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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Simulating Burr Type Vii Distributions Through The Method Of L-Moments And L-Correlations, Mohan D. Pant, Todd C. Headrick Aug 2014

Simulating Burr Type Vii Distributions Through The Method Of L-Moments And L-Correlations, Mohan D. Pant, Todd C. Headrick

Mohan Dev Pant

Burr Type VII, a one-parameter non-normal distribution, is among the less studied distributions, especially, in the contexts of statistical modeling and simulation studies. The main purpose of this study is to introduce a methodology for simulating univariate and multivariate Burr Type VII distributions through the method of L-moments and L-correlations. The methodology can be applied in statistical modeling of events in a variety of applied mathematical contexts and Monte Carlo simulation studies. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate that L-moment-based Burr Type VII distributions are superior to their conventional moment-based analogs in terms of distribution fitting and estimation. Simulation results …


Asimmetria Del Rischio Sistematico Dei Titolo Immobiliari Americani: Nuove Evidenze Econometriche, Paola De Santis, Carlo Drago Jul 2014

Asimmetria Del Rischio Sistematico Dei Titolo Immobiliari Americani: Nuove Evidenze Econometriche, Paola De Santis, Carlo Drago

Carlo Drago

In questo lavoro riscontriamo un aumento del rischio sistematico dei titoli del mercato immobiliare americano nell’anno 2007 seguito da un ritorno ai valori iniziali nell’anno 2009 e si evidenzia la possibile presenza di break strutturali. Per valutare il suddetto rischio sistematico è stato scelto il modello a tre fattori di Fama e French ed è stata studiata la relazione tra l’extra rendimento dell’indice REIT, utilizzato come proxy dell’andamento dei titoli immobiliari americani, e l’extra rendimento dell’indice S&P500 rappresentativo del rendimento del portafoglio di mercato. I risultati confermano la presenza di un “Asymmetric REIT Beta Puzzle” coerentemente con alcuni precedenti studi …


A General Framework For Uncertainty Propagation Based On Point Estimate Methods, René Schenkendorf Jul 2014

A General Framework For Uncertainty Propagation Based On Point Estimate Methods, René Schenkendorf

René Schenkendorf

A general framework to approach the challenge of uncertainty propagation in model based prognostics is presented in this work. It is shown how the so-called Point Estimate Meth- ods (PEMs) are ideally suited for this purpose because of the following reasons: 1) A credible propagation and represen- tation of Gaussian (normally distributed) uncertainty can be done with a minimum of computational effort for non-linear applications. 2) Also non-Gaussian uncertainties can be prop- agated by evaluating suitable transfer functions inherently. 3) Confidence intervals of simulation results can be derived which do not have to be symmetrically distributed around the mean value …


Errata - Logistic Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe May 2014

Errata - Logistic Regression Models, Joseph Hilbe

Joseph M Hilbe

Errata for Logistic Regression Models, 4th Printing


Interpretation And Prediction Of A Logistic Model, Joseph M. Hilbe Mar 2014

Interpretation And Prediction Of A Logistic Model, Joseph M. Hilbe

Joseph M Hilbe

A basic overview of how to model and interpret a logistic regression model, as well as how to obtain the predicted probability or fit of the model and calculate its confidence intervals. R code used for all examples; some Stata is provided as a contrast.


Bayesian Joint Selection Of Genes And Pathways: Applications In Multiple Myeloma Genomics, Lin Zhang, Jeffrey S. Morris, Jiexin Zhang, Robert Orlowski, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani Jan 2014

Bayesian Joint Selection Of Genes And Pathways: Applications In Multiple Myeloma Genomics, Lin Zhang, Jeffrey S. Morris, Jiexin Zhang, Robert Orlowski, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

Jeffrey S. Morris

It is well-established that the development of a disease, especially cancer, is a complex process that results from the joint effects of multiple genes involved in various molecular signaling pathways. In this article, we propose methods to discover genes and molecular pathways significantly associ- ated with clinical outcomes in cancer samples. We exploit the natural hierarchal structure of genes related to a given pathway as a group of interacting genes to conduct selection of both pathways and genes. We posit the problem in a hierarchical structured variable selection (HSVS) framework to analyze the corresponding gene expression data. HSVS methods conduct …


Sas Macro: Weighted Kappa Statistic For Clustered Matched-Pair Ordinal Data, Zhao Yang Jan 2014

Sas Macro: Weighted Kappa Statistic For Clustered Matched-Pair Ordinal Data, Zhao Yang

Zhao (Tony) Yang, Ph.D.

This SAS macro calculate the weighted kappa statistic and its corresponding non-parametric variance estimator for the clustered matched-pair ordinal data.


Sas Macro: Kappa Statistic For Clustered Physician-Patients Polytomous Data, Zhao Yang Jan 2014

Sas Macro: Kappa Statistic For Clustered Physician-Patients Polytomous Data, Zhao Yang

Zhao (Tony) Yang, Ph.D.

This SAS macro calculate the kappa statistic and its semi-parametric variance estimator for the clustered physician-patients polytomous data. The proposed method depends on the assumption of conditional independence for the clustered physician-patients data structure.


A Comparison Of 12 Algorithms For Matching On The Propensity Score, Peter C. Austin Jan 2014

A Comparison Of 12 Algorithms For Matching On The Propensity Score, Peter C. Austin

Peter Austin

Propensity-score matching is increasingly being used to reduce the confounding that can occur in observational studies examining the effects of treatments or interventions on outcomes. We used Monte Carlo simulations to examine the following algorithms for forming matched pairs of treated and untreated subjects: optimal matching, greedy nearest neighbor matching without replacement, and greedy nearest neighbor matching without replacement within specified caliper widths. For each of the latter two algorithms, we examined four different sub-algorithms defined by the order in which treated subjects were selected for matching to an untreated subject: lowest to highest propensity score, highest to lowest propensity …


The Use Of Propensity Score Methods With Survival Or Time-To-Event Outcomes: Reporting Measures Of Effect Similar To Those Used In Randomized Experiments, Peter C. Austin Jan 2014

The Use Of Propensity Score Methods With Survival Or Time-To-Event Outcomes: Reporting Measures Of Effect Similar To Those Used In Randomized Experiments, Peter C. Austin

Peter Austin

Propensity score methods are increasingly being used to estimate causal treatment effects in observational studies. In medical and epidemiological studies, outcomes are frequently time-to-event in nature. Propensity-score methods are often applied incorrectly when estimating the effect of treatment on time-to-event outcomes. This article describes how two different propensity score methods (matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting) can be used to estimate the measures of effect that are frequently reported in randomized controlled trials: (i) marginal survival curves, which describe survival in the population if all subjects were treated or if all subjects were untreated; and (ii) marginal hazard ratios. …


The Performance Of Different Propensity Score Methods For Estimating Absolute Effects Of Treatments On Survival Outcomes: A Simulation Study, Peter C. Austin Jan 2014

The Performance Of Different Propensity Score Methods For Estimating Absolute Effects Of Treatments On Survival Outcomes: A Simulation Study, Peter C. Austin

Peter Austin

Observational studies are increasingly being used to estimate the effect of treatments, interventions and exposures on outcomes that can occur over time. Historically, the hazard ratio, which is a relative measure of effect, has been reported. However, medical decision making is best informed when both relative and absolute measures of effect are reported. When outcomes are time-to-event in nature, the effect of treatment can also be quantified as the change in mean or median survival time due to treatment and the absolute reduction in the probability of the occurrence of an event within a specified duration of follow-up. We describe …