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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

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Articles 1 - 20 of 20

Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. Jan 2023

Yield Spreads And Business Cycle Downturn Predictability Across Texas, 1991-2018, Aaron Dodson Nazarian, Steven L. Fullerton, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.

Border Region Modeling Project

This study analyzes Texas state and metropolitan economic downturn predictability. Publicly available Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas dynamic factor business cycle indices are used in the analysis. Sample data cover Texas and nine of its largest metropolitan economies from January 1991 through May 2018. Dynamic autoregressive profit downturn models are estimated using the United States yield spread plus other regional and macroeconomic variables. Predictive accuracy is analyzed using in-sample model simulations. Results indicate that narrowing yield spreads, real peso appreciation, and oil price declines are generally found to increase recession likelihoods. Varying lag structures and equation specifications indicate that the …


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Mar 2022

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, February, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Feb 2022

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, February, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, January, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Jan 2022

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, January, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, December, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Dec 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, December, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, November, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Nov 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, November, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, October, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Oct 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, October, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, September, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Sep 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, September, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, July, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Jul 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, July, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness Mar 2021

Paso Del Norte Economic Indicator Review, March, Hunt Institute For Global Competitiveness

Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Highlights From The Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2022, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton Dec 2020

Highlights From The Borderplex Economic Outlook To 2022, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.


Borderplex Pandemic Monitor, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton May 2020

Borderplex Pandemic Monitor, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Steven L. Fullerton

Border Region Modeling Project

No abstract provided.


Greater El Paso Chamber Of Commerce Community Mental Health Survey, Lisa Tomaka, Mario Caire, Dennis L. Soden Jan 2008

Greater El Paso Chamber Of Commerce Community Mental Health Survey, Lisa Tomaka, Mario Caire, Dennis L. Soden

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Sun Metro Fixed Route Rider Survey, Dennis L. Soden, Mathew Mcelroy, Susanne Green Aug 2006

Sun Metro Fixed Route Rider Survey, Dennis L. Soden, Mathew Mcelroy, Susanne Green

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


City Of Fort Hancock, Texas Incorporation In Texas, Daniel J. Quiñones Nov 2005

City Of Fort Hancock, Texas Incorporation In Texas, Daniel J. Quiñones

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Cluster Analysis For Medical Technologies And Health Services For El Paso County And The Upper Rio Grande Region, Carlos Olmedo, Daniel Carrasco-Terrazas Jul 2003

Cluster Analysis For Medical Technologies And Health Services For El Paso County And The Upper Rio Grande Region, Carlos Olmedo, Daniel Carrasco-Terrazas

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Analysis Of Small Business Lending In Texas, Steve A. Johnson, David A. Schauer, Dennis L. Soden Apr 2002

Analysis Of Small Business Lending In Texas, Steve A. Johnson, David A. Schauer, Dennis L. Soden

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Educational Trends And Income In El Paso: A Longitudinal Perspective, Christine Thurlow Brenner Aug 2001

Educational Trends And Income In El Paso: A Longitudinal Perspective, Christine Thurlow Brenner

IPED Technical Reports

Education is clearly linked to income as numerous studies have shown. In El Paso, this link underscores what can only be called a crisis. As the region’s education level has declined over the past few decades, income has followed in a parallel fashion. This study strongly points out this linkage over the past 50 years, suggesting that a number of issues related to the education pipeline need to be addressed broadly across the community.


Nafta Transportation: The Impacts Of Southern Border Trucking On The Texas Highway System, Barry L. Sullivan, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary Jan 2000

Nafta Transportation: The Impacts Of Southern Border Trucking On The Texas Highway System, Barry L. Sullivan, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.


Public Environmental Information In The Texas-Mexico Border: Analysis, Issues And Directions For The Future, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary Jan 2000

Public Environmental Information In The Texas-Mexico Border: Analysis, Issues And Directions For The Future, Dennis L. Soden, Janet S. Conary

IPED Technical Reports

No abstract provided.