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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Copula-Based Zero-Inflated Count Time Series Models, Mohammed Sulaiman Alqawba
Copula-Based Zero-Inflated Count Time Series Models, Mohammed Sulaiman Alqawba
Mathematics & Statistics Theses & Dissertations
Count time series data are observed in several applied disciplines such as in environmental science, biostatistics, economics, public health, and finance. In some cases, a specific count, say zero, may occur more often than usual. Additionally, serial dependence might be found among these counts if they are recorded over time. Overlooking the frequent occurrence of zeros and the serial dependence could lead to false inference. In this dissertation, we propose two classes of copula-based time series models for zero-inflated counts with the presence of covariates. Zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), and zero-inflated Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (ZICMP) distributed marginals of the …
Spatio-Temporal Cluster Detection And Local Moran Statistics Of Point Processes, Jennifer L. Matthews
Spatio-Temporal Cluster Detection And Local Moran Statistics Of Point Processes, Jennifer L. Matthews
Mathematics & Statistics Theses & Dissertations
Moran's index is a statistic that measures spatial dependence, quantifying the degree of dispersion or clustering of point processes and events in some location/area. Recognizing that a single Moran's index may not give a sufficient summary of the spatial autocorrelation measure, a local indicator of spatial association (LISA) has gained popularity. Accordingly, we propose extending LISAs to time after partitioning the area and computing a Moran-type statistic for each subarea. Patterns between the local neighbors are unveiled that would not otherwise be apparent. We consider the measures of Moran statistics while incorporating a time factor under simulated multilevel Palm distribution, …