Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Assessment Of Regional Climate Model Simulation Estimates Over The Northeast United States, M. A. Rawlins, Raymond S. Bradley, H. F. Diaz

Raymond S Bradley

Given the coarse scales of coupled atmosphere-ocean global climate models, regional climate models (RCMs) are increasingly relied upon for studies at scales appropriate for many impacts studies. We use outputs from an ensemble of RCMs participating in the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) to investigate potential changes in seasonal air temperature and precipitation between present (1971–2000) and future (2041–2070) time periods across the northeast United States. The models show a consistent modest cold bias each season and are wetter than observations in winter, spring, and summer. Agreement in spatial variability and pattern correlation is good for air …

Proxy-To-Proxy Calibration: Increasing The Temporal Resolution Of Quantitative Climate Reconstructions, Lucien Von Gunten, William J. D'Andrea, Raymond S. Bradley, Yongsong Huang

Raymond S Bradley

No abstract provided.

Diatoms As Recorders Of Sea Ice In The Bering And Chukchi Seas: Proxy Development And Application, Beth A. Caisse

Open Access Dissertations

The recent, rapid decline in Arctic summer sea ice extent has prompted questions as to the rates and magnitude of previous sea ice decline and the affect of this physical change on icerelated ecosystems. However, satellite data of sea ice only extends back to 1978, and mapped observations of sea ice prior to the 1970s are sparse at best. Inventories of boreal ecosystems are likewise hampered by a paucity of investigations spanning more than the past few decades. Paleoclimate records of sea ice and related primary productivity are thus integral to understanding how sea ice responds to a changing climate. …

Mammalian Species Origin And Geographical Dispersal Patterns Correlate With Changes In Chromosome Structure, Exemplified In Lemurs (Madagascar) And Bats (Worldwide), Robin Lee Kolnicki

Open Access Dissertations

The origin and geographical distribution of mammalian species (my examples are lemurs and bats) correlate with predictable chromosomal structural changes (KFT=karyotypic fission theory). Chromosome studies provide information about fertility between individuals and they are significant for identification of the geographical origin of reproductive isolation within mammal families. Each family predictably has chromosome sets with numbers that range from one to double the lowest number of chromosomes. The chromosome numbers of all species within a single family are used to reconstruct that family’s evolutionary geographical dispersion. Polymorphic chromosome numbers (that is a range such as 34, 35, 36, 37, and 38) …

Compound-­Specific Hydrogen Isotopes Of Lipid Biomarkers In Lake El’Gygytgyn, Ne Russia, Kenna M. K. Wilkie

Open Access Dissertations

Recent successful drilling operations at Lake El'gygytgyn, NE Russia have recovered sediment cores back to 3.6Ma, representing the longest time-continuous sediment record of past climate change in the terrestrial Arctic. Analysis of the hydrogen isotopic ratio (δD) of specific organic biomarkers allows reconstruction of past hydrological conditions, thereby providing a powerful tool for reconstructing past Arctic climate changes. Compound specific isotopic analysis of sedimentary lipids from this remote basin provides new insights into the climate evolution of the Arctic, capturing the mechanisms and dynamics of the last two glacial-interglacial transitions, potentially enhancing the accuracy of modeled future climate change projections …

Scaling Relationships Of Source Parameters For Slow Slip Events, Haiying Gao, David A. Schmidt, Ray J. Weldon Ii

Haiying Gao

To better understand the physical mechanisms of slow slip events (SSEs) detected worldwide, we explore the scaling relationships of various source parameters and compare them with similar scaling laws for earthquakes. These scaling relationships highlight differences and similarities between slow slip events and earthquakes and hold implications for the degree of heterogeneity and fault-healing characteristics. That static drop remains constant for different-sized events as is observed for earthquakes. However, the static stress drop of slow slop events is within a range of 0.01-1.0 MPa, 1-2 orders of magnitiude lower than that found for earthquakes, which could be related to the …

The Role Of Structural Stormwater Best Management Practices, Impervious Surfaces And Natural Factors On Base Flow In Massachusetts, Kimberly B. Klosterman

