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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Ensemble Forecasting Of Coronal Mass Ejections Using The Wsa-Enlil With Coned Model, Daniel J. Emmons Ii
Ensemble Forecasting Of Coronal Mass Ejections Using The Wsa-Enlil With Coned Model, Daniel J. Emmons Ii
Theses and Dissertations
The combination of the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) coronal model, ENLIL heliospherical model version 2.7, and Coned Model version 1.3 (WSA-ENLIL with Coned Model) was employed to form ensemble forecasts for 15 halo coronal mass ejections (CME's). The input parameter distributions were formed from 100 sets of CME cone parameters derived from the Coned Model. The Coned Model employed image processing along with the bootstrap approach to automatically calculate cone parameter distributions from SOHO-LASCO imagery based on techniques described by Pulkkinen et al. [2010]. The input parameter distributions were used as input to WSA-ENLIL to calculate the temporal evolution of the …
A Quantitative Analysis Of Solar Flare Characteristics As Observed In The Solar Observing Optical Network And The Global Oscillation Network Group, Thomas M. Wittman
A Quantitative Analysis Of Solar Flare Characteristics As Observed In The Solar Observing Optical Network And The Global Oscillation Network Group, Thomas M. Wittman
Theses and Dissertations
This study consists of a quantitative comparison of H-alpha solar flare area and brightness as recorded by the Solar Observing Optical Network (SOON) and the Global Oscillation Network Group (GONG) from March 11 through November 30, 2011. The Air Force utilizes the three-site SOON network for H-alpha flare monitoring, while the six-site GONG network, managed by the National Solar Observatory, provides backup H alpha flare monitoring for SOON. A total of 1000 flares were observed and 100 of these were rated larger or brighter than the 0-F category. In the SOON network, 8% of flares observed by two sites had …