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Statistics and Probability

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2015

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

An M/G/1 Queue With Server Breakdown And Multiple Working Vavation, S. P. Bala Murugan, K. Santhi Dec 2015

An M/G/1 Queue With Server Breakdown And Multiple Working Vavation, S. P. Bala Murugan, K. Santhi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper deals with the steady state behavior of an M=G=1 multiple working vacation queue with server breakdown. The server works with different service times rather than completely stopping service during a vacation. Both service times in a vacation period and in a regular service period are assumed to be generally distributed random variables. The system may breakdown at random and repair time is arbitrary. Further, just after completion of a customer’s service the server may take a multiple working vacation. Supplementary variable technique is employed to find the probability generating function for the number of customers in the system. …


Stability Condition Of A Retrial Queueing System With Abandoned And Feedback Customers, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Abbes Rabhi, Lahcene Yahiaoui Dec 2015

Stability Condition Of A Retrial Queueing System With Abandoned And Feedback Customers, Amina A. Bouchentouf, Abbes Rabhi, Lahcene Yahiaoui

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This paper deals with the stability of a retrial queueing system with two orbits, abandoned and feedback customers. Two independent Poisson streams of customers arrive to the system, and flow into a single-server service system. An arriving one of type i; i = 1; 2, is handled by the server if it is free; otherwise, it is blocked and routed to a separate type-i retrial (orbit) queue that attempts to re-dispatch its jobs at its specific Poisson rate. The customer in the orbit either attempts service again after a random time or gives up receiving service and leaves the system …


Analysis Of Repairable M[X]/(G1,G2)/1 - Feedback Retrial G-Queue With Balking And Starting Failures Under At Most J Vacations, P. Rajadurai, M. C. Saravanarajan, V. M. Chandrasekaran Dec 2015

Analysis Of Repairable M[X]/(G1,G2)/1 - Feedback Retrial G-Queue With Balking And Starting Failures Under At Most J Vacations, P. Rajadurai, M. C. Saravanarajan, V. M. Chandrasekaran

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

In this paper, we discuss the steady state analysis of a batch arrival feedback retrial queue with two types of service and negative customers. Any arriving batch of positive customers finds the server is free, one of the customers from the batch enters into the service area and the rest of them join into the orbit. The negative customer, arriving during the service time of a positive customer, will remove the positive customer in-service and the interrupted positive customer either enters into the orbit or leaves the system. If the orbit is empty at the service completion of each type …


An Optimal Reinsurance Contract From Insurer's And Reinsurer's Viewpoints, Ali P. Bazaz, Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi Dec 2015

An Optimal Reinsurance Contract From Insurer's And Reinsurer's Viewpoints, Ali P. Bazaz, Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

Applications and Applied Mathematics: An International Journal (AAM)

This article constructs two classes of appropriate reinsurance contracts from both an insurer’s and a reinsurer’s viewpoints. The first class, say C; has been constructed by minimizing the conditional tail expectation, say CTE, of an insurer’s random risk. Then an optimal reinsurance contract has been obtained by estimating the reinsurance’s random risk, using the Bayesian estimation method while the second class of reinsurance contracts, say C*; is obtained by minimizing a convex combination of the CTE of both the insurer’s and reinsurer’s random risks. These two approaches consider both the insurer’s and reinsurer’s viewpoints to establish an optimal reinsurance contract. …


A Localized Approach To The Origins Of Pottery In Upper Mesopotamia, Elizabeth Gibbon Nov 2015

A Localized Approach To The Origins Of Pottery In Upper Mesopotamia, Elizabeth Gibbon

Laurier Undergraduate Journal of the Arts

No abstract provided.


