Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Study Of Behaviour Change And Impact On Infectious Disease Dynamics By Mathematical Models, Tianyu Cheng

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This thesis uses mathematical models to study human behaviour changes' effects on infectious disease transmission dynamics. It centers on two main topics. The first concerns how behaviour response evolves during epidemics and the effects of adaptive precaution behaviour on epidemics. The second topic is how to build general framework models incorporating human behaviour response in epidemiological modelling.

In the first project, based on the fact that a fraction of the epidemiologically susceptible population is actually susceptible due to precautions, we present a novel perspective on understanding the infection force, incorporating human protection behaviours. This view explains many existing infection force …

Complex-Valued Approach To Kuramoto-Like Oscillators, Jacqueline Bao Ngoc Doan

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

The Kuramoto Model (KM) is a nonlinear model widely used to model synchrony in a network of oscillators – from the synchrony of the flashing fireflies to the hand clapping in an auditorium. Recently, a modification of the KM (complex-valued KM) was introduced with an analytical solution expressed in terms of a matrix exponential, and consequentially, its eigensystem. Remarkably, the analytical KM and the original KM bear significant similarities, even with phase lag introduced, despite being determined by distinct systems. We found that this approach gives a geometric perspective of synchronization phenomena in terms of complex eigenmodes, which in turn …

The Magnetic Field Of Protostar-Disk-Outflow Systems, Mahmoud Sharkawi

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Recent observations of protostellar cores reveal complex magnetic field configurations that are distorted in the innermost disk region. Unlike the prestellar phase, where the magnetic field geometry is simpler with an hourglass configuration, magnetic fields in the protostellar phase are sculpted by the formation of outflows and rapid rotation. This gives rise to a significant azimuthal (or toroidal) component that has not yet been analytically modelled in the literature. Moreover, the onset of outflows, which act as angular momentum transport mechanisms, have received considerable attention in the past few decades. Two mechanisms: 1) the driving by the gradient of a …

On The Spatial Modelling Of Biological Invasions, Tedi Ramaj

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

We investigate problems of biological spatial invasion through the use of spatial modelling. We begin by examining the spread of an invasive weed plant species through a forest by developing a system of partial differential equations (PDEs) involving an invasive weed and a competing native plant species. We find that extinction of the native plant species may be achieved by increasing the carrying capacity of the forest as well as the competition coefficient between the species. We also find that the boundary conditions exert long-term control on the biomass of the invasive weed and hence should be considered when implementing …

A Kuramoto Model Approach To Predicting Chaotic Systems With Echo State Networks, Sophie Wu, Jackson Howe

Undergraduate Student Research Internships Conference

An Echo State Network (ESN) with an activation function based on the Kuramoto model (Kuramoto ESN) is implemented, which can successfully predict the logistic map for a non-trivial number of time steps. The reservoir in the prediction stage exhibits binary dynamics when a good prediction is made, but the oscillators in the reservoir display a larger variability in states as the ESN’s prediction becomes worse. Analytical approaches to quantify how the Kuramoto ESN’s dynamics relate to its prediction are explored, as well as how the dynamics of the Kuramoto ESN relate to another widely studied physical model, the Ising model.

Travelling Wave Solutions On A Cylindrical Geometry, Karnav R. Raval

Undergraduate Student Research Internships Conference

Fluid equations are generally quite difficult and computationally-expensive to solve. However, if one is primarily interested in how the surface of the fluid deforms, we can re-formulate the governing equations purely in terms of free surface variables. Reformulating equations in such a way drastically cuts down on computational cost, and may be useful in areas such as modelling blood flow. Here, we study one such free-boundary formulation on a cylindrical geometry.

Symphas: A Modular Api For Phase-Field Modeling Using Compile-Time Symbolic Algebra, Steven A. Silber

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

The phase-field method is a common approach to qualitative analysis of phase transitions. It allows visualizing the time evolution of a phase transition, providing valuable insight into the underlying microstructure and the dynamical processes that take place. Although the approach is applied in a diverse range of fields, from metal-forming to cardiac modelling, there are a limited number of software tools available that allow simulating any phase-field problem and that are highly accessible. To address this, a new open source API and software package called SymPhas is developed for simulating phase-field and phase-field crystal in 1-, 2- and 3-dimensions. Phase-field …

Using An Analytical Approach Of The Kuramoto Model To Stimulate 3d Neural Activity Of The Stomach, Morteza Al Rabya

Undergraduate Student Research Internships Conference

No abstract provided.

