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2013

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Articles 241 - 270 of 328

Full-Text Articles in Finance and Financial Management

Uses And Misuses Of The Black-Litterman Model In Portfolio Construction, Ludwig B. Chincarini, Daehwan Kim Jan 2013

Uses And Misuses Of The Black-Litterman Model In Portfolio Construction, Ludwig B. Chincarini, Daehwan Kim

Finance

The Black-Litterman model has gained popularity in applications in the area of quantitative equity portfolio management. Unfortunately, many recent applications of the Black-Litterman to novel aspects of quantitative portfolio management have neglected the rigor of the original Black-Litterman modelling. In this article, we critically examine some of these applications from a Bayesian perspective. We identify three reasons why these applications may create losses to investors. These three reasons are: (1) Using a prior without "anchoring" the prior to an equilibrium model, (2) Using a prior and an equilibrium model that conflict with one another, and (3) Ignoring the implications of …

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Exchange Rate Adjustment And Output In South-East Asia, Kamal P. Upadhyaya, Robert Ranish, Neetu Kaushik, Rabindra Bhandari Jan 2013

Exchange Rate Adjustment And Output In South-East Asia, Kamal P. Upadhyaya, Robert Ranish, Neetu Kaushik, Rabindra Bhandari

Finance Faculty Publications

This paper studies the effect of currency devaluation on aggregate output level in South- East Asian countries using panel data from Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines for a period from 1980 to 2010. An empirical model that includes monetary, fiscal and exchange rate variables is developed. Two versions of the model, one with real exchange rate and another with nominal exchange rate and foreign-to-domestic price ratio are estimated. An error correction model is developed and the time series properties of the panel data are diagnosed before estimating the model. The estimated results suggest that currency devaluations are contractionary in …

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Asset Pricing, Jump Risk, And China's B-Share Discount Puzzle, Haigang Zhou, John Qi Zhu Jan 2013

Asset Pricing, Jump Risk, And China's B-Share Discount Puzzle, Haigang Zhou, John Qi Zhu

Business Faculty Publications

This study examines whether differential systematic risks, along with other competing explanations, account for cross-sectional variations in B-share discounts in China, using both cross-sectional and panel data analysis. Results show strong evidence that variations in A-share systematic risks are positively related to variations in B-share discount after controlling for various competing explanations. No evidence shows a correlation between variations in B-share systematic risks and variations in B-share discounts. These findings survive various robustness checks. The study further decomposes total systematic risk into continuous and jump components. Regression results indicate that variations in B-share discounts are explained mostly by variations in …

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Integrated Risk Study For Chinese Commercial Banks With Fuzzy Comprehensive Appraisal Method, Hongmei Li, Haigang Zhou Jan 2013

Integrated Risk Study For Chinese Commercial Banks With Fuzzy Comprehensive Appraisal Method, Hongmei Li, Haigang Zhou

Business Faculty Publications

The Basel Capital Accord II proposes that commercial banks should supervise not only credit risk but also market risk, liquidity risk and operational risk. Using the fuzzy comprehensive appraisal method based on the Basel Capital Accord II, this paper measures the integrated risk of Chinese commercial banks. Our results indicate that the average values of the four types of risks are higher than the integrated risk of the four risks, indicating an overestimated whole risk. Our results illustrate the importance of considering the correlation between the different risk sources in order to efficiently allocate financial resources.

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Aligning Financial Strategy With Customer Categorization Based On Environmental Scanning, Timothy Osita Anyiwe Jan 2013

Aligning Financial Strategy With Customer Categorization Based On Environmental Scanning, Timothy Osita Anyiwe

2010-2016 Archived Posters

A qualitative multiple-case study about strategies needed to align financial strategy with customer oriented practices. Interview data from 30 personnel of 2 retail businesses were coded and analyzed. Emerging themes included planning, customer supremacy, viability, and clarity. Implications for positive social change included impetus for economic stability and prosperity of society.

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Performance Prediction Of Commodity Prices Using Foreign Exchange Futures, Yisa Ajao Jan 2013

Performance Prediction Of Commodity Prices Using Foreign Exchange Futures, Yisa Ajao

2010-2016 Archived Posters

In an experimental quantitative research design, data from the Futures Market for commodities and foreign exchange futures covering 1986-2011 were obtained and addressed. A General Regression Neural Network was overlaid on this data to deduce a time-series prediction model for wheat prices. Performance prediction error was only 4.42%.

