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Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Journal of System Simulation

Journal

2019

Sensitivity analysis

Articles 1 - 5 of 5

Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Dbn Method For Risk Assessment Of Dairy Products Cold Chain Logistics, Weijiong Chen, Fan Wen, Xiaolin Zhu, Qimiao Xie, Xiaobei Yin Nov 2019

Dbn Method For Risk Assessment Of Dairy Products Cold Chain Logistics, Weijiong Chen, Fan Wen, Xiaolin Zhu, Qimiao Xie, Xiaobei Yin

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Dairy cold chain logistics is a one-way dynamic process. According to the Bayesian theory, this paper considered the transitivity between risks and used the GeNIe software to establish the DBN risk assessment model. The cold chain logistics risk probability of dairy products was evaluated and the sensitivity analysis was carried out. The results revealed that the probability of transportation risk is the highest, and the sensitivity of processing risk is the highest. The processing and the transportation are the key links of the dairy product cold chain logistics. Comparing the results of DBN and the results of static Bayesian …


Travel Time Reliability Of Inside Area Of Roundabouts, Yuzhou Duan, Tingting Chai, Jian Jie Nov 2019

Travel Time Reliability Of Inside Area Of Roundabouts, Yuzhou Duan, Tingting Chai, Jian Jie

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: Based on the travel time reliability, this paper analyzes the traffic states in the inside area of the roundabout. The travel time reliability model is established from three aspects: route path, entrance and system, and the practicability of the model is verified by the VISSIM simulation. On this basis, the correlation analysis is made on between the adjacent paths of the same entrance and adjacent paths of the adjacent entrances, and the fitting equations are obtained. Taking the number of lanes, traffic volumes, proportion of left-turns and the rate of heavy vehicles as variables, a sensitivity analysis …


Analysis And Optimization For Combat Capability Based On Sequential Simulation Experiment, Chenyan Kong, Zhu Jing, Jiao Song, Shaojie Mao Jan 2019

Analysis And Optimization For Combat Capability Based On Sequential Simulation Experiment, Chenyan Kong, Zhu Jing, Jiao Song, Shaojie Mao

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: To deal with the optimization of combat capability, the sequential simulation experiment method was proposed. The simulation evaluation method with precision constraint was used to control the simulation running times. The sensitivity analysis experiment was carried out to identify the important factors affecting the combat capability. The relation model between the important factors and combat capability was constructed via regression analysis experiment. To get the combat capability improvement as large as possible with the price as small as possible, the optimization was used. In the application example, the air-defense combat capability was improved by the method.


Optimization Of Q-Btgsid Based On Sensitivity Analysis, Shuwei Jia Jan 2019

Optimization Of Q-Btgsid Based On Sensitivity Analysis, Shuwei Jia

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: In order to make up for the defect that relative degree of incidence, absolute degree of incidence and synthetic degree of incidence are limited in the range of (0.5, 1], this paper attempts to improve the degree of grey incidence. A control factor of “λ” and the metric space are set up to adjust. A new model is established and its specific properties are studied. It is proved that the new model satisfies the grey incidence axioms and the range of degree of grey incidence can be extended to (0, 1]. We put forward four principles of …


Modeling And Analysis Of Operation Benefit For Electric Vehicle Battery Swapping Station, Weiqing Sun, Shunfeng Chen, Liu Tong, Xiaodong Wu Jan 2019

Modeling And Analysis Of Operation Benefit For Electric Vehicle Battery Swapping Station, Weiqing Sun, Shunfeng Chen, Liu Tong, Xiaodong Wu

Journal of System Simulation

Abstract: The operators of electric vehicle battery swapping stations (EVBSS) seek the maximization of benefit by optimizing the modeling. The changes of operating parameters such as battery swapping demand could affect EVBSS benefits. A linear programming model for EVBSS maximum benefit is established. Based on the sensitivity analysis, it is found that the EVBSS benefit is mainly affected by operating parameters such as battery swapping price, battery depreciation cost, electricity price, etc. For power grid, the sensitivity parameters of peak load shifting are charging-pile number and battery number. The optimal quantity of EVBSS internal infrastructure investment is analyzed. The establishment …