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Predicting Peak Wind Gusts During Specific Weather Types With The Meteorologically Stratified Gust Factor Model, Teresa Jean Turner

Theses and Dissertations

Peak wind gusts were estimated by the meteorologically stratified gust factor model at Milwaukee, WI (KMKE) for eight different weather types during 2010-2017. The gust factor model couples gust factors with wind speed and direction forecast guidance to produce peak gust forecasts. The model evaluated used two model output statistics (MOS) guidance products at lags ranging from 6-24 hr and was compared with peak gust forecasts provided by the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) as well as observed gusts reported by automated surface observing systems (ASOS).

Compared with climatology, the gust factor model showed skill when coupled with MOS in …