Approaches For Detection Of Unstable Processes: A Comparative Study, Yerriswamy Wooluru, D. R. Swamy, P. Nagesh Nov 2015

Approaches For Detection Of Unstable Processes: A Comparative Study, Yerriswamy Wooluru, D. R. Swamy, P. Nagesh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A process is stable only when parameters of the distribution of a process or product characteristic remain same over time. Only a stable process has the ability to perform in a predictable manner over time. Statistical analysis of process data usually assume that data are obtained from stable process. In the absence of control charts, the hypothesis of process stability is usually assessed by visual examination of the pattern in the run chart. In this paper appropriate statistical approaches have been adopted to detect instability in the process and compared their performance with the run chart of considerably shorter length …


Contrails: Causal Inference Using Propensity Scores, Dean S. Barron Nov 2015

Contrails: Causal Inference Using Propensity Scores, Dean S. Barron

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Contrails are clouds caused by airplane exhausts, which geologists contend decrease daily temperature ranges on Earth. Following the 2001 World Trade Center attack, cancelled domestic flights triggered the first absence of contrails in decades. Resultant exceptional data capacitated causal inference analysis by propensity score matching. Estimated contrail effect was 6.8981°F.


The Bayes Factor For Case-Control Studies With Misclassified Data, Tzesan Lee Nov 2015

The Bayes Factor For Case-Control Studies With Misclassified Data, Tzesan Lee

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The question of how to test if collected data for a case-control study are misclassified was investigated. A mixed approach was employed to calculate the Bayes factor to assess the validity of the null hypothesis of no-misclassification. A real-world data set on the association between lung cancer and smoking status was used as an example to illustrate the proposed method.


Bayesian Analysis Under Progressively Censored Rayleigh Data, Gyan Prakash Nov 2015

Bayesian Analysis Under Progressively Censored Rayleigh Data, Gyan Prakash

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The one-parameter Rayleigh model is considered as an underlying model for evaluating the properties of Bayes estimator under Progressive Type-II right censored data. The One‑Sample Bayes prediction bound length (OSBPBL) is also measured. Based on two different asymmetric loss functions a comparative study presented for Bayes estimation. A simulation study was used to evaluate their comparative properties.


An Empirical Study On Different Ranking Methods For Effective Data Classification, Ilangovan Sangaiah, A. Vincent Antony Kumar, Appavu Balamurugan Nov 2015

An Empirical Study On Different Ranking Methods For Effective Data Classification, Ilangovan Sangaiah, A. Vincent Antony Kumar, Appavu Balamurugan

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Ranking is the attribute selection technique used in the pre-processing phase to emphasize the most relevant attributes which allow models of classification simpler and easy to understand. It is a very important and a central task for information retrieval, such as web search engines, recommendation systems, and advertisement systems. A comparison between eight ranking methods was conducted. Ten different learning algorithms (NaiveBayes, J48, SMO, JRIP, Decision table, RandomForest, Multilayerperceptron, Kstar) were used to test the accuracy. The ranking methods with different supervised learning algorithms give different results for balanced accuracy. It was shown the selection of ranking methods could be …


Two Stage Robust Ridge Method In A Linear Regression Model, Adewale Folaranmi Lukman, Oyedeji Isola Osowole, Kayode Ayinde Nov 2015

Two Stage Robust Ridge Method In A Linear Regression Model, Adewale Folaranmi Lukman, Oyedeji Isola Osowole, Kayode Ayinde

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Two Stage Robust Ridge Estimators based on robust estimators M, MM, S, LTS are examined in the presence of autocorrelation, multicollinearity and outliers as alternative to Ordinary Least Square Estimator (OLS). The estimator based on S estimator performs better. Mean square error was used as a criterion for examining the performances of these estimators.


