Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Business Failure Prediction Using Survival Analysis, Kuldeep Kumar, Adrian Gepp

Adrian Gepp

Accurate business failure prediction models would be extremely valuable to many industry sectors, particularly in financial investment and lending. Recently, there has been a significant increase in interest in business failure prediction, from both industry and academia. Statistical business failure prediction models attempt to predict the failure or success of a business. Discriminant and logit analyses have been the most popular approaches, but there are also a large number of alternative techniques available. In this paper, a comparatively new technique known as survival analysis has been used for business failure prediction. Overall, the results suggest that survival analysis techniques provide …