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Old Dominion University

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Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Theses & Dissertations

Markov chain

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Cyber Deception For Critical Infrastructure Resiliency, Md Ali Reza Al Amin Aug 2022

Cyber Deception For Critical Infrastructure Resiliency, Md Ali Reza Al Amin

Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Theses & Dissertations

The high connectivity of modern cyber networks and devices has brought many improvements to the functionality and efficiency of networked systems. Unfortunately, these benefits have come with many new entry points for attackers, making systems much more vulnerable to intrusions. Thus, it is critically important to protect cyber infrastructure against cyber attacks. The static nature of cyber infrastructure leads to adversaries performing reconnaissance activities and identifying potential threats. Threats related to software vulnerabilities can be mitigated upon discovering a vulnerability and-, developing and releasing a patch to remove the vulnerability. Unfortunately, the period between discovering a vulnerability and applying a …


Markov Chain Monte Carlo Bayesian Predictive Framework For Artificial Neural Network Committee Modeling And Simulation, Michael S. Goodrich Apr 2014

Markov Chain Monte Carlo Bayesian Predictive Framework For Artificial Neural Network Committee Modeling And Simulation, Michael S. Goodrich

Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Theses & Dissertations

A logical inference method of properly weighting the outputs of an Artificial Neural Network Committee for predictive purposes using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian probability is proposed and demonstrated on machine learning data for non-linear regression, binary classification, and 1-of-k classification. Both deterministic and stochastic models are constructed to model the properties of the data. Prediction strategies are compared based on formal Bayesian predictive distribution modeling of the network committee output data and a stochastic estimation method based on the subtraction of determinism from the given data to achieve a stochastic residual using cross validation. Performance for Bayesian …