Semi-Parametric Non-Proportional Hazard Model With Time Varying Covariate, Kazeem A. Adeleke, Alfred A. Abiodun, R. A. Ipinyomi Nov 2015

Semi-Parametric Non-Proportional Hazard Model With Time Varying Covariate, Kazeem A. Adeleke, Alfred A. Abiodun, R. A. Ipinyomi

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The application of survival analysis has extended the importance of statistical methods for time to event data that incorporate time dependent covariates. The Cox proportional hazards model is one such method that is widely used. An extension of the Cox model with time-dependent covariates was adopted when proportionality assumption are violated. The purpose of this study is to validate the model assumption when hazard rate varies with time. This approach is applied to model data on duration of infertility subject to time varying covariate. Validity is assessed by a set of simulation experiments and results indicate that a non proportional …


Structural Properties Of Transmuted Weibull Distribution, Kaisar Ahmad, S. P. Ahmad, A. Ahmed Nov 2015

Structural Properties Of Transmuted Weibull Distribution, Kaisar Ahmad, S. P. Ahmad, A. Ahmed

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The transmuted Weibull distribution, and a related special case, is introduced. Estimates of parameters are obtained by using a new method of moments.


New Entropy Estimators With Smaller Root Mean Squared Error, Amer Ibrahim Al-Omari Nov 2015

New Entropy Estimators With Smaller Root Mean Squared Error, Amer Ibrahim Al-Omari

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

New estimators of entropy of continuous random variable are suggested. The proposed estimators are investigated under simple random sampling (SRS), ranked set sampling (RSS), and double ranked set sampling (DRSS) methods. The estimators are compared with Vasicek (1976) and Al-Omari (2014) entropy estimators theoretically and by simulation in terms of the root mean squared error (RMSE) and bias values. The results indicate that the suggested estimators have less RMSE and bias values than their competing estimators introduced by Vasicek (1976) and Al-Omari (2014).


Caution For Software Use Of New Statistical Methods (R), Akiva J. Lorenz, Barry S. Markman, Shlomo Sawilowsky Nov 2015

Caution For Software Use Of New Statistical Methods (R), Akiva J. Lorenz, Barry S. Markman, Shlomo Sawilowsky

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Open source programming languages such as R allow statisticians to develop and rapidly disseminate advanced procedures, but sometimes at the expense of a proper vetting process. A new example is the least trimmed squares regression available in R’s lqs() in the MASS library. It produces pretty regression lines, particularly in the presence of outliers. However, this procedure lacks a defined standard error, and thus it should be avoided.


Inferences About The Skipped Correlation Coefficient: Dealing With Heteroscedasticity And Non-Normality, Rand Wilcox Nov 2015

Inferences About The Skipped Correlation Coefficient: Dealing With Heteroscedasticity And Non-Normality, Rand Wilcox

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A common goal is testing the hypothesis that Pearson’s correlation is zero and typically this is done based on Student’s T test. There are, however, several well-known concerns. First, Student’s T is sensitive to heteroscedasticity. That is, when it rejects, it is reasonable to conclude that there is dependence, but in terms of making a decision about the strength of the association, it is unsatisfactory. Second, Pearson’s correlation is not robust: it can poorly reflect the strength of the association. Even a single outlier can have a tremendous impact on the usual estimate of Pearson’s correlation, which can result in …


In (Partial) Defense Of .05, Thomas R. Knapp Nov 2015

In (Partial) Defense Of .05, Thomas R. Knapp

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Researchers are frequently chided for choosing the .05 alpha level as the determiner of statistical significance (or non-significance). A partial justification is provided.


The Distribution Of The Inverse Square Root Transformed Error Component Of The Multiplicative Time Series Model, Bright F. Ajibade, Chinwe R. Nwosu, J. I. Mbegdu Nov 2015

The Distribution Of The Inverse Square Root Transformed Error Component Of The Multiplicative Time Series Model, Bright F. Ajibade, Chinwe R. Nwosu, J. I. Mbegdu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The probability density function, mean and variance of the inverse square-root transformed left-truncated N(1,σ2) error component e*t(=1/ √et) of the multiplicative time series model were established. A comparison of key-statistical properties of e*t and et confirmed normality with mean 1 but with Var(e*t) ≈1/4Var(et) when σ≤0.14. Hence σ≤0.14 is the required condition for successful transformation.


