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On Early Warning Models For The Identification Of Problem Banks In Nigeria, Sani I. Doguwa

Economic and Financial Review

This paper proposes alternative early warning models which could be helpful in identifying problem banks in Nigeria. The models rely on the /ogit-analytic technique and the use of financial ratios derived from the monthly returns the licensed banks render to both the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC). The two separate models, each developed for commercial and merchant bank, are more efficient in that they drastically reduced the mis-classification errors inherent in other failure prediction models developed in the past. To illustrate the applications of the models for policy, an appraisal of the financial condition …