effect Of Oil Price On Economic Growth In Lebanon: A Markov-Switching Approach, Işıl Akgül, Kenan Lopcu

Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies

This paper investigates the regime changes in the Lebanese economy using Markov Switching Auto Regressive models. Using the industrial production index and various variables, including oil prices, we identify two distinct regimes. The findings reveal that the Lebanese growth cycles are largely driven by seasonal effects and random shocks. The findings also indicate that the average duration of the instable and slow growth regime is much longer than that of the expansion and high growth regime. Finally, the probabilities of switching from one regime to another are rather very low but nearly zero for switching from the instable slow growth …


Exchange Rate Regimes And Economic Growth, Amandarae Matthew Apr 2020

Exchange Rate Regimes And Economic Growth, Amandarae Matthew

Undergraduate Theses

This paper explores the relationship between economic growth and exchange rate regimes among countries of lower income, lower middle income, upper middle income, and high-income countries. Countries must make careful consideration when choosing an exchange rate regime because each regime can have different long-term effects. A cross section pooled time series data will be used for a sample of 42 countries over the period of 2000-2018. Multiple models will examine the various relationships between types of exchange rate regimes, changes in exchange rate regimes, and economic growth. The components of the models being tested include political stability, change in terms …


Governance, Institutional Quality, Growth And Inequality In Africa. A Study Of Central Bank Of Nigeria, Ann Ogbo, Arachie Augustine Ebuka, Ezema Ikechukwu Humphrey Mar 2020

Governance, Institutional Quality, Growth And Inequality In Africa. A Study Of Central Bank Of Nigeria, Ann Ogbo, Arachie Augustine Ebuka, Ezema Ikechukwu Humphrey

Bullion

This paper examined the role of institutional quality on economic growth and reduction of inequality in Nigeria. Survey research design was adopted and data were collected through primary and secondary sources. Population of the study was 600 businesses across Nigeria. Descriptive and inferential statistics were used for data analysis. Findings revealed that the bottlenecks facing businesses in accessing loans have significant effects on business creation in Nigeria. The study concluded that lack of policies and interventions are not the problems for small businesses to obtaining funds from government, but effectiveness and efficiency of these interventions and policies.


Pension Fund, Financial Development And Output Growth In Nigeria, Iwegbu Onyebuchi Mar 2020

Pension Fund, Financial Development And Output Growth In Nigeria, Iwegbu Onyebuchi

Bullion

This study examines the indirect effect of pension fund on economic growth in Nigeria through the financial system. Using Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model, the study found out that pension fund contribution is effective in stimulating growth through investment in portfolios that yield short term returns; this implies that pension fund contribution cannot on its own without a credible financial system impact on economic growth. The policy implication of this study is for Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) to invest in portfolios with short-term returns; thus, a large chunk of funds invested in federal government securities should be unbundled to other …


Temperature And Economic Activity: Evidence From India, Anuska Jain, Róisín O'Sullivan, Vis Taraz Feb 2020

Temperature And Economic Activity: Evidence From India, Anuska Jain, Róisín O'Sullivan, Vis Taraz

Economics: Faculty Publications

This paper investigates the impact of temperature on economic activity in India, using state-level data from 1980–2015. We estimate that a 1 ◦C increase in contemporaneous temperature (relative to our sample mean) reduces the economic growth rate that year by 2.5 percentage points. The adverse impact of higher temperatures is more severe in poorer states and in the primary sector. Our analysis of lagged temperatures suggests that our effects are driven by the contemporaneous effect of temperature on output; we do not find evidence of a permanent impact of contemporaneous temperatures on future growth rates.


How Technology-Based Start-Ups Support U.S. Economic Growth, Mary Blankenship, Caitlin Saladino, William E. Brown Jan 2020

How Technology-Based Start-Ups Support U.S. Economic Growth, Mary Blankenship, Caitlin Saladino, William E. Brown

Economic Development & Workforce

This Fact Sheet examines the trends of technology-based start-ups within the United States and specific states in the Mountain West (Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, Utah, and New Mexico) across the top 10 technology industries in 2016, using data provided by a report from the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation.


Estimating The Impacts Of Business Assistance Programs: The Case Of The Manufacturing Extension Partnership And Multi-Year Estimates, Jim Robey, Randall W. Eberts, Kenneth Voytek Jan 2020

Estimating The Impacts Of Business Assistance Programs: The Case Of The Manufacturing Extension Partnership And Multi-Year Estimates, Jim Robey, Randall W. Eberts, Kenneth Voytek

Presentations

No abstract provided.


