Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Arma Model Development And Analysis For Global Temperature Uncertainty, Mahmud Hasan, Gauree Wathodkar, Mathias Muia

Faculty and Student Publications

Temperature uncertainty models for land and sea surfaces can be developed based on statistical methods. In this paper, we developed a novel time-series temperature uncertainty model, which is the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) (1,1) model. The model was developed for an observed annual mean temperature anomaly X(t), which is a combination of a true (latent) global anomaly Y(t) for a year (t) and normal variable w(t). The uncertainty is taken as the variance of w(t), which was divided into land surface temperature (LST) uncertainty, sea surface temperature (SST) uncertainty, and the corresponding source of uncertainty. The ARMA …

Gas-Phase Formation And Spectroscopic Characterization Of The Disubstituted Cyclopropenylidenes C-C3(C2h)2, C-C3(Cn)2, And C-C3(C2h)(Cn), Athena R. Flint, Alexandria G. Watrous, Brent R. Westbrook, Dev J. Patel, Ryan C. Fortenberry

Faculty and Student Publications

Aims. The detection of c-C3HC2H and possible future detection of c-C3HCN provide new molecules for reaction chemistry in the dense ISM where R-C2 and R-CN species are prevalent. Determination of chemically viable c-C3HC2H and c-C3HCN derivatives and their prominent spectral features can accelerate potential astrophysical detection for this chemical family. This work will characterize three such derivatives: c-C3(C2H)2, c-C3(CN)2, and c-C3(C2H)(CN).

Methods. Interstellar reaction pathways of small carbonaceous species are well-replicated through quantum chemical means. Highly-accurate cc-pVX Z-F12/CCSD(T)-F12 (X =D,T) calculations generate the energetics of chemical formation pathways as well as the basis for quartic force field and …