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Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

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How Influential Are Finfluencers? Granger Causality Between Finance Influencers And Price Movements In Cryptocurrency And Stock Markets, Sita Kedvarin Jan 2022

How Influential Are Finfluencers? Granger Causality Between Finance Influencers And Price Movements In Cryptocurrency And Stock Markets, Sita Kedvarin

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research investigates the influence of finance influencers on stock and cryptocurrency returns by analyzing the relationship between their asset-related YouTube videos and market movements. The study was conducted in two parts: the VAR Granger causality analysis in both the cryptocurrency and stock markets, and the analysis of the behavior of the top finance influencers in the cryptocurrency market. The findings from the VAR Granger causality analysis revealed distinct patterns between the cryptocurrency and stock markets. In the cryptocurrency market, YouTube videos, particularly the number of videos published, showed a significant Granger causality effect on returns. However, the causality from …


Risk Shifting In Mutual Funds: Evidence In Thailand, Suphitcha Ekjariyakorn Jan 2022

Risk Shifting In Mutual Funds: Evidence In Thailand, Suphitcha Ekjariyakorn

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The paper aims to examine whether risk-shifting behavior exists in Thai equity mutual funds or not. The empirical analysis studies the period from 2005 to 2022. It is investigated that risk-shifting behavior exists in Thailand by having compensation and employment incentive influences fund managers’ decision on risk shifting. Firstly, this study uses the states of the market which are positive and negative market returns as the proxy of compensation and employment incentive, respectively. The finding is illustrated that mid-year losers take more risk of the portfolio in the latter half of the year in both positive and negative market return …


The Effect Of Democracy On The Mutual Fund Recovery, Evidence From Emerging Countries, Supisara Songdecha Jan 2022

The Effect Of Democracy On The Mutual Fund Recovery, Evidence From Emerging Countries, Supisara Songdecha

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research examines how democracy affects mutual fund performance and recovery in emerging countries: Brazil, Chile, China, India, Mexico, South Africa, and Thailand. Data from 2010 to 2021 is analyzed, focusing on domestic equity mutual funds. Democracy levels are measured using the V-Dem dataset. Performance is evaluated using risk-adjusted returns, while recovery duration measures how long it takes for funds to return to pre-crisis levels. The findings show that in Chile, characterized as a strong democracy, demonstrates improved performance with higher levels of democracy. In contrast, Brazil, South Africa, India, and Mexico exhibit higher returns with lower levels of democracy. …


The Impact Of Audit Quality On Trading Suspension Propensity; Detection In Thailand, Kulthida Surattachaipong Jan 2022

The Impact Of Audit Quality On Trading Suspension Propensity; Detection In Thailand, Kulthida Surattachaipong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Based on each direct evidence consists of actual cases disclosed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and indirect evidence consists of suspected cases detected by the identification model of trading suspension propensity. This study aimed to examine the relationship between audit quality aspects and trading suspensions of listed companies in Thailand, as well as the changes in this relationship after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The research utilized สำคัญ obtained from the annual reports and financial statements of 263 companies listed on the SET50 and MAI indexes, covering the periods of 2016 to 2018 and 2020 to 2022. …


The Moderating Effect Of Stock Price On The Relationship Between Earnings Quality And Dividend Payments : A Study Of Thai Listed Companies, Jirayu Boonyuen Jan 2022

The Moderating Effect Of Stock Price On The Relationship Between Earnings Quality And Dividend Payments : A Study Of Thai Listed Companies, Jirayu Boonyuen

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research paper has the objective to investigate and examine the basic relationship on the dividend policy and the earnings quality of companies in Thai stock market, by covering all the industries. The proxies for the earning qualities include a total of four proxies which are earnings persistence, accruals quality, earnings informativeness, and timely loss recognition. Moreover, this research paper also further examines the incentive of dividend policy of companies under Thai stock market by applying the dividend signaling Theory and the information content of dividends hypothesis. The incentive of dividend policy can be viewed as the signal sending by …


The Role Of Bank Capital Through Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism, Waraluk Rosmontee Jan 2022

The Role Of Bank Capital Through Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism, Waraluk Rosmontee

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study examines the role of bank capital in the transmission of monetary policy, considering the bank lending channel (BLC) and financial development. Analyzing bank-level data from nine countries during 2007-2021 with GMM method, the study finds that well-capitalized banks are better positioned to expand loan supply and withstand adverse shocks. However, behavioral patterns differ between developed and ASEAN countries. In developed nations, policy rate changes have inconclusive effects on loan growth, while profitable banks and inflation drive credit expansion. In ASEAN countries, policy rate increases are associated with loan growth, reflecting favorable economic conditions. Financial development impacts credit expansion …


