Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Statistics and Probability

None

Forecasting

Articles 1 - 3 of 3

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Macroconstants Of Development: A New Benchmark For The Strategic Development Of Advanced Countries And Firms, Andrey Bystrov, Vyacheslav Yusim, Tamilla Curtis Mar 2016

Macroconstants Of Development: A New Benchmark For The Strategic Development Of Advanced Countries And Firms, Andrey Bystrov, Vyacheslav Yusim, Tamilla Curtis

Dr. Tamilla Curtis

This research proposed a new indicator of countries’ development called “macroconstants of development”. The literature review indicates that the concept of "macroconstants of development" is not used at the moment in neither the theory nor the practice of industrial policy. Research of longitudinal data of total GDP, GDP per capita and their derivatives for most countries of the world was conducted. An analysis of statistical information has been done by employing econometric analyses.

Based on the analysis of the statistical data, which characterizes the development of large, technologically advanced countries in ordinary conditions, it was identified that the average acceleration …


Revisiting The Streaking Teams Phenomenom: A Note, Ladd Kochman, Randy Goodwin Jul 2015

Revisiting The Streaking Teams Phenomenom: A Note, Ladd Kochman, Randy Goodwin

Ladd Kochman

In an effort to learn if systematic misperceptions by market participants can undermine efficient prices and create regular profit opportunities, Camerer (1989) and Brown and Sauer (1993) investigated whether participants in the basketball-betting market overbet streaking (or "hot") teams. The purpose of this note is determine whether streaking teams - both hot and cold-in college football alter point spreads to an exploitable degree. The pointwise outcomes of college football teams following 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-, 6-, 7-, 8-, and 9-game streaks during the 1996-2000 seasons. Streaks in the aggregate produced only breakeven results when used to predict the outcomes of …


Strategy Formation For Higher Education Institutions Using System Dynamics Modelling, Mridula Sahay, Kuldeep Kumar Mar 2015

Strategy Formation For Higher Education Institutions Using System Dynamics Modelling, Mridula Sahay, Kuldeep Kumar

Kuldeep Kumar

System Dynamics is the modeling technique used to understand the behavior of a complex system over time. It is particularly useful in long-term forecasting when several variables are interrelated with each other. System dynamics models are different from statistical models in the sense they not only provide forecast and control, but they also offer explanations and an understanding of the relationships between the dependent variable and numerous exogenous and endogenous variables. This research paper focuses on the strategy formation for quality improvement in Higher Education Institutions (HEI’s) using system dynamics models. Most HEI’s in developing countries are taking a strong …