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Methods Of Assessing And Ranking Probable Sources Of Error, Nataniel Greene
Methods Of Assessing And Ranking Probable Sources Of Error, Nataniel Greene
Publications and Research
A classical method for ranking n potential events as sources of error is Bayes' theorem. However, a ranking based on Bayes' theorem lacks a fundamental symmetry: the ranking in terms of blame for error will not be the reverse of the ranking in terms of credit for lack of error. While this is not a flaw in Bayes' theorem, it does lead one to inquire whether there are related methods which have such symmetry. Related methods explored here include the logical version of Bayes' theorem based on probabilities of conditionals, probabilities of biconditionals, and ratios or differences of credit to …
An Overview Of Conditionals And Biconditionals In Probability, Nataniel Greene
An Overview Of Conditionals And Biconditionals In Probability, Nataniel Greene
Publications and Research
Conditional and biconditional statements are a standard part of symbolic logic but they have only recently begun to be explored in probability for applications in artificial intelligence. Here we give a brief overview of the major theorems involved and illustrate them using two standard model problems from conditional probability.