Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering Commons^™

Simulation-Based Evaluation Of Port Evacuation Plans For Predictable Natural Disasters, Xiuli Qu, Maurice Jackson, Lauren Davis

Dr. Lauren B Davis

Effective port emergency evacuation could reduce the potential damages and losses caused by a predictive natural disaster. Thus, most U.S. ports have evacuation plans or guidelines established for predictive natural disasters, especially hurricanes. However, hurricane Katrina still revealed that these existing emergency evacuation plans may not be as effective as originally expected. The objective of this study is to provide a quantitative approach to evaluating the effectiveness of port emergency evacuation plans for hurricanes. A discrete-event simulation model is developed in this study to capture the dynamic evacuation process in a complex port environment when a hurricane approaches a port. …