Finance and Financial Management Commons^™

“The Dual Impact Of Transportation Infrastructure And Telecommunication Technology On Analyst Coverage And Forecast Accuracy: Evidence From The Thai Market?”, Kittipoj Rujjanavate

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper investigates the determinants of forecast accuracy and brokerage coverage in the Thailand stock market from 2009 to 2022. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset comprising various financial metrics and market variables, we explore the impact of infrastructure development, digital communication, and external factors such as the Covid-19 pandemic on analysts' forecast accuracy and the coverage of stocks by brokerage firms. Our analysis employs regression models to examine the relationships between these variables and forecast accuracy, as measured by the absolute deviation between predicted and actual earnings, and brokerage coverage, quantified by the number of brokerage firms covering a particular stock. …

Oil Price Volatility And Bond Credit Spread: Evidence From Thailand, Natasha Thatchaichawalit

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper studies the relationship between oil price volatility and corporate bond credit spread. The sample is selected from bonds offered by listed companies in energy and utility sector (categorized by the Thai Bond Market Association) whose profit directly relates to the oil price movement. The studied period is 10 years which covers January 2013 – December 2023. The period covers both upturn and downturn of oil price movement. For the oil price volatility proxy, this paper uses end of month data of OVX index and conditional variance of Brent return estimated with GARCH (1,1) model. After, controlling for other …

To What Extent Can The Yield Curve Spread Serve As A Tool For Market Timing In The Thailand Stock Market?, Chanon Rungruanglit

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Despite its simplicity, the yield curve is one of the best predictors of future economic activity. Empirical studies suggest that the yield curve is capable of forecasting market downturn in major economies. In this paper, the relationship between the yield curve and stock market downturn will be studied with the focus on predicting market downturn in Thailand. Also, this paper seeks to answer the question if a market-timing strategy, based on yield-curve information, can outperform the market. The results of this study suggest that the spread between government bond indices with maturities of 3 to 7 years and 7 to …

The Effect Of Earnings Quality On Financial Analysts’ Dividend Forecast Error : The Moderating Roles Of Investor Sentiment And Economic Uncertainty, Tanabordee Jutaputthi

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates the influence of earnings quality on the accuracy of financial analysts' dividend forecasts for companies listed on the Thailand Stock Market Exchange (SET) and the Market for Alternative Investment (mai) for the period from 2015 to 2022. using a sample of 891 observations. focusing on the moderating roles of investor sentiment and economic uncertainty. The findings reveal that good earnings quality helps reduce dividend forecast errors. We find no evidence of the moderating roles of investor sentiment and economic uncertainty, implying that analysts might possess the expertise to incorporate the implications of economic uncertainty into their forecasts …

The Impact Of Esg Performance On Stock Volatilityin Asia-Pacific Markets: The Moderating Rolesof Corruption And Economic Development, Thosaporn Tonghui

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study examines the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) disclosures and scores on stock volatility in Asia-Pacific markets. The paper also assesses the moderating roles of corruption and economic development in this relationship. Using data from 2010 to 2022, the research employs the Fama-French multi-factor models to analyze the relationship between ESG metrics and stock idiosyncratic volatility. The findings indicate that both ESG disclosure and higher overall ESG scores significantly reduce stock volatility, underscoring the importance of transparency and robust ESG practices in mitigating firm-specific risks. Additionally, the study reveals that the social and governance pillars of ESG …

The Intervention Of Shareholder Activism, Does It Actually Improve Firm Performance? Evidence From Apac, Burist Chertchoo

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study examines the influence of shareholder activism on the performance of 420 Asia-Pacific firms from 2013 to 2022, utilizing the Capital Asset Pricing Model and the Fama-French-Carhart model to assess abnormal returns. Findings indicate a generally positive trend in firm performance post-activism, particularly over long periods, suggesting activism's potential to drive sustained firm value improvements. In addition, there is no enough evidence to conclude that the target firms experience the pump-and-dump pattern after the departure of shareholder activists. However, the impact of specific activism strategies and outcomes on performance often lacks statistical significance, highlighting the multifaceted nature of activism's …

