Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Effects Of Climate Oscillations On Wildland Fire Potential In The Continental United States, Shelby A. Mason, Peter E. Hamlington, Benjamin D. Hamlington, W. Matt Jolly, Chad M. Hoffman

OES Faculty Publications

The effects of climate oscillations on spatial and temporal variations in wildland fire potential in the continental U.S. are examined from 1979 to 2015 using cyclostationary empirical orthogonal functions (CSEOFs). The CSEOF analysis isolates effects associated with the modulated annual cycle and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The results show that, in early summer, wildland fire potential is reduced in the southwest during El Nino but is increased in the northwest, with opposite trends for La Nina. In late summer, El Nino is associated with increased wildland fire potential in the southwest. Relative to the mean, the largest impacts of …