The Effect Of Sustainability Index Inclusion On Equity Fund Allocation Evidence From Thailand, Tanakorn Makarabhiromya Jan 2022

The Effect Of Sustainability Index Inclusion On Equity Fund Allocation Evidence From Thailand, Tanakorn Makarabhiromya

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The concept of sustainability index has been accepted widely in the global investment context. However, sustainable investments are relatively underexplored in an emerging market as in Thailand. This study analyzes the relationship between corporate sustainability performance (proxy by announcement events of the Stock Exchange of Thailand Sustainability Index SETTHSI) and institutional investors’ awareness toward sustainability investment. An event studies on index announcement are applied to analyze the short-term effect from investors in stock market. The results indicate that there is only weak evidence that inclusion into the sustainability index has a positive impact to cumulative abnormal returns during release-related period, …


Forecasting Stock Volatility With Neural Network On Time Varying Transition Probability, Wasit Norakarntiansin Jan 2022

Forecasting Stock Volatility With Neural Network On Time Varying Transition Probability, Wasit Norakarntiansin

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Forecasting volatilities of financial security returns are important for many financial applications e.g., portfolio investment construction, risk management and trading strategy. The GARCH model has long been refined to capture the true dynamic of volatility on a security return. By applying the Markov switching to the GARCH model, the source of the temporary high volatility and high persistence of a shock to the volatility can be captured. In this study, we refine the Markov switching GARCH model further by applying the notion of the neural network to approximate the time varying transition probabilities. We aim to achieve a model that …


Does Accounting Quality Reduce External Financial Constraints?, Chapit Asirapongporn Jan 2021

Does Accounting Quality Reduce External Financial Constraints?, Chapit Asirapongporn

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study investigates how accounting quality relates to financial constraints at the firm level. In this study, our first hypothesis is that higher accounting quality reduces financial constraints at the firm level. Our second hypothesis is that higher accounting quality reduces financial constraints more after IFRS adoption in 2011 than before IFRS adoption in Thailand. Our third hypothesis is that higher accounting quality reduces financial constraints more in state-owned enterprises than in privately-owned enterprises. Lastly, auditing quality could be another proxy of accounting quality. Therefore, our fourth hypothesis is that higher auditing quality reduces financial constraints at the firm level. …


The Impact Of Moral Hazard In Institutional Environment On The Decision To Perform Partial Acquisition Or Full Acquisition, Thornthep Paengsawat Jan 2021

The Impact Of Moral Hazard In Institutional Environment On The Decision To Perform Partial Acquisition Or Full Acquisition, Thornthep Paengsawat

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper investigates the impact of moral hazard on the corporate strategic decision regarding Mergers and Acquisitions. Whether the decision by the acquirer to make partial or full acquisitions is driven by moral hazard is the main implication of this research paper. Considering several subsamples of mergers and acquisition transactions, in domestic transaction, an increase in private benefits of control does increase the odd of making partial acquisition. Considering the subsample of cross-border acquisitions, private benefits of control still increases the odd of making partial acquisition but the effect is less pronounced. Having control for the profit-maximizing reasons to make …


The Effect Of Tax Avoidance On Firm Value In The Set, Jeff Dardouillet Jan 2021

The Effect Of Tax Avoidance On Firm Value In The Set, Jeff Dardouillet

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

No abstract provided.


Does Size Really Matter? In Mergers Of Equals : An Event Study, Piyamart Srithanomwong Jan 2021

Does Size Really Matter? In Mergers Of Equals : An Event Study, Piyamart Srithanomwong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research presents empirical studies on the impact of mergers of equals on shareholders’ wealth. Due to integration problems between combining corporations, Daimler-Chrysler merger failures caused the corporate sector to think that mergers of equals erode shareholder wealth. However, it is based on a small proportion of MOE transactions, and there is no empirical evidence on the shareholder’s return on the announcement date implications of MOEs related to the size of the merger. I provide this research knowledge for the shareholder wealth at the announcement date for the implications of MOEs related to the size effect of the merger. Furthermore, …


Ownership Concentration, Corporate Governance, And Firm’S Risk-Behavior: Evidence From Thailand, Napassorn Harnchaikittikul Jan 2021

