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Articles 1 - 21 of 21
Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Causal Mediation In A Survival Setting With Time-Dependent Mediators, Wenjing Zheng, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Causal Mediation In A Survival Setting With Time-Dependent Mediators, Wenjing Zheng, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Wenjing Zheng
The effect of an expsore on an outcome of interest is often mediated by intermediate variables. The goal of causal mediation analysis is to evaluate the role of these intermediate variables (mediators) in the causal effect of the exposure on the outcome. In this paper, we consider causal mediation of a baseline exposure on a survival (or time-to-event) outcome, when the mediator is time-dependent. The challenge in this setting lies in that the event process takes places jointly with the mediator process; in particular, the length of the mediator history depends on the survival time. As a result, we argue …
Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Natural Direct Effect, Wenjing Zheng, Mark Van Der Laan
Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Natural Direct Effect, Wenjing Zheng, Mark Van Der Laan
Wenjing Zheng
In many causal inference problems, one is interested in the direct causal effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest that is not mediated by certain intermediate variables. Robins and Greenland (1992) and Pearl (2000) formalized the definition of two types of direct effects (natural and controlled) under the counterfactual framework. Since then, identifiability conditions for these effects have been studied extensively. By contrast, considerably fewer efforts have been invested in the estimation problem of the natural direct effect. In this article, we propose a semiparametric efficient, multiply robust estimator for the natural direct effect of a binary treatment …
Hierarchical Vector Auto-Regressive Models And Their Applications To Multi-Subject Effective Connectivity, Cristina Gorrostieta, Mark Fiecas, Hernando Ombao, Erin Burke, Steven Cramer
Hierarchical Vector Auto-Regressive Models And Their Applications To Multi-Subject Effective Connectivity, Cristina Gorrostieta, Mark Fiecas, Hernando Ombao, Erin Burke, Steven Cramer
Mark Fiecas
Designing The Search Trial: Ph250b In Practice, Laura Balzer
Designing The Search Trial: Ph250b In Practice, Laura Balzer
Laura B. Balzer
No abstract provided.
Managed Care, Hospice Use, Site Of Death, And Medical Expenditures In The Last Year Of Life, Ezekiel Emanuel, Arlene Ash, Wei Yu, Gail Gazelle, Norman Levinsky, Olga Saynina, Mark Mcclellan, Mark Moskowitz
Managed Care, Hospice Use, Site Of Death, And Medical Expenditures In The Last Year Of Life, Ezekiel Emanuel, Arlene Ash, Wei Yu, Gail Gazelle, Norman Levinsky, Olga Saynina, Mark Mcclellan, Mark Moskowitz
wei yu
BACKGROUND: We examined deaths of Medicare beneficiaries in Massachusetts and California to evaluate the effect of managed care on the use of hospice and site of death and to determine how hospice affects the expenditures for the last year of life.
METHODS: Medicare data for beneficiaries in Massachusetts (n = 37 933) and California (n = 27 685) who died in 1996 were merged with each state's death certificate files to determine site and cause of death. Expenditure data were Health Care Financing Administration payments and were divided into 30-day periods from the date of death back 12 months.
RESULTS: …
Estimating The Effect Of A Community-Based Intervention With Two Communities, Mark Van Der Laan, Maya Petersen, Wenjing Zheng
Estimating The Effect Of A Community-Based Intervention With Two Communities, Mark Van Der Laan, Maya Petersen, Wenjing Zheng
Wenjing Zheng
Due to the need to evaluate the effectiveness of community-based programs in practice, there is substantial interest in methods to estimate the causal effects of community-level treatments or exposures on individual level outcomes. The challenge one is confronted with is that different communities have different environmental factors affecting the individual outcomes, and all individuals in a community share the same environment and intervention. In practice, data are often available from only a small number of communities, making it difficult if not impossible to adjust for these environmental confounders. In this paper we consider an extreme version of this dilemma, in …
Estimating Effects On Rare Outcomes: Knowledge Is Power, Laura B. Balzer, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Estimating Effects On Rare Outcomes: Knowledge Is Power, Laura B. Balzer, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Laura B. Balzer
Many of the secondary outcomes in observational studies and randomized trials are rare. Methods for estimating causal effects and associations with rare outcomes, however, are limited, and this represents a missed opportunity for investigation. In this article, we construct a new targeted minimum loss-based estimator (TMLE) for the effect of an exposure or treatment on a rare outcome. We focus on the causal risk difference and statistical models incorporating bounds on the conditional risk of the outcome, given the exposure and covariates. By construction, the proposed estimator constrains the predicted outcomes to respect this model knowledge. Theoretically, this bounding provides …
