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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Wind Power Capacity Value Metrics And Variability: A Study In New England, Frederick W. Letson Nov 2015

Wind Power Capacity Value Metrics And Variability: A Study In New England, Frederick W. Letson

Doctoral Dissertations

Capacity value is the contribution of a power plant to the ability of the power system to meet high demand. As wind power penetration in New England, and worldwide, increases so does the importance of identifying the capacity contribution made by wind power plants. It is critical to accurately characterize the capacity value of these wind power plants and the variability of the capacity value over the long term. This is important in order to avoid the cost of keeping extra power plants operational while still being able to cover the demand for power reliably. This capacity value calculation is …


Variable Selection In Single Index Varying Coefficient Models With Lasso, Peng Wang Nov 2015

Variable Selection In Single Index Varying Coefficient Models With Lasso, Peng Wang

Doctoral Dissertations

Single index varying coefficient model is a very attractive statistical model due to its ability to reduce dimensions and easy-of-interpretation. There are many theoretical studies and practical applications with it, but typically without features of variable selection, and no public software is available for solving it. Here we propose a new algorithm to fit the single index varying coefficient model, and to carry variable selection in the index part with LASSO. The core idea is a two-step scheme which alternates between estimating coefficient functions and selecting-and-estimating the single index. Both in simulation and in application to a Geoscience dataset, we …