Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Development And Implementation Of A Bayesian Model For Sediment Transport In Fluvial Systems, Mark Schmelter

All Graduate Plan B and other Reports, Spring 1920 to Spring 2023

Recent studies in the field of fluvial sediment transport underscore the difficulty in reliably estimating transport model parameters, collecting accurate observations, and making predictions due to measurement error and conceptual model uncertainty. There is a pressing need to develop models that can account for measurement error, conceptual model uncertainty, and natural variability while providing probability-based predictions as well as a means for conceptual model discrimination. The model presented in this research employs an excess shear sediment transport equation for a uni-size sediment bed developed in a Bayesian statistical framework. This statistical model provides a means to rigorously estimate distributions of …