Board’S Gender Diversity And Educational Backgrounds As Determinants Of Cost Of Debt: Managerial Hierarchy Perspectives In Thai Financial Landscape, Pitchaya Thuwanaka

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates the impact of board gender diversity, financial background, and educational diversity on the cost of debt for Thai listed companies, focusing on the SET50 firms from 2015-2016 and 2021-2022. Utilizing data from Refinitiv DataStream, SETSMART, and annual reports, this research examines whether the presence of women on boards, financial expertise, and diverse educational backgrounds influence borrowing costs. The findings reveal that female board members do not significantly impact the cost of debt, challenging common assumptions about gender diversity's financial benefits. In contrast, boards with directors possessing financial backgrounds, particularly those in chairman and executive management positions, are …

The Moderating Role Of Asset Tangibility, Economic Policy Uncertainty, And Control Of Corruption On The Impact Of Public Debt On Cost Of Debt And Investment, Raksit Lomtakul

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research aims to explore two main objectives: first, to investigate the impact of public debt on corporate borrowing costs and investment activities; and second, to examine how moderating factors like Asset Tangibility (TAN), the World Uncertainty Index (WUI), and Control of Corruption (CC) shape this relationship. The findings reveal that higher public debt levels significantly increase corporate borrowing costs and reduce investment activities, underscoring the need for policymakers to adopt prudent fiscal strategies that balance debt management with fostering a supportive environment for private sector investment. Furthermore, the study highlights the moderating effects of Asset Tangibility, WUI, and Control …

Determinants Of Asset Growth Premium: Evidence From Thailand, Ramita Raksakunpanich

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates the asset growth anomaly in the Thai stock market, examining whether new factor constructed from decomposed asset components offers superior explanatory power for stock returns compared to the original aggregate asset growth factor. The research analyzes key components of total assets, including both sides of the balance sheet covering investing and financing activities. Our findings reveal that all the new factors constructing based on each component of asset is spanned by all the Fama-French factor. The overall explanatory power of total asset growth is superior. This suggests that total asset growth is the best predictor of investment …

Household Debt On Retirement Preparedness For Thai Population, Sutudta Phainoun

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Thailand household debt problem are key barriers to retirees achieving financial freedom. This study aims to access the relationship between mortgage debt, credit card debt and education debts with the retirement preparedness of working-age population aged 30-60 years old in Thailand by utilizing multiple linear regression analysis. The findings revealed that Thai populations are at a moderate level of retirement preparedness. The private sector is particularly concerned about the lack of savings for later life. Moreover, not all kinds of debts are bad debt, mortgage debt could fall into the category of good debt since it may be tax-deductible, credit …

The Impact Of Financial Advisor Reputation On Ipo Underpricing: Evidence From Thailand, Suparat Kongsompot

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study explores the role of financial advisors (FAs) in the initial public offering (IPO) process, particularly focusing on how their involvement affects IPO underpricing. IPO underpricing, a well-documented phenomenon where shares are priced below their market value on the first trading day, has been extensively studied, often with an emphasis on the role of underwriters (UWs). However, this research addresses the gap in literature regarding the distinct contributions of FAs, who are crucial yet often conflated with UWs. Drawing on the context of Thailand, where regulatory requirements mandate the involvement of FAs separate from UWs, this study investigates the …

Investor Sentiment Influence On The Preference For Lottery-Like Stocks Among Thai Mutual Fund, Pichayapong Srisawad

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research investigates the preferences of Thai mutual funds for lottery-like stocks, characterized by stock skewness. Given that market sentiment fluctuates over time, the study also explores how the preferences of Thai mutual funds for lottery-like stocks vary with market sentiment. The research aims to understand if holding these stocks can generate significant excess returns and to evaluate the impact of fund size and age on these investment preferences during different market sentiment periods. By analyzing data from the first quarter of 2020 to the third quarter of 2023, this study provides a comprehensive view of the strategic decisions made …

