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China; Dust storms – Forecasting; Mathematical models; Sandstorms – Forecasting; Statistics
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A Statistical Model For Long-Term Forecasting Of Strong Sand Dust Storms, Siqi Tan
A Statistical Model For Long-Term Forecasting Of Strong Sand Dust Storms, Siqi Tan
UNLV Theses, Dissertations, Professional Papers, and Capstones
Dust elevated into the atmosphere by dust storms has numerous environmental consequences. These include contributing to climate change; modifying local weather conditions; producing chemical and biological changes in the oceans; and affecting soil formation, surface water, groundwater quality, crop growth, and survival (Goudie and Middleton, 1992). Societal impacts include disruptions to air, road and rail traffic; interruption of radio services; the myriad effects of static-electricity generation; property damage; and health effects on humans and animals (Warner, 2004).
In this thesis, we extend the idea of empirical recurrence rate (ERR), developed by Ho (2008), to model the temporal trend of the …