Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Data Driven Models Of Hemlock Woolly Adelgid Impacts And Biological Control, Hannah M. Thompson

Doctoral Dissertations

We present two models of the Adelges tsugae, the hemlock woolly adelgid, an invasive insect pest of Tsuga canadensis, eastern hemlock, in the eastern United States. An A. tsugae infestation often results in the death of T. canadensis within years, and has caused significant changes to hemlock forests. We construct two models composed of systems of ordinary differential equations with time dependent parameters to represent seasonality. The first model captures the coupled cycles in T. canadensis health and A. tsugae density. We use field data from Virginia to develop the model and to perform parameter estimation. The mechanisms …