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A Look Inside Amlf: What Traded And Who Benefited, Ozgur Akay, Mark D. Griffiths, Vladimir Kotomin, Drew B. Winters Jan 2013

A Look Inside Amlf: What Traded And Who Benefited, Ozgur Akay, Mark D. Griffiths, Vladimir Kotomin, Drew B. Winters

Faculty Publications – Finance, Insurance, and Law

The Federal Reserve’s AMLF program was designed to provide liquidity to money market funds (MMFs). Between September 2008 and May 2009, the program made $217 billion in non-recourse loans to depository institutions and bank holding companies to purchase asset-backed commercial paper from MMFs. JP Morgan and State Street dominated the program, accounting for over 90% of all loans made. Our analysis suggests that JP Morgan exhibited more self-dealing behavior than State Street. We find that JP Morgan and State Street earned economically and statistically significant cumulative returns of 2.28% and 2.49% (respectively) over the first seven days of the program …

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The Year-End Effect In Money Market Yields: Beyond One Month And Beyond The Crisis, Vladimir Kotomin Jan 2013

The Year-End Effect In Money Market Yields: Beyond One Month And Beyond The Crisis, Vladimir Kotomin

Faculty Publications – Finance, Insurance, and Law

U.S. money market yields up to one month have shown changes consistent with year-end liquidity preferences. I find that three- and six-month negotiable certificate of deposit (CD), Eurodollar deposit (ED), and banker’s acceptance (BA) yields are also affected by year-end liquidity preferences. Two- and three-month financial commercial paper (CP) yield changes are less pronounced. Banks – CD, ED, and BA issuers – have increased year-end liquidity needs, unlike finance companies – predominant CP issuers. The year-end effect disappears after the 2007-2008 crisis as depositories’ cash holdings increase. CD, ED, and CP yields diverge post-crisis, suggesting that investors no longer consider …

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The Use Of Financial Statements To Predict The Stock Market Effects Of Systemic Crises, Mohammad Yahia Almakrami Jan 2013

The Use Of Financial Statements To Predict The Stock Market Effects Of Systemic Crises, Mohammad Yahia Almakrami

CGU Theses & Dissertations

The financial crisis of 2007-2009 had divesting effects around the globe. Many financial institutions and government officials failed to see the build up of problems predicting the crisis and hence failed to take actions to keep the crisis from breaking out. Thus, it is important to see if the emerging problems could have been identified in advance in order to develop types of analysis that could help us avoid future crises. A full investigation of such possibilities will require many different studies taking different approaches. This dissertation contributes to that collective effort by investigating the extent to which balance sheet …

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Relationship Of Single Stock Futures With The Spot Price: Evidence From Karachi Stock Exchange, Nasir Jamal, Ahmad Fraz Jan 2013

Relationship Of Single Stock Futures With The Spot Price: Evidence From Karachi Stock Exchange, Nasir Jamal, Ahmad Fraz

Business Review

The study is conducted to investigate the relationship of single stock futures with the spot price in Karachi Stock Exchange. Monthly data of twelve companies which are trading single stock futures have been examined for the period 1 January, 2005 to 31 December, 2010 with total of 72 observations for each company. Descriptive statistics, Unit Root test, Co-integration test, Granger Causality test, Vector Error Correction Model based on ARDL approach, Impulse Response and Variance Decomposition tests are used. The existence of long run relationship was found between the futures and spot prices of all the companies. The Granger Causality test …

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Determinants Of Financial Distress Evidence From Kse 100 Index, Malik Rizwan Khurshid Jan 2013

Determinants Of Financial Distress Evidence From Kse 100 Index, Malik Rizwan Khurshid

Business Review

Financial distress and its determinants are very important for investors as well as financial institutions; no one can deny its significance. This paper assesses the determinants of financial distress of non financial companies of Karachi Stock exchange from 2003 to 2010. Financial distress in companies was calculated from Z score model. Determinants like current ratio, profitability, efficiency, solvency and leverage were identified. Result shows current ratio, profitability, solvency and leverage are negatively correlated while efficiency is positively correlated.