Ownership Concentration, Corporate Governance, And Firm’S Risk-Behavior: Evidence From Thailand, Napassorn Harnchaikittikul

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The relationship among the ownership concentration, corporate governance, and firm risk are investigated in this study. The sample for this study include all the firm listed in Thailand Stock Exchange for the time period from 2010 to 2019. In this study, both direct and indirect relationship are investigated. The results shows that ownership concentration has positive significant effect on firm risk in the case of Thailand. The main explanation for this evidence is based on the socio-emotional wealth and limited liability feature of the listed firms. Meanwhile, corporate governance does not seem to have any significant impact on risk. Focusing …


Do Covid-19 Cases And Government Response To Covid-19 Drive Mispricing In Cross-Listed Companies?, Chomtarn Junanukul Jan 2021

Do Covid-19 Cases And Government Response To Covid-19 Drive Mispricing In Cross-Listed Companies?, Chomtarn Junanukul

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research is to examine impact of COVID-19 cases and government response to COVID-19 to cross-listed companies’ stock return, mispricing and volatility of the mispricing, using evidence from 164 Canadian companies’ stocks listed on Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX shares) and cross-listed in New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ (US shares). Our results show that there is negative impact from growth of COVID-19 cases to stock return and positive impact from government response to COVID-19 to stock return in both Canada and US. As for impact to mispricing, using price premium of stock listed in Canada relative to US as a …


Halloween Effect And Equity Mutual Funds In Thailand, Tunyaporn Wiriyadee Jan 2021

Halloween Effect And Equity Mutual Funds In Thailand, Tunyaporn Wiriyadee

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper investigates one of the most famous seasonal anomalies, namely Halloween effect. It is based on the observation that return during November to April so-called winter period tend to perform better than return during May to October so-called summer period. Using a sample of 97 Thailand equity funds during 2012-2021, we extend previous research by focusing on the Halloween effect in mutual funds market. Our research consists of three main objectives. First, we investigate the existence of Halloween effect in Thailand equity mutual funds. Second, we look into different characteristics of funds by categorizing based on categories from Morningstar …


Is Cryptocurrency A Hedge, Safe Haven, Diversifier Against Thailand, Indonesia, Philippine Stock Market On Pre-Covid-19 And During Covid-19?, Suphawit Keakultanes Jan 2021

Is Cryptocurrency A Hedge, Safe Haven, Diversifier Against Thailand, Indonesia, Philippine Stock Market On Pre-Covid-19 And During Covid-19?, Suphawit Keakultanes

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research study whether cryptocurrencies act as a hedge, safe haven or diversifier against Thailand, Philippines, and Indonesia stock exchange market. Using DCC-GARCH model and hypothesis test, we examine the hedge ratio and the conditional correlation between cryptocurrencies and TIP’s stock exchange market. The sample cover data on the return of the TIP’s index, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether and Litecoin from 1st January 2016 to 31st December 2021. The empirical results show that traditional cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin and Litecoin can act as diversifier, Ethereum can act as hedge instrument in PSEI index. Tether can act as the hedge and safe …


Are Short Sellers Equally Informed? Evidence From The Us. Credit Rating Announcements, Omtong Kasemsant Jan 2021

Are Short Sellers Equally Informed? Evidence From The Us. Credit Rating Announcements, Omtong Kasemsant

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This study uses credit rating and daily short sale data of firms listed in NYSE from January 2015 to December 2021 to examine whether there is informed trading. Although post-announcement abnormal return is negatively correlated with abnormal short volume, no evidence of informed short selling is found. Higher level of pre-announcement abnormal short selling is positively correlated to default risk and also explained by the incentives of short sellers to short more when past returns are negative. Furthermore, increase in short selling that is preceded by credit watch placement is more pronounced before credit rating downgrades. Moreover, the evidence shows …


Spac Sponsors And Their Effects On Spac Prices, Kanda Karnjanonun Jan 2021

Spac Sponsors And Their Effects On Spac Prices, Kanda Karnjanonun

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The purpose of this paper is to find the effect from SPAC sponsor after the merger announcement. I study SPAC IPOs which had acquiror and target nation in the United States and were public between January 2020 and December 2021. The final sample has 186 SPACs. I select The Forbes 400 in 2021 as a proxy for sponsor reputation. I use event study methodology to test for SPAC sponsors and their effects on SPAC prices. I find that there is no statistical evidence that sponsor reputation has impact on SPACs price on the announcement date of combination. There are two …