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

This research conducted a GIS analysis of twenty-eight sub-watersheds in Massachusetts and considered five factors which the literature suggested influenced base flow. The literature suggested a positive relation between precipitation, forest cover and base flow and a negative relationship between impervious surfaces, soil drainage class, slope and base flow. A multiple regression analysis of the sub-watershed information confirmed the literature for two factors (soil drainage class and slope) and questioned it on three factors (impervious surfaces, precipitation, and forest cover). The resulting predictive equation indicated that imperviousness and precipitation were the most significant factors affecting base flow. The first derivative …

How Does Hydropeaking Alter The Hydrology Of A River Reach? A Combined Water Budget, Modeling, And Field Observation Study. Deerfield River, Massachusetts, Brian C. Yellen

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

Hydroelectric releases on the Deerfield River in northwestern Massachusetts affect surface water-groundwater interactions there by daily reversing the head gradient between river and groundwater. Artificially elevated stage drives river water into the riparian aquifer. Water budget analysis indicates that roughly 10% of this bank-stored water is permanently lost from the river system in a 19.5 km reach, likely as a result of transpiration by bank vegetation.

Field observations as well as two-dimensional modeling results show that water losses are not uniform throughout the study reach. Riparian aquifer transmissivity in river sub-reaches largely determines the magnitude of surface water-groundwater exchange as …

Evolution Of Volatile Content Of The Parent Magma Of The 1875 Eruption Of Askja Volcano, Iceland, Heather A. Clark

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

The bulk of the eruption of Askja in north central Iceland on March 28-29 1875 consisted of a plinian eruption that lasted 6-7 hours, produced 0.2 km³ of ash and rhyolitic pumice, and created a surge and partially welded ash/pumice fall deposit that crops out on the shore of the modern caldera lake (Sparks et al. 1981). We evaluate the volatile budget of the magma during the eruption and focus on water concentration in glass fragments and shards, glass adjacent to crystals, and melt inclusions (MIs). Sparks et al. (1981) estimated the gas exit velocity at the vent was …

A Paleoclimate Modeling Experiment To Calculate The Soil Carbon Respiration Flux For The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, David M. Tracy

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) (55 million years ago) stands as the largest in a series of extreme warming (hyperthermal) climatic events, which are analogous to the modern day increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. Orbitally triggered (Lourens et al., 2005, Galeotti et al., 2010), the PETM is marked by a large (-3‰) carbon isotope excursion (CIE). Hypothesized to be methane driven, Zeebe et al., (2009) noted that a methane based release would only account for 3.5°C of warming. An isotopically heavier carbon, such as that of soil and C3 plants, has the potential to account for the …

Holocene Climate And Environmental Changes: Disentangling Natural And Anthropogenic Signals In The Sedimentary Record Of Lake Lilandsvatnet (Nw Norway), Robert M. D'Anjou

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

This thesis presents a multi-proxy paleoenvironmental reconstruction from the sedimentary archives of Lilandsvatnet, a small arctic lake on Vestvågøy, in the Lofoten Islands, Norway. Lofoten has a rich history of human settlements existing throughout the Holocene. The catchment of Lilandsvatnet was the location of a prominent Viking chieftain farm that existed throughout the Iron Age, and the sedimentary archive contains a strong signal of prehistoric and historic human settlements and land-use practices. Paleoenvironmental reconstructions in this thesis show evidence for Holocene environmental variability in response to both natural and anthropogenic forcing. Cryptotephra deposits from Icelandic eruptions further contrain sediment chronology …

Characterization Of Damage Zones Associated With Laboratory Produced Natural Hydraulic Fractures, Erin Bradley

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

Both joint sets and fault-related fractures serve as important conduits for fluid flow. In the former case, they can strongly influence both permeability and permeability anisotropy, with implications for production of water, hydrocarbons and contaminant transport. The latter can affect issues of fluid flow, such as whether a given fault seals or leaks, and fault mechanics. These fractures are commonly interpreted as Natural Hydraulic Fractures (NHFs), i.e., mode 1 fractures produced when pore fluid pressure exceeds the tensile strength of the rock. Various mathematical models have been a rich source of hypotheses to explain the formation and propagation of NHFs, …

Fractures Of The Dammam Dome Carbonate Outcrops: Their Characterization, Development, And Implications For Subsurface Reservoirs, Mohammed M. Al-Fahmi

