Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Level Adjusted Exponential Smoothing: A Method For Judgmentally Adjusting Exponential Smoothing Models For Planned Discontinuities, Dan Williams, Don Miller

Publications and Research

Forecasters often make judgmental adjustments to exponential smoothing forecasts to account for the effects of a future planned change. While this approach may produce sound initial forecasts, it can result in diminished accuracy for forecast updates. A proposed technique lets the forecaster include policy change adjustments within an exponential smoothing model. For 20 real data series representing Virginia Medicaid expenses, initial forecasts and forecast updates are developed using the proposed technique and several alternatives, and they are updated through various simulated level shifts. The proposed technique was more accurate than the alternatives in updating forecasts when a shift in level …

Novel Carbon-Carbon Bond Oxidative Cleavage Of Hexabenzyl-Hexaazaisowurtzitane By N-Buono And (Nh4)2ce(No3)6, Xiao-Pei Guan, Hong Yan, Jian-Guang Sun, Yong-Zhong Yu

Publications and Research

Treatment of 2,4,6,8,10,12-hexabenzyl-2,4,6,8,10,12-hexaazatetracyclo-[5.5.0.05,9.03,11]dodecane with n-butyl nitrite or ammonium cerium nitrate results in novel C(1)-C(7) oxidative cleavage to give 1,3,4,5,7,8-hexabenzyl-cis-cisoid-cis-hexahydro-1H,5H-diimidazolinium[4,5-b:4′,5′-e]pyrazine dinitrate.

Research And Implementation Of Integrated Concurrent Software Development Environment Based On Object-Oriented Petri Nets, Jinzhong Niu

Publications and Research

While network technologies and environments get more and more popular, the demand for concurrent systems becomes stronger and stronger. But the characteristics of concurrency make it difficult to develop them.

This dissertation combines Object-Oriented technology and Petri Nets theory, and put forth OOPN (OO Petri Nets) model to describe concurrent systems. Based on the research of conventional development methods of concurrent software, this article advances a new one, which integrates specification, validation and auto-generating codes. Accordingly, an integrated development environment for concurrent software, i.e., OOPN-IDE, comes into being, which mainly includes the following four tools: the concurrent system modeling tool …

So, How Green Is Your Label?, Aldemaro Romero Jr.

Publications and Research

No abstract provided.