Impact Of Morningstar Sustainability Rating On Mutual Fund Flow: Evidence From Thailand, Jiratchaya Thamhaisuk

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates the impact of Morningstar Sustainability Ratings on Thai mutual fund flows, focusing on three aspects: the impact of the ratings' introduction, the differential effects of varying ESG ratings, and the influence of ESG ratings during the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis encompasses various methodological approaches, including event studies, propensity score matching, cross-sectional, and panel regression analyses, to provide comprehensive insights into investor behavior to Morningstar Sustainability Ratings. Globally, sustainability ratings have a significant impact on mutual fund flows. This study finds that there is a strong initial impact following the publication of the Morningstar Sustainability Ratings, particularly for …

The Influence Of Interest Rates On Small And Medium Enterprises In Thailand, Minthra Srimanchanda

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are crucial to economic development, significantly contributing to employment and economic activities in Thailand. However, despite their importance, SMEs often face financial challenges that can hinder their operations and growth prospects. This research investigates the determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) of SMEs in Thailand, with a particular focus on the impact of interest rates and other macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rates. The study employs three Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) models to analyze the relationship between these variables and NPLs. The findings reveal that higher GDP growth significantly reduces NPLs, suggesting that economic …

Corruption And Informal Economies In Asia, Min Thiha

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This thesis explores the dynamic interaction between corruption, the informal economy, and the political and economic institutional qualities in 39 Asian countries from 2001 to 2021, using 819 observations and fixed-effect estimation method. The findings indicate that corruption significantly enlarges the shadow economy, supporting the notion that corruption can facilitate business operations in heavily regulated environments. Conversely, higher economic freedom and democratic governance are linked to smaller shadow economies, underscoring the importance of transparent and accountable institutions. Additionally, higher tax burdens and rapid GDP growth are associated with larger informal sectors, while increased FDI inflows and population growth tend to …

Relationship Between Institutional Ownership And Stock Returns: Evidence From Thailand, Warit Chitpaiboon

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Institutional investors play a crucial role in financial markets. Understanding how their ownership affects stock returns can provide valuable insights for both institutional investors and individual investors in making informed investment decisions. In financial markets, the relationship between institutional ownership and stock returns has been a subject of extensive debate. Institutional investors, including mutual funds, pension funds, and hedge funds, wield significant influence over equity markets due to their holdings' sheer magnitude and ability to execute large-scale trades. Understanding how their investment decisions impact stock returns is not only crucial for investors seeking to optimize their portfolios but also for …

Automatic Enrollment With A 12 Percent Default Contribution Rate, Josh Beshears, Ruofei Guo, David Laibson, Brigitte C. Madrian, James J. Choi

Faculty Publications

We study a retirement savings plan with a default contribution rate of 12 percent of income, which is much higher than previously studied defaults. Twenty-five percent of employees had not opted out of this default 12 months after hire; a literature review finds that the corresponding fraction in plans with lower defaults is approximately one-half. Because only contributions above 12 percent were matched by the employer, 12 percent was likely to be a suboptimal contribution rate for employees. Employees who remained at the 12 percent default contribution rate had average income that was approximately one-third lower than would be predicted …

Explaining Racial Disparities In Personal Bankruptcy Outcomes, Bronson Argyle, Sasha Indarte, Benjamin Iverson

Faculty Publications

We document substantial racial disparities in consumer bankruptcy outcomes and investigate the role of racial bias in contributing to these disparities. Using data on the near universe of US bankruptcy cases and deep-learning imputed measures of race, we show that Black filers are 21 and 3 percentage points (pp) more likely to have their bankruptcy cases dismissed without any debt relief in Chapters 13 and 7, respectively. We uncover strong evidence of racial homophily in Chapter 13: Black filers are 10 pp more likely to be dismissed when randomly assigned to a white bankruptcy trustee. To interpret our findings, we …