Front Matter, Jmasm Editors Nov 2015

Front Matter, Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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Monte Carlo Comparison Of The Parameter Estimation Methods For The Two-Parameter Gumbel Distribution, Demet Aydin, Birdal Şenoğlu Nov 2015

Monte Carlo Comparison Of The Parameter Estimation Methods For The Two-Parameter Gumbel Distribution, Demet Aydin, Birdal Şenoğlu

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The performances of the seven different parameter estimation methods for the Gumbel distribution are compared with numerical simulations. Estimation methods used in this study are the method of moments (ME), the method of maximum likelihood (ML), the method of modified maximum likelihood (MML), the method of least squares (LS), the method of weighted least squares (WLS), the method of percentile (PE) and the method of probability weighted moments (PWM). Performance of the estimators is compared with respect to their biases, MSE and deficiency (Def) values via Monte-Carlo simulation. A Monte Carlo Simulation study showed that the method of PWM was …


Jmasm34: Two Group Program For Cohen's D, Hedges’ G, Η2, Radj2, Ω2, Ɛ2, Confidence Intervals, And Power, David A. Walker Nov 2015

Jmasm34: Two Group Program For Cohen's D, Hedges’ G, Η2, Radj2, Ω2, Ɛ2, Confidence Intervals, And Power, David A. Walker

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The purpose of this research is to provide an application for users interested in a SPSS syntax program to determine an array of commonly-employed effect sizes and confidence intervals not readily available in SPSS functionality, such as the standardized mean difference and r-related squared indices, for a between-group design.


Vol. 14, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors Nov 2015

Vol. 14, No. 2 (Full Issue), Jmasm Editors

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

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Resolving The Issue Of How Reliability Is Related To Statistical Power: Adhering To Mathematical Definitions, Donald W. Zimmerman, Bruno D. Zumbo Nov 2015

Resolving The Issue Of How Reliability Is Related To Statistical Power: Adhering To Mathematical Definitions, Donald W. Zimmerman, Bruno D. Zumbo

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Reliability in classical test theory is a population-dependent concept, defined as a ratio of true-score variance and observed-score variance, where observed-score variance is a sum of true and error components. On the other hand, the power of a statistical significance test is a function of the total variance, irrespective of its decomposition into true and error components. For that reason, the reliability of a dependent variable is a function of the ratio of true-score variance and observed-score variance, whereas statistical power is a function of the sum of the same two variances. Controversies about how reliability is related to statistical …


A Robust Panel Unit Root Test In The Presence Of Cross Sectional Dependence, Nurul Sima Mohamad Shariff, Nor Aishah Hamzah Nov 2015

A Robust Panel Unit Root Test In The Presence Of Cross Sectional Dependence, Nurul Sima Mohamad Shariff, Nor Aishah Hamzah

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Problems arise in testing the stationarity of the panel in the presence of cross sectional dependence and outliers. The currently available panel unit root tests are very much affected by the presence of outliers. As such, this article introduces an alternative test which is robust to outliers and cross sectional dependence. The performance and robustness of the proposed test is discussed and comparisons are made to the existing tests via simulation studies.


Statistical Modeling Of Migration Attractiveness Of The Eu Member States, Tatiana Tikhomirova, Yulia Lebedeva Nov 2015

Statistical Modeling Of Migration Attractiveness Of The Eu Member States, Tatiana Tikhomirova, Yulia Lebedeva

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Identifying the relationship between the migration attractiveness of the European Union countries and their level of socio-economic development is investigated. An approach is proposed identify influences on migration socio-economic characteristics, by aggregating and reducing their diversity, and substantiating the cause-and-effect relationships of the studied phenomenon. A stable classification of countries scheme is developed according to the attractiveness of migration on aggregate factors, and then an econometric model of a binary choice using panel data for 2008-2010 was applying, quantifying the impact of aggregate designed factors on immigration and emigration.


