Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

The Unknown Benefits Of Black Markets, Singapore Management University

Perspectives@SMU

Research on the license plate market in China’s capital finds that black markets can potentially serve as an auction mechanism to redistribute limited resources to those in need

The Ursinus College Investment Management Company Newsletter, Fall 2021, Scott Deacle, Maureen Cumpstone, Zachary Crebbin, Maddy Sorokanych, Michael Buck, Kareem Elghawy

Investment Management Company Newsletter

Inside this issue:

Letter from Madelynn Sorokanych '22

Letter from Michael Buck '22

At a Glance

Investment Strategies

Endowment at Work

UCIMCO Updates

Notable Trends

Semester Investment Performance

Endowment Outlook

Stock Selection Picks

Women's Fund Picks

Our Team

Special Thanks

Supporters

How to Contribute

Active Factor Investing: Hedge Funds Versus The Rest Of Us, Jun Duanmu, Yongjia Li, Alexey Malakhov

Finance Faculty Publications and Presentations

We examine whether the success of hedge fund market timing strategies can be replicated. We develop a methodology for creating a portfolio of ETFs to capture risk factor exposures of market timing hedge funds identified using extant market timing measures. We find that the top market timing hedge funds outperform their ETF clone peers and the superior performance cannot be replicated. We show that the irreplicable market timing skills are more profound in certain hedge fund styles. Finally, we provide evidence that the success of market timing strategies is driven by non-cloneable hedge funds that possess managerial skills.

Ucimco Endowment Semi-Annual Presentation, Fall 2021, Kareem Elghawy, Kyle Blaze, Jeremy Calabro, Ryan Carkhuff, Jacob Connelly, Christopher Craven, Zachary Crebbin, Olivia Defusco, Colin Holtzman, Brooke Hurley, Matthew Mcmahon, Jared Minnichbach, Zoey Nikolaou, Jared O'Connell, Erik Ojert, Thomas Pancheri, Christopher Porzelt, Tyler Sargent, Scott Sloan, Storm Snape, Matthew Snyder, Matthew Tuley

Business and Economics Presentations

The Ursinus College Investment Management Company (UCIMCO) consists of groups of student analysts who manage endowment-style and stock selection funds on behalf of the college endowment. This presentation, by the endowment team, examines performance and investment philosophy while discussing selections in the portfolio including: developed and emerging market equities, U.S. equities, corporate bonds, U.S. treasuries and U.S. real estate.

Ucimco Stock Selection Semi-Annual Presentation, Fall 2021, Michael Buck, Stevie Benson, Walker Hamilton, Mason Jolivette, Harrison Lorenc, Devin Molina, Stephen Schoenborn, Jack Shimer, Mohammad Sufyan, John Wagner, Riley Yee

Business and Economics Presentations

The Ursinus College Investment Management Company (UCIMCO) consists of groups of student analysts who manage endowment-style and stock selection funds on behalf of the college endowment. This presentation, by the stock selection team, examines quarterly performance and strategy while discussing the most recent selections in the portfolio: Agios Pharmaceuticals, CubeSmart, Splunk and Nexstar Media Group.

Ursinus College Women's Investment Management Company, Fall 2021, Maddy Sorokanych, Taylor Beaumont, Shelby Boyle, Laura Bradley, Olivia Defusco, Rachel Grossbauer, Jess Gutekunst, Rebecca Lewis, Alice Nathanson, Madelyn Nau, Ketlee Staz, Marcella Thanh-Guyet, Theodora Zeibekis

Business and Economics Presentations

The Ursinus College Investment Management Company (UCIMCO) consists of groups of student analysts who manage endowment-style and stock selection funds on behalf of the college endowment. In 2020, a group of women students began to manage their own fund. This presentation reviews activities of the Fall 2021 semester and analyzes the stock performance of various companies including: Anthem, Inc., American Well Corporation, Netflix, Travel and Leisure Company, Cognizant Technology Solutions, Oshkosh and the Hershey Company.