How Does Thai Stock Market React To The Environmental Policy Announcements?, Veerapat Virochpoka Jan 2021

How Does Thai Stock Market React To The Environmental Policy Announcements?, Veerapat Virochpoka

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper investigated the impact of environmental policy announcements to the stocks in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The announcements are related to climate change in the world forum (Paris Agreement) and plastic waste management. Investors are aware of the environmental policy which could have an impact to firms. We found that 7 out of 8 announcements experienced significant cumulative abnormal returns (both positive and negative). In terms of industry, the only industry which reacted to all announcements is industrials. The majority of firms in the industrials industry are operators related to chemicals, automotive and general manufacturing which are more …


Portfolio Construction Under Group Risk Parity Strategy In The Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Warintorn Sornpradit Jan 2021

Portfolio Construction Under Group Risk Parity Strategy In The Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Warintorn Sornpradit

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Risk parity strategy has been commonly applied to construct a portfolio with multiple asset classes. For single asset class, group risk parity is introduced such that risks from each group are equally contributed. This study investigates and compares performances of group risk parity strategy in Thai market under two different grouping methods which are sector and size with non-group risk parity, minimum-variance, and equal-weight strategies. The study mainly focus on two periods which are during 2016-2020 and in years with highly volatile down market. The analysis indicates that there is no clear evidence that group risk parity strategy outperforms others …


Diversification Benefits Of Commodity Indices Versus Islamic Stock Indices, Sita Khan Jan 2021

Diversification Benefits Of Commodity Indices Versus Islamic Stock Indices, Sita Khan

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The objective of this study is to investigate conditional correlations between the Dow Jones Emerging Market index and commodity indices (i.e., agriculture, energy, industrial metals, livestock, precious metals) and Islamic stock indices (i.e., JKII, KLFTEMSI, MSCI Bahrain, MSCI Kuwait, and MSCI Qatar). Additionally, this paper classifies the properties of assets whether it is a diversifier, a hedger, or a safe-haven assets to the Dow Jones Emerging Market index. The estimation method is the dynamic conditional correlation generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) model to estimate the conditional correlations during the period of 2007-2021 which covers the Global financial crisis (GFC) and …


Do Issuers Affect Derivative Warrants Overpricing? Evidence Of Thailand, Sarunporn Thupthong Jan 2021

Do Issuers Affect Derivative Warrants Overpricing? Evidence Of Thailand, Sarunporn Thupthong

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

Derivative warrants have become increasingly popular in many countries. However, numerous literatures provide the empirical evidences that derivative warrants are overpriced relative to the comparable options. Many researchers found that the derivative warrant overpricing can be explained by hedging cost, liquidity premium, market power, and asymmetric information of investors. These explanations are likely to be related to characteristics of derivative warrant issuer. Therefore, this paper comes up with the objective to reconfirm the overpricing phenomenon in Thailand and investigate the issuer identity effect on the derivative warrant overpricing as well as examine what issuer’s characteristics cause the level of overpricing …


Market Reactions Towards Changes In Analysts’ Ratings And Target Prices, Evidence From Thailand, Talatarn Kromadit Jan 2021

Market Reactions Towards Changes In Analysts’ Ratings And Target Prices, Evidence From Thailand, Talatarn Kromadit

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper aims to perform a comprehensive analysis of the effects of the stock ratings and target prices announcement published by analysts from both domestic and foreign brokerage firms in the Thai market. There are two quantitative indicators that will be focused on in this study, target prices and stocks rating, by observing the change of these two factors along with the change of market price, I will be able to study market reaction by using the Fama-French 3-factor modal (Fama and French, 1992) to detect AR and CAR within each focused window period. The observation period starts from January …


Effect Of Dividend On Derivative Warrants : Evidence From Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Nakarin Chanachaivorakorn Jan 2021

Effect Of Dividend On Derivative Warrants : Evidence From Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Nakarin Chanachaivorakorn

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The purpose of this paper is to investigate mispricing of derivative warrants on ex-dividend date. Using data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand during 2010 to 2020, this research examines mispricing of derivative warrants by comparing the market price to the theoretical price, which incorporates the adjustment of exercise price and ratio on ex-dividend date according to the rules given by SET. This research also studies further by investigating the magnitude of impact from the dividend yield of underlying asset. The empirical results show strong evidence of mispricing in call derivative warrants, whereas put derivative warrants are found to be …