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Interest Rate Sensitivity And Stock Returns, Mohsin R. Khan, Zahid Mahmood Jan 2013

Interest Rate Sensitivity And Stock Returns, Mohsin R. Khan, Zahid Mahmood

Business Review

This paper investigates the sensitivity of interest rate to stock return of financial institutions traded at Karachi Stock Exchange. Two Index Model of Stone and Bernell(1974) have been used to test the proposition of the present study. Three different portfolios of financial institutions have been examined against sensitivity of actual and unanticipated interest rates. Repo rate/Policy rate instead of t-bill rate is used for the proxy of interest rate. The data is collected from twenty nine financial institutions covering the time period from 2004 to 2011. Unit root test, co integration and error correction mechanism have been checked before proceeding …

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Walking Back From Cyprus, Lee C. Buchheit, Mitu Gulati Jan 2013

Walking Back From Cyprus, Lee C. Buchheit, Mitu Gulati

Faculty Scholarship

Last Friday, the European leaders trespassed on consecrated ground by putting insured depositors in Cypriot banks in harm’s way. They had other options, none of them pleasant but some less ominous than the one they settled on.

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Farm Financial Performance Of Kentucky Farms, Tarrah M. Dunaway Jan 2013

Farm Financial Performance Of Kentucky Farms, Tarrah M. Dunaway

Theses and Dissertations--Agricultural Economics

This study examines farm financial performance of Kentucky farms using Kentucky Farm Business Management data from 1998-2010. Logit models are used to estimate the likelihood of farm characteristics affecting whether financial ratios fall into critical zones or not. The results show that large farms in terms of total gross returns and total assets are less likely to experience repayment capacity problems. Total gross returns significantly affect all five financial measures. These findings will help farmers and lenders understand what factors influence farm financial performance. Profitability migration is tested to see if the migration probabilities differ across business cycles. Migration drift …

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The Impact Of The Proposed Format Of Financial Statements By Iasb And Fasb On Investors' Decisions, Francisco Villanueva Jan 2013

The Impact Of The Proposed Format Of Financial Statements By Iasb And Fasb On Investors' Decisions, Francisco Villanueva

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

This dissertation investigates the impact of the proposed format of financial statements from the International Accounting Standard Board (IASB) and the Financial Accounting Standard Board (FASB) on investors' decisions. In particular, the research question of this study is whether the proposed format reduces the bias from the disposition effect. In 2008, the FASB in conjunction with the IASB published an exposure draft to modify the presentation of financial statements. The proposed format does not change the content of the financial information; it only modifies how information is presented in the financial statements. In other words, recognition of assets, liabilities, revenues, …

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Analysis Of Reits And Reit Etfs Cointegration During The Flash Crash., Stoyu Ivanov Jan 2013

Analysis Of Reits And Reit Etfs Cointegration During The Flash Crash., Stoyu Ivanov

Faculty Publications

In this study I revisit the “disintegration hypothesis” of financial assets around a major crisis event. I examine whether the Vanguard Real Estate Investment Trust and iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate Index Fund exchange traded funds disintegrate from the ten largest Real Estate Investment Trusts during the 14:45 Flash Crash on May 6, 2010. I find that six of the ten largest REITs are not cointegrated with the Vanguard Real Estate Investment Trust prior to the Flash Crash and that five of the ten largest REITs are not cointegrated with iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate Index Fund prior …

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Analysis Of The Effects Of Pre-Announcement Of S&P 500 Index Changes., Stoyu Ivanov Jan 2013

Analysis Of The Effects Of Pre-Announcement Of S&P 500 Index Changes., Stoyu Ivanov

Faculty Publications

In this study we attempt to answer the question – does the start of pre-announcing of S&P 500 index changes in October 1989 have an effect on the trading pattern of added or deleted firms? We document that prior to October 1989 the excess returns of added or deleted firms follow a white noise process around the event, whereas after the start of pre-announcing the excess returns can be described as nonstationary. This indicates significant excess profits to be captured around the addition or deletion event after S&P started pre-announcing changes in October 1989 but not prior to that date.

