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Electronic Theses and Dissertations

2009

ARIMA

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A Gasoline Demand Model For The United States Light Vehicle Fleet, Diana Rey Jan 2009

A Gasoline Demand Model For The United States Light Vehicle Fleet, Diana Rey

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

The United States is the world's largest oil consumer demanding about twenty five percent of the total world oil production. Whenever there are difficulties to supply the increasing quantities of oil demanded by the market, the price of oil escalates leading to what is known as oil price spikes or oil price shocks. The last oil price shock which was the longest sustained oil price run up in history, began its course in year 2004, and ended in 2008. This last oil price shock initiated recognizable changes in transportation dynamics: transit operators realized that commuters switched to transit as a …