Masters Theses 1911 - February 2014

The exposed Tertiary carbonates of the Dammam Dome present an opportunity to study fractures in outcrops within the oil-producing region of Eastern Saudi Arabia. The study focuses on: 1) the characterization of fractures, 2) interpretation of their fracturing mechanism, and 3) the implications for the deep carbonate reservoirs of the Dammam Dome. The characterization of the outcrop fractures is integrated with structural analysis of the near-surface horizons mapped from reflection seismic and well data. Fractures are observed within all exposed carbonate units, but predominantly within the widely exposed Middle Rus unit. The fractures are opening-mode, bed-bound joints that form orthogonal …

Evaluating Holocene Climate Change In Northern Norway Using Sediment Records From Two Contrasting Lake Systems., Nicholas L. Balascio, Raymond S. Bradley

Raymond S Bradley

We analyzed Holocene sedimentary records from two lakes in the Lofoten Islands, northern Norway to evaluate environmental changes during the Holocene related to northern North Atlantic climate dynamics. The lakes are located in different geomorphological settings, and thus provide a contrast in their response to regional climate change. Environmental changes at both lakes were interpreted based on magnetic susceptibility, organic-matter flux, C/N, d13 Corg , Ti concentrations, and mass accumulation rates. Chronologies were established using 16 AMS radiocarbon dates, and average deposition rates in both environments are higher than 0.2 mm/year throughout the Holocene. At Vikjordvatnet, sedimentary geochemical properties define …

Parcelling Out The Watershed: The Recurring Consequences Of Organising Columbia River Management Within A Basin-Based Territory, Eve Vogel

Eve Vogel

This article examines a 75-year history of North America’s Columbia river to answer the question: what difference does a river basin territory actually make? Advocates reason that river basins and watersheds are natural and holistic water management spaces, and can avoid the fragmentations and conflicts endemic to water management within traditional political territories. However, on the Columbia, this reasoning has not played out in practice. Instead, basin management has been shaped by challenges from and negotiations with more traditional jurisdictional spaces and political districts. The recurring result has been 'parcelling out the watershed': coordinating river management to produce a few …

Biogeochemical Evidence For Prehistoric Human Impacts On The Environment In Northwestern Norway, Raymond S. Bradley, Robert D'Anjou, Nicholas L. Balascio, David B. Finkelstein

Raymond S Bradley

Disentangling the effects of climate change and anthropogenic activities on the environment is a major challenge in paleoenvironmental research. Here, we used fecal sterols and other biogeochemical compounds in lake sediments from northern Norway to identify both natural and anthropogenic signals of environmental change during the late Holocene. The area was first occupied by humans and their grazing animals at ∼2,250 ± 75 calendar years before 1950 AD (calendar years before present). The arrival of humans is indicated by an abrupt increase in coprostanol (and its epimer epicoprostanol) in the sediments and an associated increase in 5β-stigmastanol (and 5β-epistigmastanol), which …

New Deal Versus Yankee Independence: The Failure Of Comprehensive Development On The Connecticut River, And Its Long-Term Consequences, Eve Vogel, Alexandra Lacey

Eve Vogel

In the 1930s, comprehensive development of the Connecticut River basin – coordinated dam-building and operations from tributaries to tidewater – was advanced by multiple people and agencies. However, they fought for twenty years over the specifics. President Franklin Roosevelt and his New Deal supporters and heirs envisioned a federal valley authority that could provide regional economic development, resource conservation, pollution abatement, and, most important, cheap, widely available public electric power. The New England business establishment touted Yankee independence, but most of all, wanted hydropower allotted to states and private power companies. Upriver rural and farming advocates, led by Vermont’s George …

A Mild Little Ice Age And Unprecedented Warmth In An 1800 Year Record From Svalbard, William J. D'Andrea, Raymond S. Bradley, David Vaillencourt, Nicholas L. Balascio, Al Werner, Steve Roof, Michael J. Retelle

Raymond S Bradley

The Arctic region is subject to a great amplitude of climate variability and is currently undergoing large-scale changes due in part to anthropogenic global warming. Accurate projections of future change depend on anticipating the response of the Arctic climate system to forcing, and understanding how the response to human forcing will interact with natural climate variations. The Svalbard Archipelago occupies an important location for studying patterns and causes of Arctic climate variability; however, available paleoclimate records from Svalbard are of restricted use due to limitations of existing climate proxies. Here we present a sub-decadal- to multidecadal-scale record of summer temperature …