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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

From Drought Monitoring To Forecasting: A Combined Dynamical-Statistical Modeling Framework, Hongxiang Yan Nov 2016

From Drought Monitoring To Forecasting: A Combined Dynamical-Statistical Modeling Framework, Hongxiang Yan

Dissertations and Theses

Drought is the most costly hazard among all natural disasters. Despite the significant improvements in drought modeling over the last decade, accurate provisions of drought conditions in a timely manner is still one of the major research challenges. In order to improve the current drought monitoring and forecasting skills, this study presents a hybrid system with a combination of remotely sensed data assimilation based on particle filtering and a probabilistic drought forecasting model. Besides the proposed drought monitoring system through land data assimilation, another novel aspect of this dissertation is to seek the use of data assimilation to quantify land …


Modeling Of Historic Columbia River Flood Impacts Based On Delft 3d Simulations, Lumas Terence Helaire Sep 2016

Modeling Of Historic Columbia River Flood Impacts Based On Delft 3d Simulations, Lumas Terence Helaire

Dissertations and Theses

Natural and anthropogenic processes over the past 150 years have altered the bathymetry of the Lower Columbia River (LCR) and have changed the long wave propagation of tides and floods. Possible causes for the increase in tidal amplitudes (+7% in tidal range in Astoria) are decreases in river discharge, lengthening of the river channel due to the construction of jetties at the mouth, dredging and deepening of the shipping channel, and reduction of the tidal prism due to the filling and diking of tidal wetlands. In this study, changes in the characteristics of long waves are elucidated by developing two …