Evaluation Of Student Outcomes In Online Vs. Campus Biostatistics Education In A Graduate School Of Public Health, John Mcgready, Ron Brookmeyer
Evaluation Of Student Outcomes In Online Vs. Campus Biostatistics Education In A Graduate School Of Public Health, John Mcgready, Ron Brookmeyer
Ron Brookmeyer
Objective: To compare student outcomes between concurrent online and on-campus sections of an introductory biostatistics course offered at a U.S. school of public health in 2005. Methods: Enrolled students (95 online, 92 on-campus) were invited to participate in a confidential online survey. The course outcomes were compared between the two sections adjusting for differences in student characteristics. Results: Seventy-two online (76%) and 66 (72%) on-campus enrollees participated. Unadjusted final exam scores for the online and on-campus sections were respectively 85.1 and 86.3 (p = 0.50) in term 1, and 87.7 and 86.9 (p=0.58) in term 2. After adjustment for student …
Estimation Of Hiv Incidence Using Multiple Biomakers, Ron Brookmeyer, Jacob Konikoff, Oliver Laeyendecker, Susan Eshleman
Estimation Of Hiv Incidence Using Multiple Biomakers, Ron Brookmeyer, Jacob Konikoff, Oliver Laeyendecker, Susan Eshleman
Ron Brookmeyer
The incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is the rate at which new HIV infections occur in populations. The development of accurate, practical, and cost-effective approaches to estimation of HIV incidence is a priority among researchers in HIV surveillance because of limitations with existing methods. In this paper, we develop methods for estimating HIV incidence rates using multiple biomarkers in biological samples collected from a cross-sectional survey. An advantage of the method is that it does not require longitudinal follow-up of individuals. We use assays for BED, avidity, viral load, and CD4 cell count data from clade B samples collected …
On The Exact Size Of Multiple Comparison Tests, Chris Lloyd
On The Exact Size Of Multiple Comparison Tests, Chris Lloyd
Chris J. Lloyd
No abstract provided.
Instrumental Variable Analyses: Exploiting Natural Randomness To Understand Causal Mechanisms, Theodore Iwashyna, Edward Kennedy
Instrumental Variable Analyses: Exploiting Natural Randomness To Understand Causal Mechanisms, Theodore Iwashyna, Edward Kennedy
Edward H. Kennedy
Instrumental variable analysis is a technique commonly used in the social sciences to provide evidence that a treatment causes an outcome, as contrasted with evidence that a treatment is merely associated with differences in an outcome. To extract such strong evidence from observational data, instrumental variable analysis exploits situations where some degree of randomness affects how patients are selected for a treatment. An instrumental variable is a characteristic of the world that leads some people to be more likely to get the specific treatment we want to study but does not otherwise change thosepatients’ outcomes. This seminar explains, in nonmathematical …
Integrative Analysis Of Prognosis Data On Multiple Cancer Subtypes, Shuangge Ma
Integrative Analysis Of Prognosis Data On Multiple Cancer Subtypes, Shuangge Ma
Shuangge Ma
In cancer research, profiling studies have been extensively conducted, searching for genes/SNPs associated with prognosis. Cancer is diverse. Examining similarity and difference in the genetic basis of multiple subtypes of the same cancer can lead to a better understanding of their connections and distinctions. Classic meta-analysis methods analyze each subtype separately and then compare analysis results across subtypes. Integrative analysis methods, in contrast, analyze the raw data on multiple subtypes simultaneously and can outperform meta-analysis methods. In this study, prognosis data on multiple subtypes of the same cancer are analyzed. An AFT (accelerated failure time) model is adopted to describe …
On The Size Accuracy Of Combination Tests, Chris Lloyd
On The Size Accuracy Of Combination Tests, Chris Lloyd
Chris J. Lloyd
One element of the analysis of adaptive clinical trials is combining the evidence from several (often two) stages. When the endpoint is binary, standard single stage tests statistics do not control size well. Yet the combined test might not be valid if the single stage tests are not. The purpose of this paper is to numerically and theoretically examine the extent to which combining basic tests statistics mitigates or magnifies the size violation of the final test.
A Targeted Confounder Selection Strategy For Propensity Score Estimation, Susan Gruber
A Targeted Confounder Selection Strategy For Propensity Score Estimation, Susan Gruber
Susan Gruber
These slides provide an introduction to data-adaptive propensity score estimation, and the collaborative targeted maximum likelihood estimator (C-TMLE) of van der Laan and Gruber. The notation has been greatly simplified, which makes the work accessible to a more general audience, but loses a little in the translation.
