Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Projecting The Distribution Of Forests In New England In Response To Climate Change, Guoping Tang, Brian Beckage

College of Agriculture and Life Sciences Faculty Publications

Aim To project the distribution of three major forest types in the northeastern USA in response to expected climate change. Location The New England region of the United States. Methods We modelled the potential distribution of boreal conifer, northern deciduous hardwood and mixed oak-hickory forests using the process-based BIOME4 vegetation model parameterized for regional forests under historic and projected future climate conditions. Projections of future climate were derived from three general circulation models forced by three global warming scenarios that span the range of likely anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Results Annual temperature in New England is projected to increase by …