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A Statistically-Based Method For Predicting Fog And Stratus Dissipation, Louis L. Lussier Iii
A Statistically-Based Method For Predicting Fog And Stratus Dissipation, Louis L. Lussier Iii
Theses and Dissertations
The method is a success in producing forecasts for ceiling and visibility criteria that had never previously been examined. It is suggested that the 15 OWS incorporate this methodology into their operational forecasting routine. Ceiling forecasts at Dover AFB and McGuire AFB show improvements over conditional climatology ranging from 1-51% with an average improvement of 19.2% when verified against an independent data set. McGuire AFB visibility forecasts show an average improvement over conditional climatology of 3%. These findings are of particular importance to the Air Force in general and specifically to the 15th Operational Weather Squadron (15 OWS) who produces …