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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Using A Discrete Choice Experiment To Estimate Willingness To Pay For Location Based Housing Attributes, Kristopher C. Toll Dec 2019

Using A Discrete Choice Experiment To Estimate Willingness To Pay For Location Based Housing Attributes, Kristopher C. Toll

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

In 1993, a travel study was conducted along the Wasatch front in Utah (Research Systems Group INC, 2013). The main purpose of this study was to assess travel behavior to understand the needs for future growth in Utah. Since then, the Research Service Group (RSG), conducted a new study in 2012 to understand current travel preferences in Utah. This survey, called the Residential Choice Stated Preference survey, asked respondents to make ten choice comparisons between two hypothetical homes. Each home in the choice comparison was described by different attributes, those attributes that were used are, type of neighborhood, distance from …


Tuning Hyperparameters In Supervised Learning Models And Applications Of Statistical Learning In Genome-Wide Association Studies With Emphasis On Heritability, Jill F. Lundell Aug 2019

Tuning Hyperparameters In Supervised Learning Models And Applications Of Statistical Learning In Genome-Wide Association Studies With Emphasis On Heritability, Jill F. Lundell

All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Spring 1920 to Summer 2023

Machine learning is a buzz word that has inundated popular culture in the last few years. This is a term for a computer method that can automatically learn and improve from data instead of being explicitly programmed at every step. Investigations regarding the best way to create and use these methods are prevalent in research. Machine learning models can be difficult to create because models need to be tuned. This dissertation explores the characteristics of tuning three popular machine learning models and finds a way to automatically select a set of tuning parameters. This information was used to create an …


Predictive Distributions Via Filtered Historical Simulation For Financial Risk Management, Tyson Clark May 2019

Predictive Distributions Via Filtered Historical Simulation For Financial Risk Management, Tyson Clark

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Filtered historical simulation with an underlying GARCH process can be used as a valuable tool in VaR analysis, as it derives risk estimates that are sensitive to the distributional properties of the historical data of the produced predictive density. I examine the applications to risk analysis that filtered historical simulation can provide, as well as an interpretation of the predictive density as a poor man’s Bayesian posterior distribution. The predictive density allows us to make associated probabilistic statements regarding the results for VaR analysis, giving greater measurement of risk and the ability to maintain the optimal level of risk per …


Feasibility Of Multi-Year Forecast For The Colorado River Water Supply: Time Series Modeling, Brian Plucinski May 2019

Feasibility Of Multi-Year Forecast For The Colorado River Water Supply: Time Series Modeling, Brian Plucinski

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

The Colorado River is one of the largest resources for water in the United States, as well as being an important asset to the economy. Previous studies have shown a connection between the Great Salt Lake and the Colorado River. This study used time series analysis to build models to predict the water supply of the Colorado River ten years out. These models used data from the Colorado River in addition to Great Salt Lake water elevation. Several models suggest a decline in water supply from 2013 – 2020, before starting to increase. These predictions differ from predictions published by …