Fintech Lending With Lowtech Pricing, Mark J. Johnson, Itzhak Ben-David, Jason Lee, Vincent Yao

Faculty Publications

FinTech lending—known for using big data and advanced technologies—promised to break away from the traditional credit scoring and pricing models. Using a comprehensive dataset of FinTech personal loans, our study shows that loan rates continue to rely heavily on conventional credit scores, including 45% higher rates for nonprime borrowers. Other known default predictors are often neglected. Within each segment (prime/nonprime) loan rates are not very responsive to default risk, resulting in realized loan-level returns decreasing with risk. The pricing distortions result in substantial transfers from nonprime to prime borrowers and from low- to high-risk borrowers within segment.

Finance Against Law: The Case Of China, Shitong Qiao

Faculty Scholarship

Can there be a highly developed financial market without legal protection for investors and creditors? The influential law and finance literature is built on the assumption that legal protection is essential to the development of an impersonal financial market. This Article investigates how two financial markets of trillions of dollars have developed extralegally in the past two decades despite the risk of regulatory enforcement and contract defaults. Specifically, I examine (1) how Chinese internet companies from Sina to Alibaba have designed contracts to circumvent the Chinese government’s ban on foreign capital in its internet industry and (2) how Chinese entities …

A Randomized Trial Of Behavioral Nudges Delivered Through Text Messages To Increase Influenza Vaccination Among Patients With An Upcoming Primary Care Visit, Mitesh S. Patel, Katherin L. Milkman, Linnea Gandhi, Heather N. Graci, Dena Gromet, Brigitte C. Madrian

Faculty Publications

Purpose: To evaluate if nudges delivered by text message prior to an upcoming primary care visit can increase influenza vaccination rates.

Design: Randomized, controlled trial.

Setting: Two health systems in the Northeastern US between September 2020 and March 2021.

Subjects: 74,811 adults.

Interventions: Patients in the 19 intervention arms received 1-2 text messages in the 3 days preceding their appointment that varied in their format, interactivity, and content.

Measures: Influenza vaccination.

Analysis: Intention-to-treat.

Results: Participants had a mean (SD) age of 50.7 (16.2) years; 55.8% (41,771) were female, 70.6% (52,826) were White, and 19.0% (14,222) were Black. Among the interventions, …

Are Social Media Users Blindly Following Influencers’ Recommendations On Investing?, Zuliani Dalimunthe, Ananda Chairunnisa, Rachmadi Agus Triono

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

Previous studies show that general information shared by an influencer through social media has been received without sufficient validity testing. However, hardly any study has evaluated whether a stock recommendation by a social media influencer will also be followed blindly. This study evaluates the impact of the credibility of stock influencers on investors’ intention to invest in recommended stocks and whether the relationship can be explained by the perception that the influencer has inside infor- mation or is solely due to fear of missing out (FoMO). This study uses primary data from investors in the Indonesian model market. We collected …

The Impact Of Covid-19 Pandemic On Islamic Health Insurance Market Returns: Empirical Evidence From Saudi Arabia, Mohamed Zakaria Fodol, Hakan Aslan

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study aims to identify the impact of COVID-19 on the Cooperative Health Insurance (CHI) Market in Saudi Arabia by applying the Event Study Methodology. The announcement of the first positive case of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia, which the Ministry of Health announced on March 2, 2020, is the health event identified in this study. The daily price of 24 cooperative health insurance companies listed on the Saudi Stock Market (Tadawul) with the market index (TASI) for the same period (June 05, 2018 - March 30, 2020) was collected. The abnormal returns are calculated by using Capital Asset Pricing Model …