An Overview Of Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Susan Gruber
An Overview Of Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Susan Gruber
Susan Gruber
These slides provide an introduction to targeted maximum likelihood estimation in a point treatment setting.
Bayesian Methods For Expression-Based Integration, Elizabeth M. Jennings, Jeffrey S. Morris, Raymond J. Carroll, Ganiraju C. Manyam, Veera Baladandayuthapani
Bayesian Methods For Expression-Based Integration, Elizabeth M. Jennings, Jeffrey S. Morris, Raymond J. Carroll, Ganiraju C. Manyam, Veera Baladandayuthapani
Jeffrey S. Morris
We propose methods to integrate data across several genomic platforms using a hierarchical Bayesian analysis framework that incorporates the biological relationships among the platforms to identify genes whose expression is related to clinical outcomes in cancer. This integrated approach combines information across all platforms, leading to increased statistical power in finding these predictive genes, and further provides mechanistic information about the manner in which the gene affects the outcome. We demonstrate the advantages of the shrinkage estimation used by this approach through a simulation, and finally, we apply our method to a Glioblastoma Multiforme dataset and identify several genes potentially …
A Case-Control Study Of Physical Activity Patterns And Risk Of Non-Fatal Myocardial Infarction, Jian Gong, Hannia Campos, Mark Fiecas, Stephen Mcgarvey, Robert Goldberg, Caroline Richardson, Ana Baylin
A Case-Control Study Of Physical Activity Patterns And Risk Of Non-Fatal Myocardial Infarction, Jian Gong, Hannia Campos, Mark Fiecas, Stephen Mcgarvey, Robert Goldberg, Caroline Richardson, Ana Baylin
Mark Fiecas
Background The interactive effects of different types of physical activity on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk have not been fully considered in previous studies. We aimed to identify physical activity patterns that take into account combinations of physical activities and examine the association between derived physical activity patterns and risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods We examined the relationship between physical activity patterns, identified by principal component analysis (PCA), and AMI risk in a case-control study of myocardial infarction in Costa Rica (N=4172), 1994-2004. The component scores derived from PCA and total METS were used in natural cubic spline models …
Varying-Smoother Models For Functional Responses, Philip T. Reiss, Lei Huang, Huaihou Chen, Stan Colcombe
Varying-Smoother Models For Functional Responses, Philip T. Reiss, Lei Huang, Huaihou Chen, Stan Colcombe
Philip T. Reiss
This paper studies estimation of a smooth function f(x,v) when we are given functional responses of the form f(x, ·) + error, but scientific interest centers on the collection of functions f(·,v) for different v. The motivation comes from studies of human brain development, in which x denotes age whereas v refers to brain locations. Analogously to varying-coefficient models, in which the mean response is linear in x, the “varying-smoother” models that we consider exhibit nonlinear dependence on x that varies smoothly with v. We discuss three approaches to estimating varying-smoother models: (a) methods that employ a tensor product penalty; …
Progression From New Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus Colonisation To Infection: An Observational Study In A Hospital Cohort, Michelle Nd Balm, Andrew A. Lover, Sharon Salmon, Paul A. Tambyah, Dale A. Fisher
Progression From New Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus Colonisation To Infection: An Observational Study In A Hospital Cohort, Michelle Nd Balm, Andrew A. Lover, Sharon Salmon, Paul A. Tambyah, Dale A. Fisher
Andrew Lover
Quantifying Effect Of Geographic Location On Epidemiology Of Plasmodium Vivax Malaria, Andrew A. Lover, Richard J. Coker
Quantifying Effect Of Geographic Location On Epidemiology Of Plasmodium Vivax Malaria, Andrew A. Lover, Richard J. Coker
Andrew Lover
Methods For Evaluating Prediction Performance Of Biomarkers And Tests, Margaret S. Pepe Phd, Holly Janes Phd
Methods For Evaluating Prediction Performance Of Biomarkers And Tests, Margaret S. Pepe Phd, Holly Janes Phd
Margaret S Pepe PhD
This chapter describes and critiques methods for evaluating the performance of markers to predict risk of a current or future clinical outcome. We consider three criteria that are important for evaluating a risk model: calibration, benefit for decision making and accurate classification. We also describe and discuss a variety of summary measures in common use for quantifying predictive information such as the area under the ROC curve and R-squared. The roles and problems with recently proposed risk reclassification approaches are discussed in detail.