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Maximum likelihood estimation

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

A Dynamic Programming Approach For Quickly Estimating Large Network-Based Mev Models, Tien Mai, Emma Frejinger, Mogens Fosgereau, Fabian Bastin Apr 2017

A Dynamic Programming Approach For Quickly Estimating Large Network-Based Mev Models, Tien Mai, Emma Frejinger, Mogens Fosgereau, Fabian Bastin

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We propose a way to estimate a family of static Multivariate Extreme Value (MEV) models with large choice sets in short computational time. The resulting model is also straightforward and fast to use for prediction. Following Daly and Bierlaire (2006), the correlation structure is defined by a rooted, directed graph where each node without successor is an alternative. We formulate a family of MEV models as dynamic discrete choice models on graphs of correlation structures and show that the dynamic models are consistent with MEV theory and generalize the network MEV model (Daly and Bierlaire, 2006). Moreover, we show that …


A Method Of Integrating Correlation Structures For A Generalized Recursive Route Choice Model, Tien Mai Nov 2016

A Method Of Integrating Correlation Structures For A Generalized Recursive Route Choice Model, Tien Mai

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We propose a way to estimate a generalized recursive route choice model. The model generalizes other existing recursive models in the literature, i.e., (Fosgerau et al., 2013b; Mai et al., 2015c), while being more flexible since it allows the choice at each stage to be any member of the network multivariate extreme value (network MEV) model (Daly and Bierlaire, 2006). The estimation of the generalized model requires defining a contraction mapping and performing contraction iterations to solve the Bellman’s equation. Given the fact that the contraction mapping is defined based on the choice probability generating functions (CPGF) (Fosgerau et al., …


A Nested Recursive Logit Model For Route Choice Analysis, Tien Mai, Mogens Fosgerau, Emma Frejinger May 2015

A Nested Recursive Logit Model For Route Choice Analysis, Tien Mai, Mogens Fosgerau, Emma Frejinger

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We propose a route choice model that relaxes the independence from irrelevant alternatives property of the logit model by allowing scale parameters to be link specific. Similar to the recursive logit (RL) model proposed by Fosgerau et al. (2013), the choice of path is modeled as a sequence of link choices and the model does not require any sampling of choice sets. Furthermore, the model can be consistently estimated and efficiently used for prediction.A key challenge lies in the computation of the value functions, i.e. the expected maximum utility from any position in the network to a destination. The value …