Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Analysis Of The Electric Power Outage Data And Prediction Of Electric Power Outage For Major Metropolitan Areas In Texas Using Machine Learning And Time Series Methods, Renfeng Wang, Venkata Leela 'Mg' Vanga, Zachary B. Zaiken, Jonathan Bennett

SMU Data Science Review

With growing energy usage, power outages affect millions of households. This case study focuses on gathering power outage historical data, modifying the data to attach weather attributes, and gathering ERCOT energy market conditions for Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston metropolitan areas of Texas. The transformed data is then analyzed using machine learning algorithms including, but not limited to, Regression, Random Forests and XGBoost to consider current weather and ERCOT features and predict power outage percentage for locations. The transformed data is also trained using time series models and serially correlated models including Autoregression and Vector Autoregression. This study also focuses on …