Do Large Losses Loom Larger Than Gains? Salience, Holding Periods, And The Disposition Effect, Vladimir Kotomin, Abhishek Varma

Faculty Publications – Finance, Insurance, and Law

Individual investors are more likely to sell stocks with nominal gains and losses that are large relative to their brokerage portfolio value. The salience of nominal gains and losses affects stock sales in both taxable and tax-deferred accounts and across investor groups, but the effect of nominal losses is weaker for stocks with high valuation uncertainty. The effect has a time dimension: at short holding periods, individuals are more likely to sell stocks with large nominal losses than gains of the same size, mitigating the disposition effect. Investors may be compelled to revisit their beliefs after incurring large losses quickly.

Analysis Of Factors Influencing The Bailout Of Distressed Enterprises By Local Asset Management Companies, Houwen Li

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

In recent years, the number of distressed enterprises in China has gradually increased due to radical enterprise strategies, excessive expansion, poor management, and a trend of accelerating growth. Unable to adapt to fierce market competition, a large number of “zombie enterprises” disrupt the market order, reduce the use efficiency of social resources, and aggravate market risks. However, some enterprises are
temporarily caught in financial distress due to a deterioration of their financial situation caused by factors such as debt structure or capital liquidity. If such enterprises can be bailed out in time, they can escape their distress, which not only …

A Biblical, Culturally Relevant, And Contextually Applicable Financial Literacy Curriculum, Wallace Kanyuira

Doctor of Leadership

Poverty in Kenya is high, and the church should respond by economically empowering the people to be self-reliant. People are in poverty, not for lack of opportunities and resources, but because they lack the knowledge and skills to exploit these opportunities, make decisions they are ill-equipped to make, and lack financial literacy. Many people who are financially struggling tend to seek solace in churches. Consequently, pastors need to master and teach biblical financial literacy and reshape the church culture to be responsive. In Hosea 4:6 God says: “My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge. . . .” Biblical financial …

Investment Patterns In Mountain West States, Counties, And Nevada Cities 2005-2019, Peter Grema, Zachary Walusek, Katie M. Gilbertson, William E. Brown Jr.

Economic Development & Workforce

The purpose of this fact sheet is to summarize findings on capital flows across Mountain West states and counties, and within Nevada cities. The “Gauging Investment Patterns across the US” report by the Urban Institute present findings of overall volume of capital deployed, racial equity of investments, and income equity for each respective geographic area. The full report further breaks down these three main categories into 18 other metrics.

Gender Differences In Self-Attribution And Overconfidence In Financial Decisions, Aine M. Ford

Student Publications

Behavioral finance and the study into biases is a rapidly increasing area of interest for finance professionals and academics alike. Understanding the sources of overconfidence and the self-attribution bias from a gendered framework can provide insight for managers and industry leaders to insulate their firms from underperformance losses due to these biases. Education and relevant financial experience are key controllable variables that impact overconfidence and self- attribution. Using a survey sent to around 130 students and finance professionals, gender, education, and relevant experience were tested against overconfidence and self-attributional scores to determine if there were any meaningful relationships. The results …

Digital Only Banks The Changing Face Of Global Banking: Challenges, Opportunities And Aml/Cft Implications For Nigeria, David N. Odu

Bullion

The drastic digitization brought about by evolution of technology in the world has changed almost every sphere of human life with the most recent effect being moved to cashless economy, while the role of digitization in the banking sector is altering customer demand and preferences, banks are becoming digitally oriented to meet the forces of demand and supply. This has led to the birth of digital-only also called challenger bankers or branches banks as they operate without a physical location, only have a location for admin purposes or hosting their servers. This growing wave of consumer oriented banking institutions focuses …

Institutional Investors And Bank Governance: An International Analysis Of Bank Earnings Management, Steve M. Miller, Rabih Moussawi, Bin Wang, Tina Yang

Finance Faculty Research and Publications

Despite the growing importance of institutional investors in global capital markets and the link between bank earnings management and financial crash risk, little is known about the role of institutional investors in mitigating bank earnings management. We conduct the first international analysis of this issue using a broad sample of banks and institutional investors. We find a negative relation between institutional ownership and bank earnings management, after controlling for the stringency of a country's bank regulations and other relevant bank and country characteristics. Additionally, institutional ownership is more negatively related to earnings management in countries with more-stringent bank disclosure requirements …

Questions For Discussion Board (Finance Course), Loren Cohen

Open Educational Resources

This assignment is designed to get students to think about the meaning behind the numbers. All too often, students calculate given scenarios without understanding why they are doing so. This will hopefully encourage deeper thinking.

