Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

One And Two-Step Estimation Of Time Variant Parameters And Nonparametric Quantiles, Bogdan Gadidov

Doctor of Data Science and Analytics Dissertations

This dissertation develops and discusses several one-step and two-step smoothing methods of time variant nonparametric quantiles and time variant parameters from probability models. First, we investigate and develop nonparametric techniques for measuring extreme quantiles. The method involves aggregating data by an explanatory variable such as time and smoothing the resulting data with a nonparametric method like kernel, local polynomial or spline smoothing. We demonstrate both in application and simulation that this two-step procedure of quantile estimation is superior to the parametric quantile regression. We then develop a one-step method which combines the strength of maximum likelihood estimation with a local …