Financial Innovation And Restriction Hypothesis In The Banking Industry: Evidence From Asean- 5, Yosman Bustaman, Viverita Viverita, Margaretha Tp Lingga, Antonius P. Siahaan

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study investigates the financial innovation impact on bank market power in ASEAN banking from 2008 to 2018. It uses income diversification as a representative of financial innovation. The im- pact of countries’ development of financial innovation on market power is measured by the number of ATM, internet, and cellular phone users. The data panel regression model reveals that diversified banks may enjoy higher market power. This result rejects the banking restriction activity hypothesis, which states that a bank that diversifies its income stream results in increased competition. A higher number of available ATMs and more internet users lowers the …

Assessing The Impact Of Financial Obstacles On Manufacturing Firm's Capacity Utilization: Bayesian Approach, Arab Dahir Hassan, Razim Ozcan

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study aims to investigate the relationship between financial obstacles and the capacity utilization of manufacturing firms. This study departs from previous studies in the literature by employing Bayesian linear regression analysis. The results demonstrate that financial constraints have a considerable negative effect on the capacity utilization of manufacturing enterprises, but access to credit lines has a positive effect. The sample consists of 1,494 private manufacturing firms in 31 Europe & Central Asian countries. Financial obstacles were perceived as the major impediment to business operations by 65% of the enterprises in the survey. Furthermore, 52% of enterprises in the sample …

Index Funds And Etfs: Simplifying Investing For Better Returns, Patrick J. Cotton

Honors Theses and Capstones

No abstract provided.

Nba Tean Valuation: What Drives Value?, Jackson Cleary

Honors Theses and Capstones

The National Basketball Association (NBA) has slowly become one of the most popular professional sports leagues in the United States as well as growing its reach in European and Chinese ties. With this growth, we have seen the value of NBA teams climb significantly. Mark Cuban, a well-known entrepreneur and Shark on ABC’s Shark Tank, purchased the Dallas Mavericks for $285 million in 2000. They are now worth a staggering $2.5 billion (as of 2021). In 20 years since Cuban bought the Dallas Mavericks, they have seen close to ten times increase in their value. This begs the question, what …

The Historic Returns Of Gold: Is It The Best Hedge Against Inflation?, Jack William Gillis

Honors Theses and Capstones

The world of investing is rapidly changing as technologies advance. In the past few years especially, we have seen many investors shifting toward decentralized digital money, or what is known as cryptocurrencies. Even with these new asset classes coming out, there has always been one commodity that has stuck around. Gold has been used as a store of value for millenniums. Investors tend to rely on gold because it’s believed to be a safe-haven asset, in times of economic uncertainty. This paper aims to determine whether or not this traditional mindset is still effective in today’s ever-changing investment environment. To …

Land Prices And The Development Process, Henry J. Munneke, C. F. Sirmans, Barrett Slade

Faculty Publications

As lot area increases, it is commonly believed that land prices will increase at a nonconstant rate. In the case where the land price-area curve increases at a decreasing rate with respect to parcel area, it is believed the cost of subdividing land is the driving factor behind the concavity. This paper uses a unique data set to explore how the area elasticity of price changes over the development cycle as land moves from raw land to finished lots. The results show the area elasticity of price increases as parcels of land move through the phases of development. The results …

Life After Death: A Field Experiment With Small Businesses On Information Frictions, Stigma, And Bankruptcy, Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli, Mitchell Hoffman

Faculty Publications

In an RCT with US small businesses, we document that a large share of firms are not well-informed about bankruptcy. Many assume that bankruptcy necessarily entails the death of a business and do not know about Chapter 11, where debts are renegotiated so that the business can continue operating. Firms also exhibit bankruptcy-related stigma, believing that bankruptcy is embarrassing, a sign of failure, and a negative signal to employees and customers. Short educational videos that address information or stigma increase knowledge and decrease stigma, both immediately and durably over 4 months. Videos increase reported interest in using Chapter 11 bankruptcy …