Best Performing Cities: Where America's Jobs Are Created And Sustained, Peter Grema, Caitlin Saladino, William E. Brown Jan 2020

Best Performing Cities: Where America's Jobs Are Created And Sustained, Peter Grema, Caitlin Saladino, William E. Brown

Economic Development & Workforce

This Fact Sheet summarizes and expands upon the findings of the Milken Institute’s 2018 Best Performing Cities series report on the top 200 large cities and top 200 small cities in the United States in 2018. For the purposes of this Fact Sheet, the report focuses on 26 metropolitan areas located within the Mountain West region of the United States (Nevada, Arizona, Utah, Colorado, and New Mexico).


Economic Impact Of India-China Trade War: Future Directions, S. Sarangapani Ph.D., N. Muthu Ph.D. Jan 2020

Economic Impact Of India-China Trade War: Future Directions, S. Sarangapani Ph.D., N. Muthu Ph.D.

International Review of Business and Economics

The growing trade war among India and China is creating imbalance in the among developing countries. Both countries are affecting in their business prospects. India is basically importing raw material for export of good and services. Growing tension leads to unnecessary growth impetus which affects industry growth, loss of employment opportunities and other trade related problems. India has considerable potential for reducing its trade deficit with China, as we can see from Made-in-China products sold on the Indian market. Most of them are low- and mid-range products. India can make these things itself. The value tune to the cores of …


How Do Cities Matter? A Review Of Missouri And Its Recent Economic Growth, Joseph H. Haslag, Brookelyn Shaw Jan 2020

How Do Cities Matter? A Review Of Missouri And Its Recent Economic Growth, Joseph H. Haslag, Brookelyn Shaw

Center for Applied Economics

The purpose of this paper to examine the data on economic growth across cities in the United States to see if the data supports the notion that cities are major contributors to their state’s economic growth. We find that even though cities account for a disproportionate amount of economic growth in a majority of states, merely having a metropolitan area (or two) in your state does not guarantee economic success for the state. As we narrow the focus to Missouri, we find that over the past two decades not one metropolitan area in Missouri ranks higher in growth rates than …


Vulnerabilidad Del Índice Colcap Ante El Riesgo País Y El Riesgo De Inversión En Los Mercados De Valores A Nivel Mundial, Miguel Ángel Cely Vásquez, Oscar Javier Oviedo Arroyave Jan 2020

Vulnerabilidad Del Índice Colcap Ante El Riesgo País Y El Riesgo De Inversión En Los Mercados De Valores A Nivel Mundial, Miguel Ángel Cely Vásquez, Oscar Javier Oviedo Arroyave

Finanzas y Comercio Internacional

Este trabajo determina cómo la percepción de riesgo en la economía colombiana y en los mercados de valores a nivel mundial afecta el comportamiento del índice COLCAP. Por medio de un modelo de corrección de error vectorial VEC, se realizan pruebas de cointegración para determinar la existencia de relaciones de largo plazo entre el índice COLCAP, la tasa de los bonos a plazo de cinco años en Colombia y el índice VIX en tres períodos con diferente percepción de estabilidad financiera y de crecimiento económico en Colombia. Donde se encontró que en períodos de mayor fragilidad económica tanto en la …


Plan De Internacionalización Para La Empresa De Joyería Eurojoyas, Laura Camila Castañeda Liévano, Jennifer Daza Cantillo, Tatiana Martínez Téllez Jan 2020

Plan De Internacionalización Para La Empresa De Joyería Eurojoyas, Laura Camila Castañeda Liévano, Jennifer Daza Cantillo, Tatiana Martínez Téllez

Finanzas y Comercio Internacional

La propuesta de este proyecto es formular un plan de internacionalización para una pequeña empresa perteneciente al sector de joyería en Colombia, denominada Eurojoyas, la cual hace 17 años se dedica a la producción y comercialización nacional de joyas y bisutería en oro. Dicho plan se realiza con el fin de investigar nuevos mercados y formular una estrategia de expansión, que contenga una correcta planificación para incursionar en la comercialización internacional de joyería colombiana. Para la planificación del plan de internacionalización se establecieron algunos lineamientos que responden a la necesidad de la empresa en su deseo de incursionar en el …


Does A Change In Immigration Affect The Unemployment Rate In Host Countries? Evidence From Australia, Mostafa Aboelsoud, Anas Alqudah, Eman Elish Jan 2020

Does A Change In Immigration Affect The Unemployment Rate In Host Countries? Evidence From Australia, Mostafa Aboelsoud, Anas Alqudah, Eman Elish

Economics

is study examines and evaluates the dynamic causality relationship between immigration, unemployment, wages and GDP per capita in host countries with a focus on Australia. Previous research has indicated that the economic impact of immigration is significant; nonetheless, its effect on the labour market being positive or negative is inconclusive. This study uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to examine the dynamic short- and long-run nexus between these variables in Australia over the period 1980–2016. The paper provides clear evidence to policymakers on the positive spillover effect of immigration policies developed by the Australian government.