International Evidence On Corporate Rating Changes, Torfun Kantatasiri Jan 2021

International Evidence On Corporate Rating Changes, Torfun Kantatasiri

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research aims to study the reaction of the International stock market around the corporate bond rating change announcements by Moody's between 2015-2021 using stocks and rating data from Datastream. The empirical result shows a significantly positive reaction after the upgrades announcement and a negative reaction around the downgrades event date. Specifically, the impact of rating changes on stock prices is larger around downgrades. The results imply that there is an information effect but no price pressure effect since there is a significant reaction in response to downgrades for all samples insignificance impact following downgrades for sub-sample of the changes …


The Impact Of Government Response’S Policy To Covid-19 On Stock Market Volatility, Chaiwat Ratchawat Jan 2021

The Impact Of Government Response’S Policy To Covid-19 On Stock Market Volatility, Chaiwat Ratchawat

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This research explores the effect of government's COVID-19 response policy on stock market volatility. We explain the stock market volatility dynamics via the index that measures the strict level of government response’s policy to COVID-19. Using EGARCH (1,1) model to identify stock market volatility from daily stock market return of 68 countries and apply the Arellano–Bond two-step system GMM estimator for dynamic panel data analysis, we found that the stock market volatility in the COVID-19 period can be reduced by the government policy response to COVID-19. Furthermore, after dividing the index into 3 types, all types of policy also reduce …


The Co-Movement Between Equity Markets Of Thailand And China : A Wavelet-Based Approach, Shilei Sun Jan 2021

The Co-Movement Between Equity Markets Of Thailand And China : A Wavelet-Based Approach, Shilei Sun

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper applied the MODWT wavelet method to decompose correlations of the stock market of Thailand and China into different time scales and frequencies. The decomposed correlations are then examined and compared between short-term and long-term, and also between different time periods when the interdependence of two markets is expected to change. The result shows that long-term correlation is not significantly higher and sometimes is significantly lower than the short-term, whereas the correlation does significantly increase from 2005 to 2020. Furthermore, the paper investigates the effectiveness of using the correlation in the suitable time scale and frequency in an application …


The Monetary Policy Transmission During The Crisis: Evidence From Thailand, Duangporn Lertsomphol Jan 2021

The Monetary Policy Transmission During The Crisis: Evidence From Thailand, Duangporn Lertsomphol

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The interest rate pass-through is defined as the process by which changes in policy or money market rate are transmitted to commercial bank rates. In other words, monetary policy transmission is one of the useful tools for the analysis of effective monetary policy decisions. This paper examines the effectiveness of the interest rate passthrough from the money market rate to various lending rates (MLR, MOR, and MRR) in Thailand from 2008 to 2021 including crisis periods, and also assesses the impact of bank characteristics. Using the panel cointegration method and error correction model with monthly data from individual commercial banks. …


The Impact Of Derivative Warrant Introduction : Evidence From Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Phuket Kumhangphon Jan 2021

The Impact Of Derivative Warrant Introduction : Evidence From Stock Exchange Of Thailand, Phuket Kumhangphon

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

The impact that derivative instrument has on the underlying stocks is important for regulators and investors to concern. This paper tries to examine the impact of derivative warrant introduction on liquidity (measured by trading volume) and risk (measure by volatility and systematic risk beta) of the underlying stocks in stock exchange of Thailand. This paper examines the impact on trading volume by using t-test for testing the equality of two means between pre-derivative warrant introduction period and post-derivative warrant introduction period and using dummy variable regression for finding a change in the underlying’s trading volume after the introduction of derivative …


The Link Between Esg And Firm Performance In Healthcare Industry: The Moderating Role Of Firm Age And People Awareness, Thongpattra Nanna Jan 2021

The Link Between Esg And Firm Performance In Healthcare Industry: The Moderating Role Of Firm Age And People Awareness, Thongpattra Nanna

Chulalongkorn University Theses and Dissertations (Chula ETD)

This paper examines the link between ESG and firm performance in healthcare industry moderated by firm age and advertising expenses from 2011 to 2020. Firm performance is measured by Tobin’s Q, ROA, ROE and asset turnover. This study finds the evidence that environmental pillar is the most important metric to improve firm value in healthcare equipment & supplies and advertisement helps social and governance pillars to add more value. Biotechnology looks alike, but firm age can moderate environment pillar to increase the value. Moreover, social pillar is the most influential to add firm value for healthcare provider & services and …