An Analysis Of The Characteristics And Practices Of Selected Alabama Small Livestock Producers: A Focus On Economics And Marketing, Jannette R. Bartlett, Nii O. Tackie, Mst Nusrat Jahan, Akua Adu-Gyamfi Sep 2015

An Analysis Of The Characteristics And Practices Of Selected Alabama Small Livestock Producers: A Focus On Economics And Marketing, Jannette R. Bartlett, Nii O. Tackie, Mst Nusrat Jahan, Akua Adu-Gyamfi

Professional Agricultural Workers Journal

Abstract

The study examined the characteristics and practices of small livestock producers, focusing on economics and marketing. Data were obtained from a convenience sample of 121 small producers from several South Central Alabama counties, and were analyzed using descriptive statistics, including chi-square tests. The socioeconomic characteristics reflected a higher proportion of part-time farmers; a higher proportion with at most a two-year/technical degree or some college education; and a higher proportion with $40,000 or less annual household income. A majority had been farming more than thirty years, and most had small herds. Also, very few made profits; many sold animals live …


Factors Affecting Dimensional Precision Of Consumer 3d Printing, David D. Hernandez Sep 2015

Factors Affecting Dimensional Precision Of Consumer 3d Printing, David D. Hernandez

International Journal of Aviation, Aeronautics, and Aerospace

This paper investigates the factors affecting dimensional precision of consumer-grade 3D printing, attempting to isolate and mitigate sources of error. The focus is on creating engineering prototypes of, tooling for, or finalized instances of mechanical devices. A specific fused deposition modeling printer – the Ultimaker 2 – is analyzed in terms of meeting precise physical dimensions, consistent shapes, and predictable surface finish. Extensive trial and error resulted in removal of several sources of bias, with square test articles exhibiting a lower-than-anticipated mean percentage error of -0.387% (SD = 0.559), a value comparable to other modern manufacturing techniques. A full …


Robin Chapman On (Her) Mathematics Education, Robin Chapman Jul 2015

Robin Chapman On (Her) Mathematics Education, Robin Chapman

Journal of Humanistic Mathematics

No abstract provided.


Review Of Developing Quantitative Literacy Skills In History And The Social Sciences: A Web-Based Common Core Approach By Kathleen W. Craver, Victor J. Ricchezza, H L. Vacher Jul 2015

Review Of Developing Quantitative Literacy Skills In History And The Social Sciences: A Web-Based Common Core Approach By Kathleen W. Craver, Victor J. Ricchezza, H L. Vacher

Numeracy

Kathleen W. Craver. Developing Quantitative Literacy Skills in History and Social Sciences: A Web-Based Common Core Standards Approach (Lantham MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group, Inc., 2014). 191 pp.
ISBN 978-1-4758-1050-9 (cloth); ISBN …-1051-6 (pbk); ISBN…-1052-3 (electronic).

This book could be a breakthrough for teachers in the trenches who are interested in or need to know about quantitative literacy (QL). It is a resource providing 85 topical pieces, averaging 1.5 pages, in which a featured Web site is presented, described, and accompanied by 2-4 critical-thinking questions purposefully drawing on data from the Web site. The featured Web sites range from …


The Levels Of Conceptual Understanding In Statistics (Locus) Project: Results Of The Pilot Study, Douglas Whitaker, Steven Foti, Tim Jacobbe Jul 2015

The Levels Of Conceptual Understanding In Statistics (Locus) Project: Results Of The Pilot Study, Douglas Whitaker, Steven Foti, Tim Jacobbe

Numeracy

The Levels of Conceptual Understanding in Statistics (LOCUS) project (NSF DRL-111868) has created assessments that measure conceptual (rather than procedural) understanding of statistics as outlined in GAISE Framework (Franklin et al., 2007, Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education, American Statistical Association). Here we provide a brief overview of the LOCUS project and present results from multiple-choice items on the pilot administration of the assessments with data collected from over 3400 students in grades 6-12 across six states. These results help illustrate students’ understanding of statistical topics prior to the implementation of the Common Core State Standards. Using the …