Population And Evolution Dynamics In Predator-Prey Systems With Anti-Predation Responses, Yang Wang

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This thesis studies the impact of anti-predation strategy on the population dynamics of predator-prey interactions. This work includes three research projects.

In the first project, we study a system of delay differential equations by considering both benefit and cost of anti-predation response, as well as a time delay in the transfer of biomass from the prey to the predator after predation. We reveal some insights on how the anti-predation response level and the biomass transfer delay jointly affect the population dynamics; we also show how the nonlinearity in the predation term mediated by the fear effect affects the long term …

Modelling Non-Linear Functional Responses In Competitive Biological Systems., Nickolas Goncharenko

Western Research Forum

One of the most versatile and well understood models in mathematical biology is the Competitive Lotka Volterra (CLV) model, which describes the behaviour of any number of exclusively competitive species (that is each species competes directly with every other species). Despite it's success in describing many phenomenon in biology, chemistry and physics the CLV model cannot describe any non-linear environmental effects (including resource limitation and immune response of a host due to infection). The reason for this is the theory monotone dynamical systems, which was codeveloped with the CLV model, does not apply when this non-linear effect is introduced. For …

Bifurcation Analysis Of Two Biological Systems: A Tritrophic Food Chain Model And An Oscillating Networks Model, Xiangyu Wang

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

In this thesis, we apply bifurcation theory to study two biological systems. Main attention is focused on complex dynamical behaviors such as stability and bifurcation of limit cycles. Hopf bifurcation is particularly considered to show bistable or even tristable phenomenon which may occur in biological systems. Recurrence is also investigated to show that such complex behavior is common in biological systems.

First we consider a tritrophic food chain model with Holling functional response types III and IV for the predator and superpredator, respectively. Main attention is focused on the sta- bility and bifurcation of equilibria when the prey has a …

Investigation Of Chaos In Biological Systems, Navaneeth Mohan

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Chaos is the seemingly irregular behavior arising from a deterministic system. Chaos is observed in many real-world systems. Edward Lorenz’s seminal discovery of chaotic behavior in a weather model has prompted researchers to develop tools that distinguish chaos from non-chaotic behavior. In the first chapter of this thesis, I survey the tools for detecting chaos namely, Poincaré maps, Lyapunov exponents, surrogate data analysis, recurrence plots and correlation integral plots. In chapter two, I investigate blood pressure fluctuations for chaotic signatures. Though my analysis reveals interesting evidence in support of chaos, the utility such an analysis lies in a different direction …

Real Solution Of Dae And Pdae System, Zahra Mohammadi, Greg Reid

Western Research Forum

General systems of differential equations don't have restrictions on the number or type of equations. For example, they can be over or under-determined, and also contain algebraic constraints (e.g. algebraic equations such as in Differential-Algebraic equations (DAE) and Partial differential algebraic equations (PDAE). Increasingly such general systems arise from mathematical modeling of engineering and science problems such as in multibody mechanics, electrical circuit design, optimal control, chemical kinetics and chemical control systems. In most applications, only real solutions are of interest, rather than complex-valued solutions. Much progress has been made in exact differential elimination methods, which enable characterization of all …

Modelling Walleye Population And Its Cannibalism Effect, Quan Zhou

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Walleye is a very common recreational fish in Canada with a strong cannibalism tendency, such that walleyes with larger sizes will consume their smaller counterparts when food sources are limited or a surplus of adults is present. Cannibalism may be a factor promoting population oscillation. As fish reach a certain age or biological stage (i.e. biological maturity), the number of fish achieving that stage is known as fish recruitment. The objective of this thesis is to model the walleye population with its recruitment and cannibalism effect. A matrix population model has been introduced to characterize the walleye population into three …

P26. Global Exponential Stabilization On So(3), Soulaimane Berkane

Western Research Forum

Global Exponential Stabilization on SO(3)

Study Of Infectious Diseases By Mathematical Models: Predictions And Controls, Sm Ashrafur Rahman

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

The aim of this thesis is to understand the spread, persistence and prevention mechanisms of infectious diseases by mathematical models. Microorganisms that rapidly evolve pose a constant threat to public health. Proper understanding of the transmission machinery of these existing and new pathogens may facilitate devising prevention tools. Prevention tools against transmissions, including vaccines and drugs, are evolving at a similar pace. Efficient implementation of these new tools is a fundamental issue of public health. We primarily focus on this issue and explore some theoretical frameworks.