Innovating In Traditional Real Estate Business Development Based On Value Co-Creation, Ya Zhang

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

The real estate industry is an important aspect of China's social development and plays a pivotal role in economic growth. With the development of urbanization in my country, the supply relationship in the real estate industry has changed, consumer demand has become more rational, and the real estate industry’s financial and investment attributes have been superimposed on the influence of the real estate industry. The competition among small and medium real estate companies with relatively weak resource endowments has become increasingly fierce. Some land expansion models can no longer adapt to the development of the new situation. How to survive …

A Study On Constructing The Fourth Financial Statement For The Performance Prediction And Value Assessment Of Internet Enterprises In The Food Industry, Jianxin Zhang

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

For a long time, industry, financial institutions, PE investment funds, and capital market investors have determined the business performance and market value of a company, usually based on the data of the three audited financial tables provided by the company, and further comprehensive analysis will be carried out the evaluation. Due to the limitations of accounting standards, the three financial tables cannot truly reflect all the business conditions of the enterprise. At the same time, the economic stage with traditional manufacturing as the main body and the economic stage with the digital economy as the main body are concerned with …

Effect Of Gamification Narrative Quality On Users’ Value Co-Creation Behavior In Context Of B2c Sharing Economy, Ziwen Wang

Dissertations and Theses Collection (Open Access)

B2C sharing economy is now a major part of the economic system in China and the essence of it is the value co-creation of the users and platforms. However, the means to effectively stimulate users into value co-creation in B2C sharing economy are not well-understood. While gamification marketing is a low cost means to enhance user participation, empirical research of high granularity is lacking. This dissertation seeks to fill the gap by exploring how gamification narrative quality affects users’ value co-creation behavior in the B2C sharing economy model and the underlying mechanism.

Using the bike sharing industry in China as …

Roles Of Acquirer Financial Advisors In M&A Deal Completion, Scarlett Pho

Senior Theses

The central theme that this thesis addresses is the role of valuation by investment banks who act as financial advisors to M&A buyers by answering two questions relating to the process. The first question is if buyers should hire investment banks for a higher chance of success of deals. For the second question, I will examine buyers who hire investment banks for some certain characteristics of deals. This study focuses on M&A deals that happened between 2012 and 2015, especially between advisor and nonadvisor, successful and failed deals. The conclusion presented in this thesis will be contributable to the understanding …

Board Composition, Board Diversity And Stock Performance, Chiyachantana N. Chiraphol, Siripen Pattanawihok, Pattarawan Prrasarnphanich

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

The study investigates the relationship between six board compositions and stock returns. The results indicate a significant association between various board compositions and stock returns. Specifically, board size and executive directors have a negative impact, whereas independent directors enhance stock returns. Busy directors positively impact the abnormal stock returns for the companies in the non-financial industry, which implies that busy directors who serve on more boards tend to be well connected. More importantly, the results indicate a significant positive relationship between board tenure and stock returns. Board service time is perceived as the board quality of knowledge and experience from …

Esg And The Market Return, Ran Chang, Liya Chu, Jun Tu, Bohui Zhang, Guofu Zhou

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We propose an environmental, social, and governance (ESG) index. We find that it has significant power in predicting the stock market risk premium, both in- and out-of-sample, and delivers sizable economic gains for mean-variance investors in asset allocation. Although the index is extracted by using the PLS method, its predictability is robust to using alternative machine learning tools. We find further that the aggregate of environmental variables captures short-term forecasting power, while that of social or governance captures long-term. The predictive power of the ESG index stems from both cash flow and discount rate channels.

Corporate Board Leadership And Earnings Informativeness, Chiyachantana N. Chiraphol, Siripen Pattanawihok, Pattarawan Prasarnphanich

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This study examines the relationship between six board compositions and the informativeness of earnings. The results show that smaller board sizes are more informativeness of earnings. Longer board service time is viewed as the experience and expertise to manage the firms and increases informativeness of earnings. The average board tenure is positively significant with the informativeness of earnings. The accounting earnings generated from the firms with more independent directors and female directors are highly valued by the investors. Consequently, the accounting earnings generated from these firms are highly valuable to the investors.

