Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Electric Sector Policy, Technological Change, And U.S. Emissions Reductions Goals: Results From The Emf 32 Model Intercomparison Project, John E. Bistline, Elke Hodson, Charles G. Rossmann, Jared Creason, Brian Murray, Alexander R. Barron

Environmental Science and Policy: Faculty Publications

The Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) 32 study compares a range of coordinated scenarios to explore implications of U.S. climate policy options and technological change on the electric power sector. Harmonized policy scenarios (including mass-based emissions limits and various power-sector-only carbon tax trajectories) across 16 models provide comparative assessments of potential impacts on electric sector investment and generation outcomes, emissions reductions, and economic implications. This paper compares results across these policy alternatives, including a variety of technological and natural gas price assumptions, and summarizes robust findings and areas of disagreement across participating models. Under a wide range of policy, technology, and …