Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Towards Using Model Averaging To Construct Confidence Intervals In Logistic Regression Models, Artem Uvarov

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Regression analyses in epidemiological and medical research typically begin with a model selection process, followed by inference assuming the selected model has generated the data at hand. It is well-known that this two-step procedure can yield biased estimates and invalid confidence intervals for model coefficients due to the uncertainty associated with the model selection. To account for this uncertainty, multiple models may be selected as a basis for inference. This method, commonly referred to as model-averaging, is increasingly becoming a viable approach in practice.

Previous research has demonstrated the advantage of model-averaging in reducing bias of parameter estimates. However, there …