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Do Neglected Firms Suffer From An Information Deficit?, Kenneth Yung, Hamid Rahman, Qian Sun Jan 2013

Do Neglected Firms Suffer From An Information Deficit?, Kenneth Yung, Hamid Rahman, Qian Sun

Finance Faculty Publications

We study the presence and distribution of private information in neglected firm stocks using a measure of private information first suggested by Roll (1988). Our results suggest that there is no shortage of information on neglected firms for investors and that this private information forms part of the decision set for managerial decisions. Our results indicate a significant negative correlation between the amount of private information and certain important firm characteristics such as market size, cash flow, sales and return on assets. When the impact of private information is analyzed on the investment and payout policies of the neglected firms, …

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Teaching Business Law In The New Economy; Strategies For Success, Kamille Wolff Dean Jan 2013

Teaching Business Law In The New Economy; Strategies For Success, Kamille Wolff Dean

Journal of Business & Technology Law

No abstract provided.

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Investor Overconfidence And Option Trading, Han-Sheng Chen Jan 2013

Investor Overconfidence And Option Trading, Han-Sheng Chen

Finance and Real Estate Dissertations - Archive

This study examines investor overconfidence theory in the options market. The theory suggests that investors who experience high returns become overconfident in their security valuation and trading skills, and therefore trade more often, even when the high returns are market wide. Given stock investors often trade in both stock and options market, I hypothesize similar patterns could be found in the options market as well. Controlling for market volatility and stock idiosyncratic risk, past market return is positively correlated with option trading turnover. In addition, past positive market return leads to higher call option turnover ratio and higher call-to-put ratio. …

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Finance Newsletter, N01, Winter 2013, University Of Northern Iowa. Department Of Finance. Jan 2013

Finance Newsletter, N01, Winter 2013, University Of Northern Iowa. Department Of Finance.

Department of Finance Newsletter

News about the activities of the Department of Finance

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The Aftermarket Performance Of Initial Public Offerings, Chiyachantana N. Chiraphol, Theerawat Pinta, Nareerat Taechapiroontong, Anantaporn Wongkham Jan 2013

The Aftermarket Performance Of Initial Public Offerings, Chiyachantana N. Chiraphol, Theerawat Pinta, Nareerat Taechapiroontong, Anantaporn Wongkham

Research Collection Lee Kong Chian School Of Business

This paper examines the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) and explores the underpricing of IPOs in an Asian emerging equity market using a comprehensive sample of IPOs. Our findings suggest that there exist a significant underpricing. Specifically, new issues have been offered at an average market-adjusted discount of about 20%. The magnitude of IPO underpricing is significantly larger for large firms, older firms and firms with small offering size.

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Interest Rate Sensitivities Of Externally And Internally Managed Australian Reits, Jaime L. Yong, Abhay Singh Jan 2013

Interest Rate Sensitivities Of Externally And Internally Managed Australian Reits, Jaime L. Yong, Abhay Singh

Research outputs 2013

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in Australia experienced tremendous growth and investor interest following the crash of unlisted property funds in the 1990s. Since 2001, management structures have shifted from external property management to an internally advised model. The sector’s returns had been notably rewarding up till the Global Financial Crisis but rising costs of debt and years of aggressive borrowing to fund expansions have eroded the values of REITs. Externally managed trusts had relatively higher levels of debt than their internally managed counterparts thus increasing the sensitivities to interest rate risks. Yet internally managed REITs engage in a wider …

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The Determinants Of Capital Structure: Evidence From Thai Banks, David E. Allen, Napaporn Nilapornkul, Robert Powell Jan 2013

The Determinants Of Capital Structure: Evidence From Thai Banks, David E. Allen, Napaporn Nilapornkul, Robert Powell

Research outputs 2013

The aim of this study is to examine the determinants of the capital structure of Thai banks. The data spans a ten year period from 1999 – 2008. The differentiation point of this study is that, whereas most studies on capital structure focus predominantly on internal bank variables, this study, in addition to internal variables includes market-based risk variables. A range of market-based default and value at risk variables were considered which were then narrowed down to improve the model. Fixed effects panel data analysis is employed, with both market and book leverage used as dependent variables. The Thai bank …

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The Relationship Between Personal Financial Wellness And Financial Wellbeing: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach, Paul Gerrans, Craig P. Speelman, Guillermo J. Campitelli Jan 2013

The Relationship Between Personal Financial Wellness And Financial Wellbeing: A Structural Equation Modelling Approach, Paul Gerrans, Craig P. Speelman, Guillermo J. Campitelli

