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Public Health

Public Health Faculty Publications

China

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Full-Text Articles in Medicine and Health Sciences

Short-Term Forecasts Of The Covid-19 Epidemic In Guangdong And Zhejiang, China: February 13–23, 2020, Kimberly Roosa, Yiseul Lee, Ruiyan Luo, Alexander Kirpich, Richard Rothenberg, J. M. Hyman, Ping Yan, Gerardo Chowell Feb 2020

Short-Term Forecasts Of The Covid-19 Epidemic In Guangdong And Zhejiang, China: February 13–23, 2020, Kimberly Roosa, Yiseul Lee, Ruiyan Luo, Alexander Kirpich, Richard Rothenberg, J. M. Hyman, Ping Yan, Gerardo Chowell

Public Health Faculty Publications

The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic continues to spread within and outside of China, despite several social distancing measures implemented by the Chinese government. Limited epidemiological data are available, and recent changes in case definition and reporting further complicate our understanding of the impact of the epidemic, particularly in the epidemic’s epicenter. Here we use previously validated phenomenological models to generate short-term forecasts of cumulative reported cases in Guangdong and Zhejiang, China. Using daily reported cumulative case data up until 13 February 2020 from the National Health Commission of China, we report 5- and 10-day ahead forecasts of cumulative case reports. Specifically, …


Childhood Health Status And Adulthood Cardiovascular Disease Morbidity In Rural China: Are They Related?, Qing Wang, Jay Shen Jun 2016

Childhood Health Status And Adulthood Cardiovascular Disease Morbidity In Rural China: Are They Related?, Qing Wang, Jay Shen

Public Health Faculty Publications

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are among the top health problems of the Chinese population. Although mounting evidence suggests that early childhood health status has an enduring effect on late life chronic morbidity, no study so far has analyzed the issue in China. Using nationally representative data from the 2013 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a Probit model and Two-Stage Residual Inclusion estimation estimator were applied to analyze the relationship between childhood health status and adulthood cardiovascular disease in rural China. Good childhood health was associated with reduced risk of adult CVDs. Given the long-term effects of childhood health on …


Unemployment Rate, Smoking In China: Are They Related?, Qing Wang, Jay Shen, Christopher R. Cochran Jan 2016

Unemployment Rate, Smoking In China: Are They Related?, Qing Wang, Jay Shen, Christopher R. Cochran

Public Health Faculty Publications

Background: Studies on the relationship between unemployment rate and smoking have yielded mixed results. The issue in China has not been studied. This study aims to examine the influence of unemployment rate on smoking in China. Methods: Logit model and two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimation were used to estimate the effects. Estimations were done for 4585 individual over 45 using data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study conducted in Zhejiang and Gansu provinces in 2008 and 2012. Results: A percent increase in the unemployment rate resulted in the increase in the likelihood of smoking by a combined 9.1 percent …


Factors Associated With Support For Smoke-Free Policies Among Government Workers In Six Chinese Cities: A Cross- Sectional Study, Michelle C. Kegler, Xinwei Hua, Madeleine Solomon, Yiqun Wu, Pin Pin Zheng, Michael Eriksen Jan 2014

Factors Associated With Support For Smoke-Free Policies Among Government Workers In Six Chinese Cities: A Cross- Sectional Study, Michelle C. Kegler, Xinwei Hua, Madeleine Solomon, Yiqun Wu, Pin Pin Zheng, Michael Eriksen

Public Health Faculty Publications

Background: A certain level of public support for smoke-free environments is a prerequisite for adoption and enforcement of policies and can be used as an indicator of readiness for legislative action. This study assessed support for comprehensive smoke-free policies in a range of settings such as hotels and colleges among government workers in China and identified factors associated with support for smoke-free policies. Understanding the extent to which government workers, a large segment of the working population in China, report a smoke-free workplace and support for smoke-free policies may be important indicators of readiness for strengthened policies given their role …