The Profitability Of Warrant Issuers: An Empirical Investigation Of Single Stock And Index Warrants, Ichaya Wongnapakarn, Arnat Leemakdej, Chiyachantana N. Chiraphol, Pattarawan Prasarnphanich, Eakapat Manitkajornkit

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This study examines the derivative warrant's profit of issuers compensated with the risk from issuing call and put derivative warrants because they have commitments in risk management and managing risk by hedging the underlying exposure. The average profit of issuers is a cumulative profit from the first trading day until the last trading day. Consistent with the imperfect competition for issuing put derivative warrants on single stock from different securities borrowing and lending advantages, the profit margin of a put warrant is higher than the call warrant. However, the profit margin from a put warrant is not necessarily higher than …

Tracking Retail Investor Activity, Ekkehart Boehmer, Charles M. Jones, Xiaoyan Zhang, Xinran Zhang

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

We provide an easy method to identify marketable retail purchases and sales using recent, publicly available U.S. equity transactions data. Individual stocks with net buying by retail investors outperform stocks with negative imbalances by approximately 10 bps over the following week. Less than half of the predictive power of marketable retail order imbalance is attributable to order flow persistence, while the rest cannot be explained by contrarian trading (proxy for liquidity provision) or public news sentiment. There is suggestive, but only suggestive, evidence that retail marketable orders might contain firm-level information that is not yet incorporated into prices.

Air Pollution, Behavioral Bias, And The Disposition Effect In China, Jennifer (Jie) Li, Massimo Massa, Hong Zhang, Jian Zhang

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

Inspired by the recent health science findings that air pollution affects mental health and cognition, we examine whether air pollution can intensify the cognitive bias observed in the financial markets. Based on a proprietary data set obtained from a large Chinese mutual fund family consisting of complete trading information for more than 773,198 ac-counts in 247 cities, we find that air pollution significantly increases investors' disposition effects. Analysis based on two plausible exogenous variations in air quality (the vast dissi-pation of air pollution caused by strong winds and the Huai River policy) supports a causal interpretation. Mood regulation provides a …

آليّات تعزيز المسؤوليّة الاجتماعيّة في مؤسّسات القطاع الخاص الفلسطيني, سمير مصطفى أبو مدللة استاذ مشارك, محمود حسين عيسى ماجستير

Journal of Al-Azhar University – Gaza (Humanities)

ملخص:

تكمن أهميّة الدّراسة في أنّها تتعرّض لمفهوم المسؤوليّة الاجتماعيّة، وهو مفهوم حديث البحث، فرضته فلسفة الإبداع الاجتماعي، وتطوّر الفكر الإداري والاقتصادي، وأصبح معياراً هامّاً من معايير نجاح مؤسّسات الأعمال.

هدفت الدّراسة إلى وضع تصوّر للآليّات والإجراءات الّتي من شأنها تعزيز وتفعيل المسؤوليّة الاجتماعيّة في مؤسّسات القطاع الخاص الفلسطيني.

تطرّقت الدّراسة إلى مفهوم المسؤوليّة الاجتماعيّة، وأبعادها، وأهميّتها، ونطاق ممارساتها، كما تناولت بالتحليل واقع المسؤوليّة الاجتماعيّة في مؤسّسات القطاع الخاص الفلسطيني، والتّحدّيات الّتي تواجه تلك المؤسّسات، ومن ثمّ استعراض الآليّات الكفيلة بتعزيز الممارسة الاجتماعيّة في مؤسّسات القطاع الخاص الفلسطيني.

استخدم الباحثان في التحليل المنهجين الوصفي والتّحليلي، لتوصيف مفاهيم الدّراسة، وتحليل العلاقة …

واقع استخدام التسويق الإلكتروني في الشركات الصناعية في شمال الضفة الغربية, أمجد سميح القاضي أستاذ مشارك

Journal of Al-Azhar University – Gaza (Humanities)

ملخص:

تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى التعرف على واقع استخدام التسويق الإلكتروني في الشركات الصناعية في شمال الضفة الغربية، ولتحقيق هدف الدراسة قام الباحث باستخدام المنهج الوصفي الميداني؛ فقد تم اختيار عينة عشوائية طبقية بحجم (60) من الإداريين العاملين في الشركات الصناعية ، وزعت عليهم أداة الدراسة المتمثلة بالاستبانه، وتم استخدام المتوسطات الحسابية، والانحرافات المعيارية والنسب المئوية . فأشارت نتائج الدراسة إلى أن واقع استخدام التسويق الإلكتروني في الشركات الصناعية في شمال الضفة الغربية كانت عالية وذلك بدلالة المتوسط الحسابي الذي بلغ (3.61)، كما أشارت النتائج إلى أن درجة معيقات التسويق الالكتروني في الشركات الصناعية في شمال الضفة الغربية منخفضة وذلك …

الأسباب والتداعيات الاقتصادية لعجز الموازنة الفلسطينية: دراسة قياسية, نسيم حسن أبو جامع أستاذ مشارك, ايمان الخضري ماجستير

Journal of Al-Azhar University – Gaza (Humanities)

ملخص:

هدفت الدراسة إلى تحديد الآثار الاقتصادية لعجز الموازنة العامة الفلسطينية، في الفترة (1995-2014)، من خلال استخدام المنهج القياسي، بالاعتماد على أسلوب السلاسل الزمنية عن طريق مصفوفة الارتباط والتي كانت نتائجها غير معنوية عند مستوى دلالة 5% لمعظم المتغيرات، ولذلك تم استخدام نماذج الفترات المتباطئة المقدرة عن طريق برنامج Eviews7؛ من أجل تقدير النماذج وإيجاد العلاقة بين المتغير المستقل والمتغيرات التابعة.

وتوصلت الدراسة إلى: وجود علاقة عكسية معنوية بين عجز الموازنة والناتج المحلي الإجمالي، والتكوين الرأسمالي الثابت الإجمالي، ومنح الموازنة التطويرية، والإنفاق الاستهلاكي النهائي، ونصيب الفرد من الناتج المحلي الإجمالي، في حين وجود علاقة عكسية غير معنوية بين عجز الموازنة …

Collective Impact Of Scrap, Random Breakdown, Overtime And Discontinuous Issuing On Batch Production Planning In A Supply-Chain Environment, Yuan-Shyi Peter Chiu, Jia-Ning Lin, Yunsen Wang, Hung-Yi Chen

Department of Accounting and Finance Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works

This research explores the collective impact of overtime, random breakdown, discontinuous issuing rule, and scrap on batch production planning in a supply-chain environment. In today’s global business environment, manufacturing firms encounter numerous operational challenges. Externally, they must promptly satisfy the customers’ various requests, while internally, they must cautiously manage several inevitable issues in the fabrication process. These issues might be concerned with scrap, random breakdown, etc. Resolving such issues is crucial for meeting the due dates of customers’ orders, adhering to the expected manufacturing schedules, product quality, and minimizing the total fabrication-transportation-inventory costs. The study develops a model to characterize …

Determining The Factors Influencing Cloud Computing Implementation In Library Management System (Lms): A High Order Pls-Ann Approach, Manish Dadhich, Shalendra Singh Rao, Surendra Sethy, Renu Sharma

Library Philosophy and Practice (e-journal)

The principal component of this paper is to ascertain the prominent variables of technological, organizational, environmental, and financial constructs that influence library cloud computing (LCC) among the library users and professionals in the selected universities of India. This paper discusses the advantages, opportunities, challenges, and Models of Smart Library in the ICT age library management system. The study also commissioned tools viz. EFA, CFA, and structural equation assess the degree to which selected factors were associated with LCC adoption. Empirical research proposed four hypotheses by selecting the technological, organizational, environmental, and financial constructs and 16 manifests in the specified model. …

Does Industry Timing Ability Of Hedge Funds Predict Their Future Performance, Survival, And Fund Flows?, Turan G. Bali, Stephen J. Brown, Mustafa O. Caglayan, Umut Celiker

Business Faculty Publications

This paper investigates hedge funds’ ability to time industry-specific returns and shows that funds’ timing ability in the manufacturing industry improves their future performance, probability of survival, and ability to attract more capital. The results indicate that the best industry-timing hedge funds in the manufacturing sector have the highest return exposure to earnings surprises. This, together with persistently sticky earnings surprises, transparent information environment in regards to earnings releases, and large post-earnings-announcement drift in the manufacturing industry, explain to a great extent why best-timing hedge funds can generate significantly larger future returns compared to worst-timing hedge funds.