Research outputs 2013

We examined the construct of financial wellness and its relationship to personal wellbeing, with a focus on the role of financial literacy. Gender comparisons are made using a structural equation modeling analysis including personal wellbeing, financial satisfaction, financial status, financial behavior, financial attitude, and financial knowledge. Males ranked higher in financial satisfaction and financial knowledge whereas females ranked higher in personal wellbeing. Joo’s (2008) concept of financial wellness as multidimensional is supported though the result is improved when a causal model of sub-components is estimated. The relationship of all variables to personal wellbeing is mediated by financial satisfaction, with gender …

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Modelling The Volatility-Timing Of Funds Under Cpf Investment Theme, X Shen, Albert K. Tsui, Zhaoyong Zhang Jan 2013

Modelling The Volatility-Timing Of Funds Under Cpf Investment Theme, X Shen, Albert K. Tsui, Zhaoyong Zhang

Research outputs 2013

The performance measure of funds has been an important topic in the past few decades. In recent years the conditional models on return and volatility have become popular in studying the funds’ performance measure, but most of these studies focus on the US funds and a few on the Asian-based funds. The purpose of this study is to examine the volatility-timing performance of Singapore-based funds under the CPF (Central Provident Fund) Investment Scheme and non-CPF linked funds by taking into account of the currency risk effect on internationally managed funds. The CPF investment scheme was introduced in 1986 by the …

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Modelling The Term Structure Of Japanese Bond Yields With The Nelson-Siegel Model, A. Tsui, J.X. Wu, Zhaoyong Zhang Jan 2013

Modelling The Term Structure Of Japanese Bond Yields With The Nelson-Siegel Model, A. Tsui, J.X. Wu, Zhaoyong Zhang

Research outputs 2013

The Nelson-Siegel (1987) (NS) model has been credited for its high efficacy in the in-sample fitting and out-of-sample forecasting of the term structures of interest rates. The term structure of interest rates, popularly known as the yield curve, is a static function that relates the time-to-maturity to the yield-to maturity for a sample of bonds at a given point in time. The conventional way of measuring the term structure is by means of the spot rate curve, or yield curve, on zero-coupon bonds. Yet in reality, the entire term structure is not directly observable, which gives rise to the need …

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A Dynamic Credit Ratings Model, David E. Allen, Robert Powell, Abhay Singh Jan 2013

A Dynamic Credit Ratings Model, David E. Allen, Robert Powell, Abhay Singh

Research outputs 2013

The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) provided overwhelming evidence of the problems caused by inadequate credit ratings. Losses and problem loans experienced by banks over this period were staggering. Yet many of the securitized sub-prime parcels which were widely seen as an underlying cause of the GFC, as well as corporate obligors who experienced severe difficulties during the GFC, retained extremely strong external credit ratings. They may have had low perceived risk at the time of rating, but as circumstances changed, the ratings stayed static and became far removed from the underlying risk. A key problem is that the external credit …

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The Stock Market’S Reaction To Accounting Information: The Case Of The Latin American Integrated Market Abstract, Mauricio A. Melgarejo, Eduardo Montiel, Luis Sanz Jan 2013

The Stock Market’S Reaction To Accounting Information: The Case Of The Latin American Integrated Market Abstract, Mauricio A. Melgarejo, Eduardo Montiel, Luis Sanz

Scholarship and Professional Work - Business

The purpose of this paper is to explore the stock market’s reaction to quarterly financial statements. We focus our study in two countries that are participating in the Latin American Integrated Market (MILA): Peru and Chile. We find that the cumulative abnormal returns and the absolute value of the cumulative abnormal trading are explained principally by the quarterly earnings surprises around the financial statements release date. We find that these effects are more pronounced in small firms, confirming that due to the lower level of pre disclosure information accounting numbers are the main source of information. Key words: Accounting Information, …

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Investor Sentiment In The Stock Market, Bayram Veli Salur Jan 2013

Investor Sentiment In The Stock Market, Bayram Veli Salur

Open Access Theses

Classical finance theories neglect the impact of investor sentiment on stock returns. These theories assume that investors are rational and make decisions in a way that maximizes their wealth. However, a vast amount of research shows that investors' decisions are affected by their psychological biases and feelings. These findings suggest that investor sentiment may have an impact on stock returns. This hypothesis is the main motivation of this study. First, this study examines whether there is correlation among investor sentiment indicators, and whether sentiment indicators have an impact on stock returns in the US and other countries. Second, this study …

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