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Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

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Environmental Sciences

William & Mary

VIMS Articles

Series

2009

Articles 1 - 2 of 2

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Global Change And Eutrophication Of Coastal Waters, N. N. Rabalais, R.E. Turner, Robert J. Diaz, Dubravko Justic Aug 2009

Global Change And Eutrophication Of Coastal Waters, N. N. Rabalais, R.E. Turner, Robert J. Diaz, Dubravko Justic

VIMS Articles

The cumulative effects of global change, including climate change, increased population, and more intense industrialization and agribusiness, will likely continue and intensify the course of eutrophication in estuarine and coastal waters. As a result, the symptoms of eutrophication, such as noxious and harmful algal blooms, reduced water quality, loss of habitat and natural resources, and severity of hypoxia (oxygen depletion) and its extent in estuaries and coastal waters will increase. Global climate changes will likely result in higher water temperatures, stronger stratification, and increased inflows of freshwater and nutrients to coastal waters in many areas of the globe. Both past …


Skill Assessment For Coupled Biological/Physical Models Of Marine Systems, Craig A. Stow, Jason Joliff, Dennis J. Mcgillicuddy Jr., Scott C. Doney, J. Icarus Allen, Marjorie A.M. Friedrichs, Kenneth A. Rose, Philip Wallhead Feb 2009

Skill Assessment For Coupled Biological/Physical Models Of Marine Systems, Craig A. Stow, Jason Joliff, Dennis J. Mcgillicuddy Jr., Scott C. Doney, J. Icarus Allen, Marjorie A.M. Friedrichs, Kenneth A. Rose, Philip Wallhead

VIMS Articles

Coupled biological/physical models of marine systems serve many purposes including the synthesis of information, hypothesis generation, and as a tool for numerical experimentation. However, marine system models are increasingly used for prediction to support high-stakes decision-making. In such applications it is imperative that a rigorous model skill assessment is conducted so that the model’s capabilities are tested and understood. Herein, we review several metrics and approaches useful to evaluate model skill. The definition of skill and the determination of the skill level necessary for a given application is context specific and no single metric is likely to reveal all aspects …