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Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

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Methodological Framework Of Identifying Disruptive Technologies On Emerging Stage: Based On Science, Jianjun Deng, Anrong Liu, Xiaoyang Cao, Ke Zhang, Guangzu Bai, Yue Chen, Zhijie Gao, Haiwen Dai, Weinan Wang May 2022

Methodological Framework Of Identifying Disruptive Technologies On Emerging Stage: Based On Science, Jianjun Deng, Anrong Liu, Xiaoyang Cao, Ke Zhang, Guangzu Bai, Yue Chen, Zhijie Gao, Haiwen Dai, Weinan Wang

Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Chinese Version)

To realize sci-tech self-reliance and self-strengthening at higher levels in China, it is imperative for disruptive technologies to embark on a new journey and open new horizons. The layout and development of disruptive technologies is a complicated and systematic project with strategic significance, in which the identification of disruptive technologies holds the key and serves as the premise. To this end, based on the underlying logic that disruptive technologies are destined to transit from marginalized forces to mainstream power in the future through the process of 10→3→1 constringency, on the understanding that the generation of disruptive technologies is driven by …