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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The Influences Of Sea-Surface Temperature Uncertainty On Cool-Season High-Shear, Low Cape Severe Weather Event Predictability In The Southeast United States, Michelle Rose Spencer Dec 2021

The Influences Of Sea-Surface Temperature Uncertainty On Cool-Season High-Shear, Low Cape Severe Weather Event Predictability In The Southeast United States, Michelle Rose Spencer

Theses and Dissertations

Environments conducive to severe weather and tornadoes occur throughout the southeastern United States, particularly during the cold-season. Throughout the cold-season, severe weather in this region predominantly occurs in environments characterized by high-shear, low-CAPE (HSLC). An important aspect to the production of severe weather in HSLC environments in the southeast United States is that air parcels that help contribute to the limited positive-buoyancy generation originate over areas such as the Gulf of Mexico, western Caribbean Sea, and western Atlantic Ocean. These relatively warm bodies of water, particularly outside of the cooler coastal shelf regions, allow the air parcels to warm and …


An Investigation Into The Thermodynamics Of Overland Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change In Weakly/Non-Baroclinic Environments, Michael Partrick Vossen Aug 2021

An Investigation Into The Thermodynamics Of Overland Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change In Weakly/Non-Baroclinic Environments, Michael Partrick Vossen

Theses and Dissertations

There are two leading theories regarding how tropical cyclones can maintain or increase their intensity over land in weakly to non-baroclinic environments. In the first, tropical cyclones are maintained overland by enhanced upward surface enthalpy fluxes facilitated by the tropical cyclone’s rains, whereas in the second, tropical cyclones are maintained by enhanced enthalpy fluxes under inflowing trajectories at larger radii from the cyclone’s center. These theories have yet to be rigorously tested, however. To rigorously test these hypotheses, this study uses a quasi-idealized version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model lacking parameterized radiation to test the sensitivity of overland …


Verification Of Environmental-Regime–Stratified Gfs Short-Range Vertical Sounding Forecasts, Dillon Blount Aug 2021

Verification Of Environmental-Regime–Stratified Gfs Short-Range Vertical Sounding Forecasts, Dillon Blount

Theses and Dissertations

In recent years, the United States’ operational global numerical weather prediction model, the Global Forecast System (GFS), has been upgraded to include a new dynamical core and an updated turbulence parameterization. This updated turbulence parameterization uses a hybrid eddy-diffusivity, countergradient, and mass-flux formulation to approximate near-surface turbulent vertical mixing. The precise formulation used is based on the local stability, with the eddy-diffusivity, countergradient, and mass flux formulations used under stable, weakly unstable, and strongly unstable conditions, respectively. In this study, an objective classification of environmental regimes is used to verify GFS short-range vertical soundings, focusing on the planetary boundary layer …


Investigating The Potential Of A Combined Air Quality-Heat Index In Predicting Mortality, Shayna Fever May 2021

Investigating The Potential Of A Combined Air Quality-Heat Index In Predicting Mortality, Shayna Fever

Theses and Dissertations

Although the development of the Air Quality Index (AQI) has been significant in informing and protecting the public, it may not be entirely reflective of the health effects from exposure to air pollutants. Meteorological factors that are considered in the heat index (HI), temperature and relative humidity, are not considered when calculating the AQI. It may be important to consider certain meteorological factors when assessing the quality of the air because such factors affect the dynamics of air movement as well as the formation of certain pollutants.Through a series of Quasi-Poisson regression models, we investigated whether the relationship between the …