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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Critical Junctures? Privatization Policy In Brazil And Argentina At The Start Of The Century, John Hogan
Critical Junctures? Privatization Policy In Brazil And Argentina At The Start Of The Century, John Hogan
Articles
This paper uses the critical junctures framework developed by Hogan and Doyle (2007) to determine if there were critical junctures in privatization policy in Brazil and Argentina at the start of the 21st century. The framework constitutes a rigorous approach to the identification of crisis, ideational change, and policy change. It is used to examine the economic disasters in Brazil in 1999 and Argentina in 2001. Previously, we would have had to wait decades before making such an assessment, as there were few tools with which to identify critical junctures, and these were usually only effective long after the event.
The Importance Of Ideas: An A Priori Critical Juncture Framework, John Hogan
The Importance Of Ideas: An A Priori Critical Juncture Framework, John Hogan
Articles
This paper sets out an improved framework for examining critical junctures. This framework, while rigorous and broadly applicable and an advance on the frameworks currently employed, primarily seeks to incorporate an a priori element. Until now the frameworks utilized in examining critical junctures were entirely postdictive. Adding a predictive element to the concept will constitute a significant advance. The new framework, and its predictive element, termed the “differentiating factor,” is tested here in examining macro-economic crises and subsequent changes in macro-economic policy, in America and Sweden.