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is considered one of the promising interventions against HIV infection as …

Bifurcation Of Limit Cycles In Smooth And Non-Smooth Dynamical Systems With Normal Form Computation, Yun Tian

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This thesis contains two parts. In the first part, we investigate bifurcation of limit cycles around a singular point in planar cubic systems and quadratic switching systems. For planar cubic systems, we study cubic perturbations of a quadratic Hamiltonian system and obtain 10 small-amplitude limit cycles bifurcating from an elementary center, for which up to 5th-order Melnikov functions are used. Moreover, we prove the existence of 12 small-amplitude limit cycles around a singular point in a cubic system by computing focus values. For quadratic switching system, we develop a recursive algorithm for computing Lyapunov constants. With this efficient algorithm, we …

Understanding Recurrent Disease: A Dynamical Systems Approach, Wenjing Zhang

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Recurrent disease, characterized by repeated alternations between acute relapse and long re- mission, can be a feature of both common diseases, like ear infections, and serious chronic diseases, such as HIV infection or multiple sclerosis. Due to their poorly understood etiology and the resultant challenge for medical treatment and patient management, recurrent diseases attract much attention in clinical research and biomathematics. Previous studies of recurrence by biomathematicians mainly focus on in-host models and generate recurrent patterns by in- corporating forcing functions or stochastic elements. In this study, we investigate deterministic in-host models through the qualitative analysis of dynamical systems, to …

Estimation Of Hidden Markov Models And Their Applications In Finance, Anton Tenyakov

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Movements of financial variables exhibit extreme fluctuations during periods of economic crisis and times of market uncertainty. They are also affected by institutional policies and intervention of regulatory authorities. These structural changes driving prices and other economic indicators can be captured reasonably by models featuring regime-switching capabilities. Hidden Markov models (HMM) modulating the model parameters to incorporate such regime-switching dynamics have been put forward in recent years, but many of them could still be further improved. In this research, we aim to address some of the inadequacies of previous regime-switching models in terms of their capacity to provide better forecasts …

Study Of Virus Dynamics By Mathematical Models, Xiulan Lai

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This thesis studies virus dynamics within host by mathematical models, and topics discussed include viral release strategies, viral spreading mechanism, and interaction of virus with the immune system.

Firstly, we propose a delay differential equation model with distributed delay to investigate the evolutionary competition between budding and lytic viral release strategies. We find that when antibody is not established, the dynamics of competition depends on the respective basic reproduction numbers of the two viruses. If the basic reproductive ratio of budding virus is greater than that of lytic virus and one, budding virus can survive. When antibody is established for …

Computation Sequences For Series And Polynomials, Yiming Zhang

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

Approximation to the solutions of non-linear differential systems is very useful when the exact solutions are unattainable. Perturbation expansion replaces the system with a sequences of smaller problems, only the first of which is typically nonlinear. This works well by hand for the first few terms, but higher order computations are typically too demanding for all but the most persistent. Symbolic computation is thus attractive; however, symbolic computation of the expansions almost always encounters intermediate expression swell, by which we mean exponential growth in subexpression size or repetitions. A successful management of spatial complexity is vital to compute meaningful results. …

Modeling Leafhopper Populations And Their Role In Transmitting Plant Diseases., Ji Ruan

Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository

This M.Sc. thesis focuses on the interactions between crops and leafhoppers.

Firstly, a general delay differential equations system is proposed, based on the infection age structure, to investigate disease dynamics when disease latencies are considered. To further the understanding on the subject, a specific model is then introduced. The basic reproduction numbers $\cR_0$ and $\cR_1$ are identified and their threshold properties are discussed. When $\cR_0 < 1$, the insect-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When $\cR_0 > 1$ and $\cR_1 < 1$, the disease-free equilibrium exists and is locally asymptotically stable. When $\cR_1>1$, the disease will persist.

Secondly, we derive another general delay differential equations system to examine how different life stages of leafhoppers affect crops. The basic reproduction numbers $\cR_0$ is determined: when …