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Full-Text Articles in Engineering
Prediction Of Epidemic Transmission And Evaluation Of Prevention And Control Measures Based On Artificial Society, Bin Chen, Yang Mei, Chuan Ai, Ma Liang, Zhengqiu Zhu, Hailiang Chen, Mengna Zhu, Xu Wei
Prediction Of Epidemic Transmission And Evaluation Of Prevention And Control Measures Based On Artificial Society, Bin Chen, Yang Mei, Chuan Ai, Ma Liang, Zhengqiu Zhu, Hailiang Chen, Mengna Zhu, Xu Wei
Journal of System Simulation
Abstract: The COVID-19 has been controlled under the strict measures,but how to normalize it deserves in-depth study.The COVID-19 transmission model and the human contact network are established separately based on SEIR model and the artificial social scenario.With the support of the multi-agent computational experiment method,a large sample calculation experiment was performed on the Tianhe supercomputer to simulate the epidemic transmission in typical areas such as communities,schools,and workplaces in artificial cities,and to predict and evaluate the risk of epidemic spread after resumption of work and school.The results show that epidemic prevention and control must be prepared for a …
Modeling And Relevance Analysis Of Urban Epidemic Transmission And Work Resumption Intensity, Gan Mi, Yunyi Tian, Wenchang Zhang, Xihan Zhao
Modeling And Relevance Analysis Of Urban Epidemic Transmission And Work Resumption Intensity, Gan Mi, Yunyi Tian, Wenchang Zhang, Xihan Zhao
Journal of System Simulation
Abstract: On the basis of multi-source big data, the model for analyzing the population migration changes and manpower gaps caused by the COVID-19 epidemic in 34 typical cities across the country is constructed , and the work resumption intensity of other cities is predicited by using the migration base constructed. The SEIR model is used to estimate the basic reproduction number in each city since the simulate results show that it can emulate the transmission trend of this epidemic accurately, and the retrospective matrix analysis of the work resumption intensity is combined with the manpower gap to summarize the anti-epidemic …